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Prepare For A More Regionalised, Fragmented Polymers World

By John Richardson

THE above map global shows our base-case forecasts for global trade flows of HDPE, LLDPE and PP in 2025. It is the result of lots of hard work and smart thinking around feedstock costs, logistics costs and …

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China Tariffs On US Petchem Feedstocks To Reshape Global Trade And Investment

By John Richardson

CHINA’S planned tariffs against US petrochemical feedstock exports threaten a major upheaval of global trade flows in the feedstocks.

The tariffs could also strengthen petrochemicals feedstock trading relationships between China and its fellow Belt and Road Initiative …

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Why China Will Rapidly Become Paraxylene Self-Sufficient

By John Richardson

WOW, what an opportunity. That might be your reaction to the two above charts. On the left, you can see a quite breath taking rise in China’s paraxylene (PX) net imports (imports minus exports). In 2007, China’s …

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Iran Nuclear Decision Further Threat To US Polyethylene Exports

By John Richardson

DONALD TRUMP’S decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal, combined with the increasing likelihood of a US-China trade war, risks pushing the US polyethylene (PE) industry out in the cold.

The above chart illustrates the …

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Success And Failure In Polyolefins Redefined By Sustainability

By John Richardson

YOU DON’T have to be an oil and gas producer to be successful in polyolefins. Anyone with integration upstream as far as refining is in a strong commercial position.

It is also good enough to be integrated …

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US-China Trade War: Global Recession, Collapse Of Polyethylene Markets

By John Richardson

YOU have had more than 12 months to prepare for a global trade war that is becoming ever-more likely, almost by the day. This would lead to a new global recession given the shaky nature of today’s …

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Global Trade War: $12.4bn of US Petchems Exports At Risk

By John Richardson

THE CUMULATIVE negative effect on global GDP as more and more countries became involved in a trade war is estimated by the above table on the left, from a research paper by economists as the Australian National …

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China And US On Collision Course As Trade Tensions Build

By John Richardson

Yesterday, President Trump threatened to impose penalties on China for alleged abuse of intellectual property right rules. Below is the context behind way claims of abuses are likely to increase in the future.  This suggests that China …

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US Import Tariff Decision: Impact On Polyethylene And The Global Economy

By John Richardson

THE PROSPECT of a US-China trade war has edged closer as a result of President Trump’s announcement yesterday that the US will impose 25% import tariffs on steel and 10% import tariffs on aluminium. Countries hit hard …

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Plastic Waste Crisis: How Polymer Company Early Adopters Can Win

Being an “early adopter” is never easy because of cynicism and scepticism. But what choice do we polymer companies have? None, if they really want to protect their revenues.

 

By John Richardson

POLYMER companies will lose billions of euros …

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