By John Richardson THE end of China’s Golden Week holidays, which ran from 1-7 October, has represented an opportunity for some polyolefins traders. “Stocks were low before the holidays, and, as a result, once business activity resumed in earnest on 10 October, we have seen a considerable uptick in buying from the converters,” said one […]
Asian Chemical Connections
China’s New Petrochemicals Logic
By John Richardson WINNING approval for petrochemicals projects in China no longer seems to be as straightforward as it used to be because of increasing anger over the state of the environment and new economic priorities. The stalled paraxylene (PX) project at in the city of Kunming, in Sichuan province in southern China, is […]
European Demographics Challenge US Export Assumptions
By John Richardson US feedstock advantages appear to provide an almost overwhelming case for a big wave of cracker and downstream investments, particularly in polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP). In contrast, Europe is struggling with much-higher feedstock costs and low economic growth, resulting in the possibility of many more capacity closures. Only last week, for […]
Indonesia Petchem Investments
By John Richardson THE project activity in Indonesia, as the slide above, from our ICIS training Introduction to Petrochemicals Part I training programme, is a little worrying But there is one slight problem here: Demand. In the case of Indonesia, this excellent article in Forbes magazine from economist Jesse Colombo points out that China’s huge […]
US Labour Shortages Threaten Petchem Projects
By John Richardson WHEN is apparent bad news actually good news? In the case of the US, where a serious shortage of manpower might result in at least the delay in some petrochemicals projects and perhaps, even, hopefully, some cancellations. “For years there has been minimal construction activity in the US and so most workers […]
Germany’s Long-term Economic Challenges
Source of graph: Eurostat By John Richardson AS delegates gather for this year’s European Petrochemical Association (EPCA) meeting in Berlin, which takes place on 5-9 October, it might be tempting to believe that Europe has turned the corner. Supporting this argument has been the release of lots of positive economy data recently. For example, […]
Europe’s Economic “Recovery”
By John Richardson EUROZONE GDP expanded 0.3% in the second quarter of this year and it will probably also have expanded in Q3. As a result, if you view the end of a recession as two consecutive quarters of positive growth, the champagne corks should perhaps be popping. Europe’s politicians have seized on the […]
Shanghai Free Trade Zone Underlines Risks Ahead
By John Richardson MUCH ballyhoo greeted last week’s launch of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone – an eleven-square-mile experiment in economic liberalisation on the outskirts of the city. Comparisons have been drawn with 33 years ago, when Deng Xiaoping set up the Shenzhen Special Economic Zone as an antidote to the poverty and economic […]
Construction Drives China 2013 PE Growth
By John Richardson THE blog has been banging its head against a brick wall for several months now in an an effort to fully explain why polyethylene (PE) apparent demand growth has been so strong during most of 2013. Interviews with well over 20 producers, traders, end-users and market analysts (to be honest, we have […]
China And The New IPCC Report
By John Richardson THE blog isn’t a scientist and it has also often discussed the dangers of another consensus view: That the global economy will return to the Old Normal. Nevertheless, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has now said that there is a 95% chance that human activity is causing climate change, drawing […]
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