By John Richardson CHINA might well be in the midst of deflation caused by overcapacity in some chemicals, and in many other industries as well, but the longer-term strategic direction of reducing dependence on imports doesn't appear to have changed....
By John Richardson China's factory-gate prices have fallen for 14 months in a row because of huge overcapacity in many industries, said the Wall Street Journal in this article. "Producer prices - a measure of prices of goods before they...
By John Richardson SENTIMENT continues to severely undermine polyethylene (PE) demand in China as converters, lacking confidence in a big new economic stimulus programme later this year, keep their raw-material purchases to an absolute minimum. "It used to be the case...
By John Richardson THERE is a one in three chance of China's real GDP growth averaging 5% or less over four consecutive quarters before the end of 2014, warns Nomura, said Bloomberg in this article. And the bank added that...
By John Richardson ONE of Sinopec's subsidiaries, Shanghai Petrochemical, has weighed-in to the debate over US shale gas by warning that cheap petrochemicals imports from the States could erode the whole of China's competitiveness. "We can't tell how severe the...
Source of graph: Standard Chartered By John Richardson WORKING conditions matter as much as higher salaries for China's emboldened manufacturing workforce, according to this article in the Financial Times. "As the number of available workers falls, factories struggle...
By John Richardson EVERYWHERE you look across China's petrochemical markets the story is the same as in polyethylene (PE): Exceptionally weak demand during a time of the year when demand should be good. Take purified terephthalic acid (PTA) as an example....
By John Richardson EUROPEAN olefins markets have turned decidedly bearish, according to my ICIS colleague, Nel Weddle. "Although the lack of pre-buying in February ahead of a much talked-about increase for March contract prices had been deemed a bearish signal,...
By John Richardson CHINA'S demand for polyethylene (PE) is lower than immediately ahead of the February Chinese New Year (CNY) break, said a Singapore-based polyolefins trader. "For demand to be less than just before the New Year, when most traders...
By John Richardson CHINA's new leaders are under increasing pressure to do something about the dreadful pollution that blights the lives of hundreds of millions of people. One Shanghai resident told the blog, "The air quality is so bad here...
By John Richardson PARTICIPANTS in commodity and financial markets sometimes appear to have very short attention spans. But they are merely doing their jobs by seeking to stretch out rallies as long as possible through claiming everything that was being...
By John Richardson SOME 1.5m tonnes of new polyethylene (PE) supply will arrive in the Asian market during 2013 at a time of very uncertain and fragile demand, a source with a global producer has told the blog. A large amount...
.....For Now By John Richardson RELATIVE to most of 2012 - when China's polyolefins market was in dire straits - November, December and early January have been excellent for traders who took the right positions. At least one producer...
By John Richardson A LOT of stock market excitement, and perhaps a recovery in petrochemicals prices (more next week when everyone is back in action), has greeted the release of China's purchasing managers' indices for December. The official PMI held steady...
........Significant Commercial Production "At least Ten Years Away" By John Richardson A US-China Shale Gas Training Programme has been launched by the independent White House agency, the US Trade & Development Agency (USTDA). An initial $378,000 will be invested to...
By John Richardson THE above slide shows how bad the polyethylene (PE) market has been in 2012. Based on data from the ICIS pricing Asian PE Margin Report, it shows how Northeast Asian high-density (HDPE) integrated variable cost margins have...
By John Richardson BANK lending is once again surging in China as politicians try to shore up their support ahead of the leadership transition. "The central government has approved up to 7 trillion yuan ($1.2bn) for infrastructure investments since May...
By John Richardson AN assumption is that economic reformers will win control of China's Politburo after the once-in-a-decade leadership transition is out of the way (China's new set of leaders are set to be announced during the 18th Party Congress,...
By John Richardson AN interesting new report from Morgan Stanley underlines what we have been hearing about Chinese chemicals demand. The investment bank writes: "We returned to China and offer a revised message versus our trip last year. Instead...
By John Richardson LET'S put this into context: China's polyethylene (PE) demand grew by 53 percent in 2008-2010. Growth during the first seven months of this year was just 1.7 percent over Januuary-July 2011, according to Global Trade Information Services (GTIS)....
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