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China Overlooked Lending Data Down 64% As Economic Slowdown Continues

By John Richardson

FAR too little attention is still being paid to China’s lending data even though this has long been the key measure of whether its economy is accelerating or slowing down.

In January 2014, lending in China started …

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Polyethylene Margins Face Collapse On Overcapacity

By John Richardson

THE consensus view is that whilst global polyethylene (PE) margins have further to fall from their levels so far in 2018 (see the above chart), they will not get that much worse. It is thought that the …

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Asian Polyolefins Profits To Test 2012 Lows As Global Economy Slows

By John Richardson

PETROCHEMICALS are a great barometer for economic growth as they are the raw materials for so many finished goods. So, if petrochemicals producers see their profits slip, this provides an early signal that something is wrong with …

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Iran Nuclear Decision Further Threat To US Polyethylene Exports

By John Richardson

DONALD TRUMP’S decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal, combined with the increasing likelihood of a US-China trade war, risks pushing the US polyethylene (PE) industry out in the cold.

The above chart illustrates the …

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Success And Failure In Polyolefins Redefined By Sustainability

By John Richardson

YOU DON’T have to be an oil and gas producer to be successful in polyolefins. Anyone with integration upstream as far as refining is in a strong commercial position.

It is also good enough to be integrated …

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China Aims To End Petrochemicals Imports

By John Richardson

CHINA HAS changed its strategy for the petrochemicals and polymers where it is in deficit. Previously, the government accepted China’s position as a major importer. Now the plan is to move into balanced or long positions with …

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China plans to raise ethylene capacity by 113% in major self-sufficiency drive

By John Richardson

IN SEPTEMBER last year, I had thought that China might raise its ethylene capacity by as much as 71% by as early as 2022 over its end-2017 level of 23.5m tonnes. Now, though, our updated data show …

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Why China Can Become Major Polypropylene Exporter By 2025

By John Richardson

ONE of the main topics of debate in the global polypropylene (PP) business is whether or not China will become entirely self-sufficient. The pessimists, or rather I would say the realists, go a step further. They believe …

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