By John Richardson In yesterday’s world the ongoing geopolitical tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran would have resulted in a sustained rally in oil prices. But this rally lasted barely couple of days as a result of persistently high US oil stocks and more alarming data emerging from China, such as the biggest-ever decline in […]
Asian Chemical Connections
Oil Prices: How To Avoid “Rear-View Mirror” Thinking
By John Richardson EARLIER this year I said that crude prices in the region of $30 a barrel were perfectly possible. Now, rather belatedly I feel, Goldman Sachs and other some other analysts are waking up to this possibility, with Goldman even going as far as saying $2o a barrrel is possible. Chemicals companies cannot […]
US “Swimming In Ethylene” As Global Polyethylene Problems Build
If you are interested in my take on Asian polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) prices and margins going forward 12 months, then contact me at this email address – john.richardson@icis.com. I will then provide you with details on how to subscribe to our Asia PE and PP Forecast Reports. By John Richardson IT was […]
Saudi Arabia: It Has Never Been About Beating US Shale Oil
By John Richardson THE CONVENTIONAL view is that Saudi Arabia has launched its market-share campaign in oil markets in order to pretty much get rid of the US shale-oil industry. By so doing, it would secure its long-term economic future through driving global prices back up to the region of $100 a barrel, goes this […]
Global Polyethylene: The Bubble Continues To Burst
By John Richardson THERE are further reasons to believe that the bubble continues to burst for much of the global polyethylene (PE) industry, after what has been a misleadingly strong first half of the year. US ethylene capacity and production are on the increase as production issues lessen and as the US prepares to also […]
Asian Polypropylene: The Recent Past And Immediate Future
If you are interested in my take on Asian polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) prices and margins going forward 12 months, then contact me at this email address – john.richardson@icis.com. I can then provide you with details on how to subscribe to our Asia PE and PP Forecast Reports. By John Richardson AS with the […]
Asia Polyethylene: Explaining The Past And Future
By John Richardson TAKE a look at the above chart and ask yourself this question, “Why is it that the spreads between high-density polyethylene (HDPE) injection grade and naphtha have been so good so far this year?” The same has therefore, of course, applied to margins for integrated PE producers. Let’s first of all look […]
Good Luck Isn’t The Same As Good Planning
By John Richardson The tail has long wagged the dog in Asia’s polyethylene (PE) market. Whilst the spot merchant ethylene market accounts for only around 5% of the total amount of ethylene that is produced in the region, ethylene spot prices drive polyethylene (PE) spot prices – with just about everyone buying and selling PE […]
European Petchems: Necessity is Again The Mother Of Invention
By John Richardson WHEN has a European cracker gone beyond its useful life? Forty or 50 years? Or maybe if you spend the right amount of money, it can last for a great deal longer. Devoting enough ingenuity and capital on boosting your cracker’s energy efficiency and feedstock flexibility can also secure the future of […]
China Would Be The Only Winner From A Price War
By John Richardson IT IS dangerously wrong to still think of China as just a cheap, copycat low-value manufacturing nation. Yes, cheap, agreed, and to begin with, as was the case with the US, it has copied other countries’ technologies. But forget low value, as China’s extraordinary growth in the smartphones business indicates. Eventually in […]
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