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Oil Prices: You Must Answer The Supercycle Argument

By John Richardson

THE continuing failure of genuine price discovery in oil markets was perfectly summarised  by the the Wall Street Journal today, when it wrote:

Commodity hedge funds added $4.1 billion in the first quarter, their best quarter in …

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Sitting On The Fence Involves Choosing Failure

By John Richardson

IF you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice. So the choice today is yours. If you remain on the fence, still unsure about whether the end of the Supercycle is real or not, …

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The Doha Oil Meeting: Were You Ahead Of The Curve?

By John Richardson

IT WAS tremendous whilst it lasted for the hedge funds and will have enabled them to make a lot of money – the ones who, of course, had the good sense to switch from long to short …

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Beware Of Oil-Price Rally: Nothing To Do With Fundamentals

By John Richardson

PEOPLE are once again at risk of dangerously over-exposing themselves to a further collapse in oil prices following yesterday’s increase to the highest levels since November 2015. The obvious risk  is that there will be stock building …

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The End Of The Economic Supercycle: What To Do Next

By John Richardson

THE above infographic explains the end of the economic Supercycle:

•During the 1980s/1990s, the BabyBoomers – the largest and wealthiest generation that the world has ever seen – entered the Wealth Creator generation (those aged 25 – …

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A Letter to Janet Yellen: Why People Expect Low Inflation

Last month, Janet Yellen, the chairman of the US Federal Reserve ( see picture on the left), admitted in a briefing to the Economic Club of New York that she was baffled by the lack of strong future inflation expectations …

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China’s Internet Sales Explosion And Demand For Plastics

By John Richardson

JUST as hundreds of millions of people in the developing world went straight to mobile phones, bypassing landlines, so looks set to be the case for Internet sales in China’s second and third tier cities. This is …

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Saudi Arabia, Refining And The Battle for Crude Market Share

By John Richardson

SAUDI ARABIA is determined to win its battle for greater market share of the global oil market, and at the same add value downstream to its hydrocarbon reserves. This is the consistent message I have picked over …

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Why US Natural Gas Will Stay Very Cheap

By John Richardson

CONVENTIONAL thinking about US natural gas prices is that they will start to edge up over the next few years.

Reasons include major shale gas investment cutbacks resulting from the recent collapse in US natural gas pricing.…

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US Shale Oil Was Never Going To Stand Still

By John Richardson

TECHNOLOGY doesn’t stand still. That’s the whole point about technology as any oil, gas or chemicals engineer will tell you.

The above chart is a fantastic example of this. It shows how the efficiency of US oil …

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