GLOBALLY some 75% of aluminium is recycled, 86% of steel and 40% of glass. Why shouldn’t the same levels of recycling eventually apply to some polymers? A good example here is HDPE which is already the second easiest polymer to recycle after PET resins. As sustainability pressures build on the polymers industry, it seems reasonable to assume […]
Asian Chemical Connections
US GDP growth peaks as economic challenges build
A FULL two percentage points of US third quarter growth of 3.5% was down to stock building. Total US inventories grew by $76bn in Q3 following a $37bn contraction in the second quarter. The fourth quarter is always a period of destocking in the US and everywhere. This will combine with the big build-up in […]
Global recession approaches as chems data weakens, debt problems build
THE CHEMICALS industry is the “industry of industries” – upstream of all the manufacturing chains. This is why what is happening in chemicals serves as such an important early indicator. Take a look at the above chart – the latest from the American Chemistry Council. It shows that during September, capacity utilisation in the global […]
US equities risk following China as global debt bubble unwinds
THE CENTRAL character of The Big Short was the only person who bothered to read the detail of US mortgage debt securities that were at the heart of the Global Financial Crisis. All of us course now know that these securities were built on sub-prime debt that went wrong and almost caused the collapse of the global […]
China and the end-game of the global credit bubble
WHEN stock markets are rising it makes sense to fund your investments through margin debt. Over the last ten years in particular, this approach has produced stellar results because of the abundance of cheap and easy finance. But the above chart is an example of what can happen when lending tightens and demand for margin […]
China’s PE market in 2019 at risk of lower growth
By John Richardson THIS MIGHT turn out to be another good year for Chinese PE demand growth as the preliminary estimate from our China team is that 2018 consumption growth will be 7% compared with last year. This compares with the forecast in our Supply & Demand database of a 5.4% increase. The above […]
China PP growth at risk from lower auto sales, trade war
By John Richardson WE EXPECT China’s PP demand to rise by 6.5% in 2018 to total consumption of 27.8m tonnes. We then expect a further increase of 6% to 29.3m tonnes next year. It is too early to say for certain, but there is a risk that 2018 and 2019 PP demand growth will be […]
Mike Pence’s key China speech highlights Cold War risks for petchems
By John Richardson US VICE president Mike Pence made a barely reported speech on 4 October in which his big theory was that Bill Clinton, George W Bush and Barack Obama misread China. Mr Pence said that the nation they embraced as a partner was instead a competitor. It is important that you read the […]
PE margins turn negative as economic risks build
By John Richardson CASH margins for Asian linear-low density polyethylene (LLDPE) for naphtha-based producers have turned negative for the first time since Q1 2015, according to an industry contact. And this is of course before the flood of new US LLDPE production arrives in Asia. No matter how you crunch the numbers, the likely increase […]
China polymer growth at risk of 8.6m tonne decline on trade war
By John Richardson THERE is no other country or even region in the world that comes anywhere close to being as important to the global polymers industry as China, as the above chart reminds us. From end-2017 until the end of 2021 in seven of the major synthetic resins – PE, PP, PS, EPS, ABS, […]