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  • The global stock market decline

    Alan Greenspan's comments ( below ), led the blog to investigate how the world's major stock markets had moved since their recent peaks. All, as shown in the chart, are now in bear markets. Stock markets often forecast economic developments 6 - 12 months ahead, and so this represents a negative...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 09-18-2008

  • The blog's first birthday

    Its now a year since the blog started. Since then, 213 postings have appeared. It is now read in 72 countries and 620 cities (shown above). Most encouragingly, readership continues to steadily increase. Since January, it has risen a further 301%. The blog's aim is to identify 'the influences...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 07-05-2008

  • Oil hits $140/bbl

    Chemical companies are still getting used to the idea that crude is trading above $100/bbl. For many of them, this was a complete shock, as many had believed the consensus view and budgeted for a $70/bbl average in 2008. Now, however, worse news is in prospect as forward prices have been racing away...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 05-21-2008

  • A tale of two outlooks – part 2

    In an early blog last July , I marvelled at the contrast between the then upbeat nature of financial markets, and the gloom apparent elsewhere. I suggested that these two views of life couldn’t ‘continue to exist alongside each other for ever’, and suggested that whatever scenario came out on top would...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 04-20-2008

  • 4 issues driving today’s oil price

    Quietly, oil has moved back to the $100/bbl level . This is quite different from January, when it first hit the magic $100/bbl number. Financial players had jumped on the trend from November as crude rose above $80/bbl, and then wanted to ‘get out at the top’. Their thinking was that a US recession would...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 02-21-2008
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