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PE margins turn negative as economic risks build

By John Richardson

CASH margins for Asian linear-low density polyethylene (LLDPE) for naphtha-based producers have turned negative for the first time since Q1 2015, according to an industry contact.

And this is of course before the flood of new US …

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Sustainability to stop petchems from dominating oil growth…..

….and oil consumption into petchems might even decline because of the plastics rubbish crisis

By John Richardson

DONALD RUMSFELD famously categorised the future into “known knowns, known unknowns and unknown unknowns”.

A new study by the International Energy Agency (IEA) …

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US LLDPE exports to Europe to increase by at least 70% in 2019

By John Richardson

ON MONDAY I took the percentage shares of total US linear-low density polyethylene (LLDPE) exports in 2017 country by country and on this basis modelled what could happen in 2019.

We are next year due to see …

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Middle East, India, SEA petchems winners in new trading blocs

By John Richardson

JACK MA, the founder of Alibaba, said of the US/China trade war, “It’s going to last a long time, maybe 20 years. It’s going to be a mess. It’s not a trade war, it’s about competition between …

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US/China trade war will escalate even if new tariffs are delayed

By John Richardson

BY LATER today we may or may not know whether President Trump will proceed with threats to impose a further $200bn worth of tariffs against Chinese imports.

This decision is of critical importance to the global chemicals …

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PE Margins Fall As Trade War Threatens Two Entirely Separate Trading Blocks

By John Richardson

LET’S FIRST of all take a close look at what the above chart is telling us about the damage already done to polyethylene (PE) margins before considering what could happen next.

US high-density PE (HDPE) margins are …

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Why Trade War Will Continue Throughout 2019 And Impact On Polyethylene

By John Richardson

A MISCALCULATION by the White House could be one of several reasons why the US/China trade war continues throughout 2019 – and possibly even beyond that.

This is the idea that China is losing the trade war …

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Chinese PE Tariffs Come Into Effect: The Impact On The Global Business

By John Richardson

CHINA’S 25% import tariffs on all grades of US high-density polyethylene (HDPE) and 93% of the grades of linear-low density (LLDPE), which came into effect yesterday, look set to cause major damage to the global PE business. …

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US PE Exports: Impact Of China Tariffs On Smaller Markets

By John Richardson

LET US assume for downside planning purposes that the Chinese 25% tariffs against all US high-density polyethylene (HDPE) exports and 93% of US linear-low density (LLDPE) imports remain in place for the rest of this year and …

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Turkey Crisis: Implications For Polyolefins And Global Economy

By John Richardson

THE first ramification of the Turkey crisis is that the collapse of the lira raises questions over how Turkish importers will be able to afford the dollars to pay for some of the polyolefins imported since the …

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