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  • IMF expects low growth, high inflation

    The IMF now sees a 25% chance of a world recession this year, in which global growth would fall below 3%. Its base forecast is just 3.7%, compared to 5.2% before the credit crunch began. Sales growth for most chemicals is tied to GDP growth, so companies should expect volumes to come under pressure as...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 04-02-2008

  • A simple guide to the credit crisis

    The New York Times has an excellent feature today that aims to explain how ‘US sub-prime mortgages could take out the whole global financial system’. I know that many readers found the Bird/Fortune video on the subject very useful last December. So I thought you might like to know about this new analysis...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 03-19-2008

  • OPEC holds production as oil prices rise

    OPEC today decided to hold oil production at current levels, even though prices are at a level which clearly threaten economic growth. They even recognised this risk in their statement , ‘highlighting the economic slowdown in the USA, which together with the deepening credit crisis in financial markets...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 03-05-2008

  • 4 issues driving today’s oil price

    Quietly, oil has moved back to the $100/bbl level . This is quite different from January, when it first hit the magic $100/bbl number. Financial players had jumped on the trend from November as crude rose above $80/bbl, and then wanted to ‘get out at the top’. Their thinking was that a US recession would...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 02-21-2008
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