Phosphate fertilizers Prices, markets & analysis
Whichever regional Phosphate fertilizers markets you work in, ICIS offers the thorough pricing information you need to operate with confidence.
Our insights into regional Phosphate fertilizers markets are provided by our network of reporters based locally in those markets.
This enables us to provide in-depth price assessments and market coverage that are reliable and up-to-date on the very latest developments.
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Phosphate fertilizers: Market overview
Updated to Q4 2014
All eyes in the phosphates industry turn to India in Q4, as demand is expected to emerge following the monsoon season, which may offer some much-needed support to the market. Already around 2m tonnes of DAP has arrived at Indian ports since April and there are expectations that the country will need 800,000-900,000 tonnes of DAP until the end of the year. DAP cargoes from Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the US are scheduled for October and November.
China, on the other hand, has been gearing up for its peak season, which was set to start on 15 October, when the low export tax window was due to close. A few cargoes are in bonded warehouses and are expected to be exported after mid-October at prices agreed earlier. Producers are not accepting any new export orders and will focus on the domestic market from now on.
West of Suez, it is understood that more exports out of Tampa are expected as sellers are trying to compete for business globally in the absence of China. Mosaic is curtailing its phosphate production, which will lead to lower operating rates, and it is unknown how this will affect its export volumes. In the US domestic market, demand is expected to return in the coming months with the completion of harvest and fall application.
On the supply side, new projects are expected to come on stream in the coming months. OCP has commissioned the first of four new 1m-tonne/year DAP/MAP plants in Q3 2014 and there are expectations that the producer will reach a DAP/MAP/TSP capacity of 4.9m tonnes P205 in 2017. Most producers are sold out for October and there are expectations of fierce competition to win business in India, which will also have an effect on prices.
News & analysis
Phosphate fertilizers news & analysis
ICIS price assessments are based on information gathered from a wide cross-section of the market, comprising consumers, producers, traders and distributors from more than 250 reporters world-wide. Confirmed deals, verified by both buyer and seller, provide the foundation of our price assessments.
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