Asia polymer makers eye price hike on China, C2/C3 firming
Tahir Ikram
25-Feb-2015
Focus article by
Tahir Ikram
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asian polymer producers are
holding back on offers as they are expecting an uptrend in
the market on the back of firmer ethylene and propylene
prices and as the key China market resumes normal business
following the Lunar New Year holiday, market sources said on
Wednesday.
Ethylene prices are expected to rise in the near term as a
result of supply tightness in the market which has been
weighed by fewer exports from the Middle East amid feedstock
issues and cracker turnarounds, they said.
Several cracker turnarounds in South Korea and Japan which
are scheduled in the next couple of months will further
increase the supply tightness in the market, according to
market sources.
Some ethylene end-users have raised their buying ideas to
$970/tonne CFR NE Asia for March delivery, up from the
$940-960/tonne CFR NE Asia range published for the week to 13
February.
Similarly, propylene prices have risen amid limited supply
from South Korea where a number of producers have no spot
availability in the second quarter due to upcoming
turnarounds at their crackers and refineries during the
March-June period.
Prices were assessed at $950-970/tonne CFR NE Asia on 24
February, up from the $850-925/tonne CFR NE Asia level
published for the week ended 13 February.
Meanwhile, downstream polyethylene (PE) producers were
holding on offers earlier this week for March because of the
absence of Chinese players in the market due to the Lunar New
Year holidays from 18-22 February. Full resumption of
business is expected by the end of this week.
In southeast (SE) Asia, there is some supply tightness for PE
because of regional shutdowns, sources said.
Despite the recent slides in crude oil prices, players feel
that prices have already bottomed out and this will result in
a rebound in PE prices.
Market players which had been buying hand to mouth from last
year have been holding on to low inventories and will have to
restock soon, sources added.
Similar sentiment prevail in the Middle East polymer markets,
with most players waiting for China to come back from the
Lunar New Year break to get a clearer direction of the
market, industry sources said.
Middle East producers are low on stock and there is tight
supply for PE and polypropylene (PP) cargoes, they
added.
Producers and converters are also concerned about higher
monomer prices and feel that their prices have already
bottomed out so a hike in offers is due, they said.
Demand for PE and PP in Pakistan and India is also improving
significantly as buyers indicated a renewed willingness to
procure spot cargoes after months of weak sentiment.
A Pakistani-based buyer said producers are increasing PP
offers week-on-week by at least $50/tonne amid increased
enquiries and demand.
In the related polyvinyl chloride (PVC) market, prices are
climbing up in Asia as buyers are accepting higher offers
because of rising ethylene prices.
Northeast Asia producers have also indicated strong demand
from India as buyers restock their inventories after making
small purchases in the fourth quarter of last year.
For the southeast Asia market, sellers were seen offering
higher prices but some cautioned that firming ethylene-based
PVC prices will give room for carbide-based PVC to re-enter
the market.
In India, PVC players expect a rebound as sellers try to
recoup losses incurred in the previous months.
The Indian PVC market which saw limited trade in the previous
week owing to the Lunar New Year holiday at producer
facilities is likely to see higher offers for imports in the
following weeks.
Although a bulk of the PVC shipments for March was sold out
in the previous weeks, several sellers held back some volumes
to offer at higher prices.
PVC prices in India were assessed at $900-910/tonne CFR India
in the week ended 23 February, up $10/tonne at the low end,
as traders began offering cargoes at higher prices. These
were purchased in the previous weeks from producers at lower
prices.
An absence of lower-priced cargoes have nudged prices up
despite largely limited downstream demand from the
infrastructure as well as agriculture sectors.
Producers are willing to accept higher offers, while market
players are not buying until they see how the Chinese market
set their direction later this week or early in March.
In line with other polymers, polystyrene (PS) producers in
southeast Asia targeted prices at around $1,250/tonne CFR
this week, around $20-30/tonne higher than before the Lunar
New Year holidays.
Interest was heard to be firm as some buyers wanted to stock
up resins in case prices increase further.
Market players also expect stronger demand out of China in
the near term as manufacturing activities in China usually
picks up in the second quarter and spur demand for
resins.
Meanwhile, ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA) resin prices in Asia
may extend gains in March, when peak
demand season is expected to kick in, with further support
from gains in the upstream crude, naphtha and feedstock
ethylene markets.
Additional reporting by Yeow Pei Lin, Arianne Perez,
Muhamad Fadhil, Kite Chong, Veena Pathare, Helen Lee and
Clive Ong
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