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The CEO's survival guide

The past few weeks have not been good for the chemical industry, with 4 major companies suffering significant problems: BASF warned that "customer demand in key markets has declined significantly" since October, and have temporarily shutdown 80 plants worldwide, whilst reducing production at...

Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 01-06-2009
The blog in 2008

The blog is now 18 months old. It has a truly global readership, and as shown in the above map, is now read in 1244 cities and 89 countries. Its aim has always been to identify 'the influences that may shape the chemical industry over the next 12 - 18 months', and to 'develop useful insights...

Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 01-03-2009
LyondellBasell considers bankruptcy

2008 has not ended well for the chemical industry. First there was the collapse in demand , as the various value chains destocked in response to slowing consumer demand and lower oil prices. Then INEOS, the world's 3rd largest chemical company, had to seek covenant waivers from its lenders. Now,...

Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 12-31-2008
A "V-", "U-", "W-" or "L-shaped" recession?

There is now general agreement that we are in a global recession. The World Bank's new 'Global Economic Prospects' report forecasts global GDP growth of 2.5% in 2008, and just 0.9% next year. This is well below the 3% level that signals recession. And the Bank also forecasts that world trade...

Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 12-14-2008
The Age of Austerity

The world's major retailers, particularly Wal-Mart and Tesco, keep a very close finger on the global economic pulse. They spotted looming recession 18 months ago - long before it became more widely apparent this year. Yesterday , Wal-Mart's UK head went further, referring to "the dawning...

Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 12-12-2008
Dow cuts jobs, sets out future focus

Yesterday , Dow announced its new structure post the K-Dow JV and the planned acquisition of Rohm & Haas. This covered two main elements: • Implementation of November's cost reduction announcement • Dow's new organisation (the chart above) The cost reductions were severe, with a headline...

Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 12-09-2008
Japan's industrial output collapses as exports dive

Japan has an ageing population. Since 1990, it has relied on exports to boost its economy. Yesterday , official figures showed industrial production is now being badly affected by the global recession. Output fell 3.1% in October, and a 6.4% decline is expected in November. Observers forecast the September...

Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 11-30-2008
Hope for recovery, plan for downturn

Surprisingly, our 7th European conference this week in Cologne (co-organised with ICIS), was one of our most successful. Delegate numbers were down, as companies cut travel budgets. But those attending said they had gained much more, than if they had stayed in the office. For a start, there was the opportunity...

Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 11-30-2008
Financial Times recognises the blog

The Queen of England recently asked "Why did nobody see the financial crisis coming?" The Financial Times took the view that " Some did, Ma'am. Some did ." It then initiated a search for these people. Today's Financial Times now recognises some of those who correctly warned...

Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 11-29-2008
"An economic crisis of historic proportions"

President-elect Obama has become the latest world leader to "get it", as his wife Michelle once remarked. For far long, politicians seemed to believe their platitudes about the "underlying strength" of their national economies. This meant their proposed remedies were reactive, and...

Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 11-25-2008

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