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  • The global stock market decline

    Alan Greenspan's comments ( below ), led the blog to investigate how the world's major stock markets had moved since their recent peaks. All, as shown in the chart, are now in bear markets. Stock markets often forecast economic developments 6 - 12 months ahead, and so this represents a negative...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 09-18-2008

  • No news from Iran on nuclear issue

    There seems to have been no response from Iran to the 2 week deadline set by the US and Europe on the nuclear issue. Over the weekend, Iran's President, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said 'the Iranian nation would not retreat one iota from its rights.' Earlier, Israel's deputy Prime Minister, Shaul...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 08-04-2008

  • US, Iran to meet - crude drops $20/bbl

    I suggested at the weekend that the Iran issue had the potential to move oil prices by $50/bbl either way. Since then, prices have fallen $20/bbl to $130/bbl, on news that the USA and Iran will meet tomorrow for the first time in nearly 30 years. If they reach agreement on the nuclear issue, oil prices...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 07-18-2008

  • Israel's training exercise worries oil markets

    The US has now confirmed what oil traders have been suspecting - that Israel is preparing for a bombing raid on Iran's alleged nuclear facilities. According to Bloomberg and the New York Times , around 100 Israeli aircraft took part in a full-scale training exercise in early June. The distance it...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 06-24-2008

  • US natural gas prices rise 65%

    The US price for natural gas has risen faster than crude so far this year. It is already up almost 65%. Rising coal and oil prices have encouraged power generators to switch to gas, whilst lower Canadian exports and a tight global LNG market have helped to push prices higher. Increasing demand for ethanol...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 06-08-2008

  • A tale of two outlooks – part 2

    In an early blog last July , I marvelled at the contrast between the then upbeat nature of financial markets, and the gloom apparent elsewhere. I suggested that these two views of life couldn’t ‘continue to exist alongside each other for ever’, and suggested that whatever scenario came out on top would...
    Posted to ICIS Blogs (Weblog) by Anonymous on 04-20-2008
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