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  • Fed/IMF worry that US may see 'severe recession'

    The Financial Times this morning reports that the US Fed fears that ‘the economic downturn in the US could turn into a deep and protracted recession of the kind that plagued Japan’. Clearly based on interviews with senior Fed officials and other policymakers, the two articles (one for the European edition...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 03-13-2008

  • Inflation worries increase in China, USA

    China announced yesterday that inflation had soared again last month, reaching 8.7%, versus the government target of 4.8%. Part of the increase is clearly due to the effects of recent major storms . But with the US Fed likely to cut rates soon, China remains in a difficult position. If it increases interest...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 03-11-2008

  • Traders sell $, buy oil

    ‘ 'A vicious circle now seems to be in place again, where a lower dollar inspires raw material prices to rally, which in turn increases worries about inflation’. This was how strategists at BNP Paribas summed up the US Fed Chairman’s two days of testimony to Congress last week. For the last 20 years...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 03-02-2008

  • 4 issues driving today’s oil price

    Quietly, oil has moved back to the $100/bbl level . This is quite different from January, when it first hit the magic $100/bbl number. Financial players had jumped on the trend from November as crude rose above $80/bbl, and then wanted to ‘get out at the top’. Their thinking was that a US recession would...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 02-21-2008
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