Carbon Emissions Europe

Find out more about our European carbon products

Helping you make better trading decisions in the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS)

How can we help you?

At ICIS we’re focused on providing independent, robust and insightful analysis of the EU ETS. Our clients trust us to explain the market impact of policy news and trading updates, help them understand market participant behaviour and predict how EUA prices will evolve.

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For example, our EU ETS experts use time saving, executable analyst updates to explain the impact of policy news and trading updates. We also use the inputs from our Timing Impact Model (TIM), such as behavioural data, traded positions (behaviour-driven market balances) and other rich datasets, to provide deeper insight. When you need urgent answers or another perspective, we give you a 1 to 1 service by email, phone or Messenger.

Find out more about our EU carbon intelligence products

EU ETS Portal

The EU ETS Portal provides our complete suite of tools designed to help traders, analysts and risk managers interpret the impact of policy and regulatory developments whilst also identifying risks and opportunities in the market. These tools include behaviour-driven analysis, price forecasts and the inputs and outputs from the Timing Impact Model (TIM), which are the perfect starting point for your own analysis.

Find out more on the EU ETS Portal »

EU ETS Insight

The EU ETS Insight product provides the highlights of the ICIS EU carbon market analysis. Therefore, it’s ideal for stakeholders who need to keep in touch with key developments in the EU ETS and want to understand the market impact of those developments but require neither detailed datasets nor deeper insight.

Find out more on the EU ETS Insight »

Lifecycle of emissions trading schemes

With a variety of different emissions trading schemes now operating around the globe, ICIS analysts have identified recurring patterns in the evolution of a cap and trade system.

Download this free whitepaper for a better understanding of the various stages in a trading scheme's lifecycle.

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Regional overview

Updated to Q4 2014

Policy continued to be in the spotlight in the last quarter of 2014, as European lawmakers are debating a structural reform of the region’s Emissions Trading System.

The tool proposed by the European Commission, known as market stability reserve, would act as a mechanism to better regulate the supply of carbon allowances. In recent years, European allowance prices have collapsed because of a growing surplus of available permits, as the recession and the wide use of offset credits for compliance have reduced demand.

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The reform needs approval from both the European Parliament and countries in the European Council in order to become law, which is expected in the first half of 2015.

European countries have mostly shown support for the reserve, but its start date remains a sticking point. The commission originally wanted the reserve to be effective from 2021, but a more ambitious stance among some countries has emerged for it to start as early as 2017 – a date that not all parties are in favour of.

Optimism around the reform has contributed to lift prices to 10-month highs by the end of the fourth quarter. The benchmark December 2015 contract rose from €5.91/tCO2e on 1 October to €7.34/tCO2e on 31 December, according to data from ICE Futures Europe.

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