By John Richardson In our third post on the context behind last week’s steep fall in polyolefins prices,and the prospects for a recovery, we look at inflation – one of China’s numerous economic challenges…..I NFLATION remains a major threat in China, hence the government is unable to make the cuts in interest rates necessary to […]
Asian Chemical Connections
Why Should Q2 Be Any Better?
By John Richardson THE question being asked during the first quarter of this year was, “Why shouldn’t Chinese chemicals demand come roaring back after a disappointing 2011?” The relevant question now, as we move into Q2, is, “Why should it come roaring back?” Chemicals analysts, and quite a few traders in products such as […]
Western Chems: Exporting Into More Domestic Trouble?
China’s migrant workers – a risky game… Source of picture: China Daily By John Richardson THIS very disturbing Op-Ed piece by Paul Krugman in the New York Times argues that the US needs to impose a 25% tariff on Chinese imports in response to the value of the Yuan being held at […]
Is China Targeting Polyolefin Re-export Market?
By John Richardson MORE evidence that China will not remain as easy a sink for surplus polyolefin volumes – especially in the case of the higher-cost importers – is emerging. “There are plans to open a bonded warehouse in Guangdong province to sell RMB material converted into US dollar product,” a Singapore-based polyolefin trader told me […]
A Chilling Chinese Export Rumour
“They are so cheap, I might even buy one as a hedge against global warming” Source of picture: www.formalwilderness.blogspot.com This blog has spent a lot of time tormenting itself over the sustainability of China’s extraordinary economic rebound during 2009. “Just where are all those imports of chemicals and polymers (polymers up 50% year-to-date) going?” […]
More Questionable Chinese Data Clouds The Picture
It seems as if Lex of the Financial Times is finally catching up with this blog by questioning the validity of some of the official data coming out of China. We take this as a compliment. In today’s column it talks about how the total for first-half Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth numbers for China’s 31 provinces […]
For Hands That Don’t Want To Do Dishes
Buy now, pay later…. Source: www.examiner.com Note: There is a special prize for the first blog reader who can explain the above headline. In the 2001 recession, US consumer spending slowed but did not fall, and picked up again very quickly. In the early 1990s, it dipped a bit but returned to pre-recession […]
More Muddle And Confusion
By John Richardson Manufacturers yesterday reported rising output and improved employment prospects in the US, Europe and Asia. China’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), involving a survey of more than 700 manufacturers, increased for the eighth straight month in a row – and is now back to where it was in May 2008. This is exactly […]
China’s chemical imports up – again!
By John Richardson We don’t have the actual data yet (hopefully, we’ll be able to give you the numbers later this week), but…… ……China’s commodity chemicals and polymer imports “continued to amaze” in September with monoethylene glycol (MEG) shipments hitting an all-time high, said Jean Sudol, president of US-based International Trader Publications Inc (ITP). “Imports […]
What’s China’s real consumption growth?
Source of picture: millermmccune.com How quickly is China shifting its economy away from exports towards stronger domestic consumption? The answer to this question is, of course, critical to the global chemicals industry. On the surface it looks good: Retail sales grew by 16.6% in the first half of 2009 and by a slightly more modest […]
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