Phosphate fertilizers Prices, markets & analysis
Whichever regional Phosphate fertilizers markets you work in, ICIS offers the thorough pricing information you need to operate with confidence.
Our insights into regional Phosphate fertilizers markets are provided by our network of reporters based locally in those markets.
This enables us to provide in-depth price assessments and market coverage that are reliable and up-to-date on the very latest developments.
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We offer the following regional Phosphate fertilizers analysis and news coverage to keep you informed of factors and developments affecting prices in the Phosphate fertilizers marketplace.
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Upstream of Phosphate fertilizers
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Phosphate fertilizers: Market overview
Updated to Q1 2015
China is expected to be in the limelight of the phosphates market in Q1 this year. For the first time since the export tax regime was introduced in 2008, China has a flat export tax across the whole year. Some market players expect that this move will result in increased exports. However, other market participants think that Chinese producers will focus on the domestic market at the beginning of the year and then concentrate on exports, especially when the Indian demand kicks in. Moreover, the new tax regime will allow producers to compete for business in more markets than before, as they did in the US and Latin America last year.
On the other hand, Indian buyers are expected to return to the market in Q1. Following a delayed but successful monsoon last year and limited carry-over stock, there are expectations that demand will be strong in India in 2015. DAP cargoes from Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the US have already arrived at Indian ports and Chinese product is expected to compete for business with these producers.
Also, the settlement of phosphoric acid contracts for Q1 is expected to offer some clear direction for DAP and phosphate rock pricing.
West of Suez, exports from Tampa have been steady over the past few months and are expected to continue in Q1 to markets with high demand, like Latin America, India and Australia. In the USmarket, demand is expected to pick up in the coming months for fill barges for spring application. DAP and MAP is expected to arrive from the Baltic, North Africa and China. The latter is expected to play a significant role in demand and pricing, as it will compete with other producers in the US.
In Latin America, especially in Brazil, demand is expected to increase in the coming months for the safrinha and sugar cane seasons. Chinese MAP is expected to be a game-changer this quarter in terms of pricing against product from traditional exporters, like Russia and Morocco.
News & analysis
Phosphate fertilizers news & analysis
ICIS price assessments are based on information gathered from a wide cross-section of the market, comprising consumers, producers, traders and distributors from more than 250 reporters world-wide. Confirmed deals, verified by both buyer and seller, provide the foundation of our price assessments.
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