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Asian Chemical Connections

Scenarios For China Refining & Petchem Output

By John Richardson IF exploration and production (E&P) is the dog and refining the tail on the dog, poor old petrochemicals is merely a flee on the tail of the dog, goes the old saying. Hence last November we reported on the strange case of how China’s drive to hit emissions targets under its 11th […]

China Remains Weak On Government Tightening

By John Richardson CHINA’S polyethylene (PE) market – a reasonable proxy we often use for the chemicals and polymer industries as a whole – remains worryingly weak, according to several traders and producers interviewed by the blog this week. Modest restocking did take place last week, leading to a very slight improvement in sentiment and […]

Polyolefins – A Ripple In A Teacup

By John Richardson THIS might amount to a little more than a ripple in a teacup if the Middle East crisis brings the global economy down (as we said on Monday, crude could go to $220 a barrel if the crisis spreads to Algeria. Equity and oil markets were jittery yesterday on the belief that […]

Asian C2 Muddle Reflects Wider Uncertainty

By John Richardson ASIAN ethylene markets appear to be in a muddle over the Middle East supply picture. Click here for a graph of the latest pricing – EhylenePrices1March2011.ppt  A shipping industry source we spoke to recently insisted that more rather than less C2s were being exported from the region as opposed to the reduced […]

Petchems Confront Another Lehman Bros

  By John Richardson THE main issue facing Asian cracker operators a couple of weeks ago was how long co-product credits would continue to compensate for a moribund China polyethylene (PE) market. Feedstock cost is now the biggest immediate worry. A hike in naphtha saw integrated low-density PE (LDPE) margins plummet by $172/tonne, according to the […]

Job-hopping Causes Post-New Year Demand Dip

Chinese workers are on the hop….   Source of picture: advanced-fibre.com   By John Richardson CHINA’S polyolefin demand in the few days of proper trading that have taken place since the Lunar New Year has been described as “horrendous” and “grim” by two traders the blog spoke to yesterday. This was confirmed by a source […]

Saudi Producers Remain Confident

By John Richardson THE optimism of Saudi Arabian petrochemical producers remains extremely high, according to an industry observer who spoke to the blog. One might think we were to some extent stating the blatantly obvious as their margins will have swelled thanks to higher oil prices. But there is also little concern among the producers […]

What an excellent boss

By John Richardson VERY occasionally the blog deviates from its close coverage of petrochemical markets to focus on broader business issues. Today is one such occasion after a discussion with a manager of a major Asian chemicals trading operation. The manager is convinced that the good times are behind us, to refer back to the […]

Intuitively The Problems Are Building

By John Richardson THE signs are ominous as they have been since the beginning of the crisis. Intuitively, it still feels as if we are heading for some major macroeconomic problems. As Andrew Liveris, CEO of Dow Chemical, put it last week: “Overall, the world continues to recover to pre-recession levels. However, with inflation concerns […]

A Toxic Combination: Sentiment And Oil Prices

By John Richardson Yesterday we suggested that demographic challenges in the West, the strain on resources resulting from rising consumption in emerging markets and rising inflation should heavily feature in discussions at this week’s World Economic Forum in Davos. Chemical industry leaders who could be attending include Mohamed Al-Mady, CEO of SABIC, Andrew Liveris, CEO […]

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