Entries from Asian Chemical Connections tagged with 'Wen Jiabao'
China Reformer Sidelined
By John Richardson AN assumption is that economic reformers will win control of China's Politburo after the once-in-a-decade leadership transition is out of the way (China's new set of leaders are set to be announced during the 18th Party Congress,...
China Bad Debts
In the first of a series of blog posts on the major challenges facing China's economy over the next 12-18 months, we look at bad debts. High stakes in Hangzhou. Source of picture: Wikimedia By John Richardson A...
No Big China Relief
By John Richardson Wen Jiabao re-emphasised at the weekend that China's economic policy would be tweaked rather than radically overhauled because inflation, despite declining further in April, remains a major threat. Anybody hoping for a stimulus package on the...
Asian Polyolefin Prices Tumble
By John Richardson Asian polyethylene (PE) prices slumped by $90-130/tonne last week on the eurozone crisis, the fall in oil prices and the imminent arrival in China of large volumes of Iranian material, according to ICIS pricing. A further...
Consensus Misses The Point
By John Richardson The consensus view on China remains that we have reached, or are near, the bottom of the decline in GDP (gross domestic product) growth. This was how yesterday's release of the preliminary HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing...
China's Changing Demand
By John Richardson THE nature of demand in China is changing, despite the belief among some chemicals analysts, and companies, that everything will soon return to normal. Here is a summary of our key arguments. Please print off and...
The H2 Recovery Story
By John Richardson THE majority of chemicals analysts have yet to wake up and smell the coffee, according to an industry observer. "South Korean stocks have come off by 15-30% since their big recovery in January, but it is only...
China Economic Optimism
By John RichardsonECONOMISTS think China's growth has bottomed out, thanks to unexpectedly strong March bank lending. They also think that interest rates will stay low for a long time, even if rates cannot be cut because of the inflation problem. New...
MEG's Fading Star
By John Richardson CHINA'S mono-ethylene (MEG) market was supposed to be very strong this year. But instead, to date we have seen persistently weak market conditions that few people, least of all the traders, seem to have anticipated. The...
Wen's Last Reform Push
By John Richardson Wen Jiabao has been at it again. His extraordinarily strong comments on Tuesday follow those he made last month about the risks of a return to the economic chaos of the Cultural Revolution. On this latest occasion,...
The CEO's Dilemma
By John Richardson The blog has, in its naivety, for some time been perplexed over why certain chemicals company CEOs portray a relentlessly optimistic picture of developing-markets growth. This is despite all the evidence pointing to increasing uncertainties over how...
China's Leadership Struggle
By John Richardson IT is still an article of faith among some people in the chemicals industry that all you have to do is concentrate on cost-efficient supply and the demand in developing countries such as China will inevitably continue...
China's Leaders Are Boxed In
By John Richardson IT seems inevitable that petrochemical markets will respond positively to the Chinese government's decision to reduce bank-reserve requirements by 50 basis points. There will quite likely be a relief rally in the Dalian Commodity Exchange's futures contract...
China's Long-term Shift In Inflation
By John Richardson THE odd chemicals trader who has gone long might well seek to talk-up his or her markets by claiming that the slowdown in China's inflation rate is great news. But nobody interested in anything beyond the sale of...
China And Bouncing Dead Cats
By John Richardson Fifty per cent of the blog (John Richardson) is on leave for the next two weeks. Next week Paul Hodges will be posting on Asian Chemical Connections. Paul runs the ICIS Chemicals & Economy blog.Then from the...
The China Inflation Muddle
By John Richardson THE fascinating, but also at the same time frustrating, complexity of the Chinese economy has been thrown into further relief this week in the debate over the implications of the June 6.4% inflation rate. The rate, the...
Living In Hope Rather Than Expectation
By John Richardson HOPEFUL theories espoused by traders can sometimes sound a little hollow - as was the case with the one doing the rounds in Asian polyolefin markets late last week. "We think the latest interest rate rise in China...
European PE, PP Contracts Likely To Fall
By John Richardson EUROPEAN polyolefin converters seem quite justified in pressurising their suppliers for further price reductions, given weak macro-economic fundamentals and still-excellent profitability at the cracker end of the value chain. The news from China continues to get worse. China's...
Clinging On To Vain Hopes
By John Richardson ANYONE clinging on to the hope that the weakness in the global polyolefin market is merely down to China going through a prolonged period of destocking could face a rude awakening. China's polyethylene (PE) demand was...
The Chemicals Party Is Over
By John Richardson IT has been a fantastic party. Nobody expected that the drinks would last for so long, thanks to Wen Jiabao and Ben Bernanke working overtime to man the 24/7 off-licence (it is called "liquor store" in the...
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