Chemical production growth goes negative

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The chart, taken from the weekly ACC report, shows just how badly chemical production has been hit in recent months:

N America. This region has been worst affected, with volumes down 12% in November versus 2007.
W Europe/CEE. Both regions were down 3% in October versus 2007
Asia/Latin America. These regions are just positive, with 1% growth.
Middle East. This region remains strong, with 14% growth, as new production based on advantaged feedstock comes online.

Overall, world growth is now a negative 1.9%, confirming that we are in a global recession. And core sectors for chemical demand such as housing and autos are still in decline. The blog therefore fears that the news on production will get worse, probably a lot worse, before it gets better.

About Paul Hodges

Paul Hodges is Chairman of International eChem, trusted commercial advisers to the global chemical industry. The aim of this blog is to share ideas about the influences that may shape the chemical industry over the next 12 – 18 months. It will try to look behind today’s headlines, to understand what may happen next in important issues such oil prices, economic growth and the environment. We may also have some fun, investigating a few of the more offbeat events that take place from time to time. Please do join me and share your thoughts. Between us, we will hopefully develop useful insights into the key factors that will drive the industry's future performance.

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