Entries from Asian Chemical Connections tagged with 'Black Swans'

Asian biofuels face a big crisis

After all the optimism, all the hype and a lot of investors' money, the industry has shot itself in the foot by failing to build demand ahead of supply. Plus the negativity caused by food versus fuel and environmental counter-arguments...

Watch out for the Black Swans and dump the consultants

The former trader turned professor, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, in his new book The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable warns against the danger of forecasting. Forecasting is, obviously, always based on what he know and not what we...