Entries from Chemicals & The Economy tagged with 'refining'

New propylene supply increases market uncertainty

Almost unnoticed, an important shift is underway in propylene markets. Propylene (C3) is the second largest olefin after ethylene, with production around 75 million tonnes in recent years. Its main sources are steam crackers and refineries - neither of which...

EU olefin operating rates slip back to 81%

The latest EU olefin operating rates (OR%) were very disappointing, even though they were not a surprise. As the chart shows, ethylene rates were just 81% (based on APPE data). They were far below the 90%+ rates that were normal...

Global economy weakens as China oil demand drops

There seems little doubt that the global economy is now entering a new downturn. Pessimists may worry that it has already begun in Q3. Optimists might hope it will be delayed till Q4, or even Q1. But almost all major...

Europe's supply-led ethylene market continues

Q1 saw near record margins for European petchem producers. And there was also a scramble for product, as buyers rushed to secure product ahead of feedstock price-related increases. But this remained a supply-led market. As the chart above shows, based...

ExxonMobil sees Integration as key strength

The blog is a great believer is learning from the secrets of the world's most successful chemical companies. Thus it was fascinated to read a report by ICIS's Stephen Burns of a major speech by ExxonMobil (EM) president Stephen Pryor....

INEOS plans refining/technology JVs with PetroChina

The Falkirk Herald, INEOS's local newspaper in Scotland, has had to wait a long time for its 'scoop' of June 2009 to be confirmed. It had reported then that INEOS was in talks with PetroChina about the future of the...

Shell focuses on profitable upgrading of hydrocarbons

Business models have been changing over the past decade in the chemical industry, as illustrated in the above chart. Initially, the dotcom era began to put pressure on former 'specialty businesses', as customers discovered they were paying over the odds...

August highlights

Many readers have been taking a well-deserved break over the past few weeks. As usual, therefore, the blog is highlighting key posts during August, to help you catch up as you return to the office. August has been surprisingly busy:...

China's growth in crude oil demand slows

The Petromatrix report is currently a must-read for anyone seeking to understand what is really happening in crude oil markets. Its latest issue analyses China's demand. It suggests this is not as strong as the bullish investment banks on Wall...

Lower Western gasoline demand helps paraxylene

Paraxylene (PX) has been a great petchem success story over the past 30 years. This 4th post in the blog's series looks back at its history, and discusses how its future may develop. It is hard to remember that back...

Benzene develops security of supply issues

As promised, the 3rd of the blog's series on the changes underway in the pricing of the major 'building block' chemicals, looks at benzene. The chart above shows its 'spread' versus naphtha, the key dynamic from a price and margin...

Propylene prices reach parity with ethylene

As promised on Saturday, today's post looks in more detail at the major change taking place in the relationship of propylene to ethylene prices. When the blog joined the chemical industry in the 1970's, propylene was often regarded as a...

Major changes underway in relative olefin pricing

Unprecedented changes are taking place in the relative prices of the main 'building block' petrochemicals. In turn, these could have major implications for downstream users, all along the key value chains. Today's post looks at the changes taking place in...

European propylene, butadiene, prices rise above ethylene

A remarkable thing happened this week in European olefin markets. Contract prices for butadiene and propylene were finalised for April/Q2 at higher levels than for ethylene. This has never happened before, in Europe or other regions. The chart, based on...

China becomes significant exporter of oil products

The apparent rise in China's crude oil imports has been a major factor behind the doubling of oil prices in the last year. Yet a detailed analysis by Petromatrix illustrates that reality is a little different from the headline: •...

China's oil imports not driven by domestic demand

A key driver for the rally in crude oil markets has been the increase in China's demand. The assumption has been that this confirms economic growth is recovering strongly. Crude oil imports have certainly been rising since Q1, and have...

ExxonMobil focuses on integration

ExxonMobil Chemicals was 6th in the ICIS list of Top 100 companies in 2002, during the last downturn. By last year, it had risen to 2nd place, according to the latest ICIS list. One of the secrets of its success...

Ineos appoint Morgan Stanley for Grangemouth

The blog's close eye on Scotland's media has again been rewarded this morning, as 'The Scotsman' reveals that Ineos have appointed Morgan Stanley, the investment bank, to advise on the sale of Grangemouth. It suggests that a company such as...

Ineos talks of PetroChina deal for Grangemouth

The 'Falkirk Herald', based close to Ineos's Grangemouth facility in Scotland, is not normally the place that the blog would look for news of the potential sale of a major part of the world's 4th largest chemical company. However, that...

Recession almost certainly now underway

Asian naphtha spreads versus crude oil have fallen to all-time lows. Dubai crude was reported at c$80/bbl last week, whilst naphtha was $30/bbl lower, at a price of only $50/bbl. This shows an extreme lack of demand for naphtha, and...