Tag Archives | China economy

China’s Polypropylene Market: The Big Inland Growth Opportunities

By John Richardson

A CONVENTIONAL WAY to assess the pace of polymers demand growth in a developing country is to assume links with historical patterns in developing countries.

How long did it take the US, Western Europe and other developed …

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China’s Polyethylene Market: Three New Scenarios For 2018-2025

By John Richardson

THE above slide underlines the growing complexity surrounding China’s economy, politics, society,  environmental policies and trading relationship with the US. I’ve placed this complexity in the context of the implications for the polyethylene (PE) industry. The above …

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Asian Petchems Profits Could Test Historic Lows In 2018

By John Richardson

THE ASIAN steam cracker business has struggled to pass on higher oil prices as the above chart further underlines. As you can see, high-density polyethylene (LLDPE) injection grade spreads including selected co-products have slipped over the last …

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Petrochemicals Destocking Phase Likely As Crude Volatility Increases

By John Richardson

WE COULD now be in a destocking phase in petrochemicals markets as oil prices are falling on a surge in US production.

This would obviously mean lower petrochemicals pricing, leaving companies that have overbuilt raw material inventories …

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Petchems Face Major Inventory Risk As Economic Confidence Builds

By John Richardson

NOBODY knows how many tonnes of un-cracked naphtha are sitting in steam cracker storage tanks around the world compared with H1 of last year.

Or how much plastic resin and rolls of plastic film are being held …

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China Debt Crisis: Out Of Fashion, But Could Still Happen

By John Richardson

NO LONGER is the promotion of local government officials in China being solely measured by their success in hitting GDP growth targets. What is instead taking priority is how successful local authorities are in cleaning-up the environment. …

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Petchems Pricing Power, Operating Rates Tell Real Economic Story

By John Richardson

PETROCHEMICALS and polymers pricing power – how easily petrochemicals producers can pass-on higher oil prices to their customers – is a great measure of the strength of the overall global economy.

The reason is that petrochemicals are …

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US-China Trade Relations In 2018: Prepare For The Worst

By John Richardson

WE GOT away with it in 2017 by luck rather than design, as there is of course very little that petrochemicals and polymers companies can do to prevent a global trade war other than lobbying politicians.

Part …

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2018 Oil and Petchems: Risk Of Mistaking Apparent For Real Demand

By John Richardson

PERHAPS the most important recent single paragraph of analysis, in the huge volume of analysis out there about oil markets, was this from Nick Cunningham in a 24 December article on oilprice.com:

The [global crude] inventory surplus …

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