Dow Chemical is usually optimistic. 6 months ago, for example, it reported that "our transformed portfolio, underpinned by our cost-advantaged and flexible operations, is now performing at a new level." Last week, however, Dow reported that Q4 operating rates were...
The blog continues to worry about signs of a slowdown in China. Major commodity trader, Glencore, said this week "we see a pullback in China and it will continue". This challenges the views of Dow CEO Andrew Liveris last month,...
The blog was very interested to see a recent ICIS interview with Torsten Penkuhn, BASF's petchem head in Asia, by Will Beacham. Penkuhn noted: "We are more and more concerned at BASF about an increasing risk of overbuilding once again....
There are always two sides to every debate. Dow Chemical CEO, Andrew Liveris, clearly has a radically different point of view to the blog's about the likely outlook for China's demand. Liveris told analysts in this week's earnings call that...
The blog has been in the USA this week, speaking at the bi-annual Global Coatings Summit. Coatings sales are worth $75bn globally, and are a key market for chemicals. Interestingly, much of the discussion centred around sustainability. In spite of...
GE's then CEO, Jack Welch, launched the Shareholder Value concept in 1981. It has since led many investors to adopt a purely short-term focus on financial metrics, rather than longer-term opportunities. The only problem is that, as Welch admitted 2...
The blog is pleased to have been invited by the American Chemical Society (ACS) to join its online panel discussion on "Chemical Industry & Employment Outlook: Trends 2010 and Beyond", taking place via webinar on Tuesday 2 November. Its co-panellists...
The summer has seen several reports of reductions in ethane availability to Saudi petchem plants. This seems to have been due to two causes: • Saudi has cut back oil production by a third (4mbd) in order to comply with...
The blog is delighted to have been invited to address two important industry events in coming months: Washington DC. It will be presenting a Global Outlook to the Coatings Summit, alongside CEOs including Andrew Liveris of Dow Chemical; Christopher Connor...
Registrations are already building for our 9th European Aromatics and Derivatives Conference, to be held in Berlin on 23-24 November. Co-organised as always with ICIS, it features a strong line-up of industry speakers including: • Shell Chemicals, Sven Royall, VP...
Our 9th European Aromatics and Derivatives Conference will be held in Berlin on 23-24 November. Co-organised as always with ICIS, it features a strong line-up of industry speakers including: • Shell Chemicals, Sven Royall, VP Intermediates on 'What next for...
Coal was the original source of most chemicals. It was then replaced in the 1960's by oil-based feedstocks. Their lower cost of manufacturing led to the boom in applications and volumes seen over the past 50 years. More recently, biomass'...
10 years ago, Dow was in the middle of completing its $12bn Union Carbide acquisition. This made it the world's second largest chemical company, and a leading player in Basic petchems and polymers. More recently, however, higher oil prices have...
A year ago, the Dow Chemical stock price was below $6, giving the company a total market capitalisation of just c$7bn. Since then, Dow has regained the initiative in a very focused way. First, it sold Morton Salt for $1.7bn,...
The blog's quarterly survey of company Outlook statements shows CEOs remain very cautious. There has been a rebound after the destocking disaster of Q4 2008 - Q1 2009. But there seems little confidence that we will quickly return to the...
Over the past century, many parts of the world have seen an extraordinary increase in living standards and life expectancy. As the Financial Times notes, we used to marry at c15 years, become grandparents at c30 and die at c45....
The blog is now 2.5 years old. Readership continues to grow, both within the chemical industry and its investment community. It is now read in 121 countries, and 2735 cities, versus 89 countries and 1244 cities a year ago....
The good news is that the stabilisation seen in Q2 has been maintained. But companies remain cautious on the outlook, to judge from Q3 reports. CEOs are sceptical about the impact of government stimulus efforts in the West, and fear...
The blog's favourite financial journalist, Gillian Tett, has written an excellent article summarising the similarities between today's problems in the western banking system, and those of Japan's during the 'lost decade' of the 1990's. Her point is that although central...
Capacity closures are always hard to achieve in the petchem industry: • First, these are a 'zero sum game' - if I shut my plant, then other producers gain in terms of overall operating rates and margins, at my expense...
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