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Butanediol Europe Transcript
The European Butanediol report is published weekly It contains one quarterly contract quote which is assessed on a free delivered North West Europe basis and in Euros per metric ton as well as a price conversion into US cents per pound the report shows price movements from the previous quarter and also shows the prices from the same period one year ago for reference.
Market commentary is included with a particular focus on pricing and pricing direction, supply, demand, imports and exports.
Information is acquired from global buying, trading and producing sources across the industry.
We provide updates on the upstream Methanol and Propylene markets as well as information on the key Asian market.
The ICIS Butanediol report enables you to make informed business decisions and ensures that you are pay the right price for your material.
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Updated to Q2 2016
The European butanediol (BDO) market saw another significant price reduction in the second quarter of the year despite good demand and thin margins.
The contract price was assessed at €1,490-1,500/tonne for the second quarter, a €90/tonne drop from Q1.
Sources have offered various explanations for the downward trend, but have largely referred to market length and market share competition.
Some buyers had also quoted cheaper offers from Asian suppliers but European producers have dismissed that argument pointing at overall small volumes of Asian imports and narrowing arbitrage gap after multiple quarterly price drops in Europe.
This debate has been a recurrent theme over the last two years, but this quarter there seems to be increasing sentiment that the bottom has been reached.
The Q2 settlement of feedstock methanol at a €63/tonne decrease offered a little relaxation for some producers.
Updated to Q2 2016
Talk in the US butanediol (BDO) market has gone back and forth between the idea of a rollover and a price increase on third quarter contracts. A coming rollover has been a default position among quite a few BDO buyers and distributors during the past two months, probably because the increase in oil prices and other major feedstocks – natural gas, butane, propylene - since April provided little or no support for another reduction. Two producers issued increases earlier this month that, if accepted fully, would be the first significant increase in US BDO contract prices since late 2012.
The consensus of market sources gave the edge to a coming rollover, though there were exceptions. Buyers reiterated their positions that the rising costs of feedstocks is hard to ignore but that supply/demand factors – especially all the idle capacity in Asia - do not support higher prices. Sources do seem to agree, however, that the Q3 contract settlement will likely settle after the 4 July holiday in the US.
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