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US styrene another petchems sector at risk from trade war

By John Richardson

THE US decision to pick a fight with China over trade and geopolitical influence could backfire very badly from the perspective of new US investments in petrochemicals capacity – most notably polyethylene (PE) and ethylene glycols (EG).…

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US ethylene glycols: The Cost Of Exclusion From China

By John Richardson

IF THE US were unable to export ethylene glycols (EG) to China the economic logic of US capacity expansions would face major challenges.

Between 2018 and 2025, China will account for no less than 84% of global …

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PE Margins Fall As Trade War Threatens Two Entirely Separate Trading Blocks

By John Richardson

LET’S FIRST of all take a close look at what the above chart is telling us about the damage already done to polyethylene (PE) margins before considering what could happen next.

US high-density PE (HDPE) margins are …

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Why Trade War Will Continue Throughout 2019 And Impact On Polyethylene

By John Richardson

A MISCALCULATION by the White House could be one of several reasons why the US/China trade war continues throughout 2019 – and possibly even beyond that.

This is the idea that China is losing the trade war …

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Don’t Forget Turkey And Its Importance To Global Polyolefins

By John Richardson

YOU might well have forgotten the Turkish lira crisis because of the US/China trade war. But Turkey is crucial for the health of the global polyolefins business because of the size of its imports.

Before the US …

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US Risks Losing Access To 82% Of Global PE Consumption Growth, 80% Of Exports

By John Richardson

PERHAPS this week’s low-level trade talks between the US and China shouldn’t only be judged on the basis that they are low level, involving officials of mid-level seniority who are therefore not empowered to achieve major breakthroughs.…

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Turkey Crisis: Implications For Polyolefins And Global Economy

By John Richardson

THE first ramification of the Turkey crisis is that the collapse of the lira raises questions over how Turkish importers will be able to afford the dollars to pay for some of the polyolefins imported since the …

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US-China Trade War: Global Recession, Collapse Of Polyethylene Markets

By John Richardson

YOU have had more than 12 months to prepare for a global trade war that is becoming ever-more likely, almost by the day. This would lead to a new global recession given the shaky nature of today’s …

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Global Trade War: $12.4bn of US Petchems Exports At Risk

By John Richardson

THE CUMULATIVE negative effect on global GDP as more and more countries became involved in a trade war is estimated by the above table on the left, from a research paper by economists as the Australian National …

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US Import Tariff Decision: Impact On Polyethylene And The Global Economy

By John Richardson

THE PROSPECT of a US-China trade war has edged closer as a result of President Trump’s announcement yesterday that the US will impose 25% import tariffs on steel and 10% import tariffs on aluminium. Countries hit hard …

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