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  • The global stock market decline

    Alan Greenspan's comments ( below ), led the blog to investigate how the world's major stock markets had moved since their recent peaks. All, as shown in the chart, are now in bear markets. Stock markets often forecast economic developments 6 - 12 months ahead, and so this represents a negative...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 09-18-2008

  • The blog's first birthday

    Its now a year since the blog started. Since then, 213 postings have appeared. It is now read in 72 countries and 620 cities (shown above). Most encouragingly, readership continues to steadily increase. Since January, it has risen a further 301%. The blog's aim is to identify 'the influences...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 07-05-2008

  • 4 issues driving today’s oil price

    Quietly, oil has moved back to the $100/bbl level . This is quite different from January, when it first hit the magic $100/bbl number. Financial players had jumped on the trend from November as crude rose above $80/bbl, and then wanted to ‘get out at the top’. Their thinking was that a US recession would...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 02-21-2008

  • The law of unintended consequences

    There’s an interesting article on Bloomberg, suggesting that the US Fed’s dramatic interest rates reductions are ‘ driving Asia’s governments back to controlled economies’ . Its argument is that by cutting rates, Bernanke is ‘limiting his Asian counterparts’ ability to curb inflation'. It goes on...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 02-19-2008
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