Chemicals could gain from energy savings need

energy efficiency.JPGThe most important ‘fuel’ of all, will be energy saved through fuel efficiency“. That’s ExxonMobil’s (EM) latest view of the outlook for meeting world energy demand over the next 20 years.

And as Nigel Davis highlights in ICIS insight, this “will require materials and innovation – the backbone for the chemicals industry“.

EM expect “40% of the world’s electricity will be generated by nuclear and renewable fuels” by 2030. It also expects the carbon price to reach $30/t over the next decade, making natural gas the most economically attractive fuel for power stations. But whilst EM see wind, solar and biofuels growing at 10%pa till 2030, these will still only have a 2.5% share of global energy needs, as they start from a low base.

The key issue for the chemical industry is EM’s forecast “that efficiency gains of about 300 quadrillion Btu a year can be achieved by 2030, equal to twice the growth in energy demand over the period“. A potential $30/t CO2 price makes it essential for companies to reduce carbon footprint from a cost point of view. But, as Nigel comments, this could also position them “to tap into growing markets for energy efficient materials and the demand for more energy efficient products“.

About Paul Hodges

Paul Hodges is Chairman of International eChem, trusted commercial advisers to the global chemical industry. He also serves as a Global Expert for the World Economic Forum. The aim of this blog is to share ideas about the influences that may shape the chemical industry and the global economy over the next 12 – 18 months. It looks behind today’s headlines, to understand what may happen next in critical areas such as oil prices, China and Emerging Markets, currencies, autos, housing, economic growth and the environment. Please do join me and share your thoughts. Between us, we will hopefully develop useful insights into the key factors that will drive the industry's future performance.

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