Tag Archives | polymers

How Lehman Bros reshaped China and the global PE business

By John Richardson

MOST of the analysis on the tenth anniversary of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) focuses on the effects on Western economies and societies. Economic inequality has risen since 2008 resulting in the rise of populist politics, is …

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PE Margins Fall As Trade War Threatens Two Entirely Separate Trading Blocks

By John Richardson

LET’S FIRST of all take a close look at what the above chart is telling us about the damage already done to polyethylene (PE) margins before considering what could happen next.

US high-density PE (HDPE) margins are …

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The Three Essential Oil Price, Economic Growth Scenarios For Petchems

By John Richardson

ALL the excitement over the positive impact of US tax cuts should be placed very firmly in this context from an early July Reuters article:

US budget analysts generally look at the impact of tax changes over …

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China PP Imports To Halve By 2025 Or Turn Into Exports

By John Richardson

CHINA IS accelerating its drive towards at the very least much greater PP self-sufficiency by 2025.

There is also a credible second scenario where China becomes a significant exporter by that same year, most logically to the …

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Increasing Risks Of Financial Crisis By End-Year

A sign that the central bank “put option” has come to an end

By John Richardson

EVER since 2008 there has been been a fantastic “put option” which has made the fortunes of many financial and commodity market investors. This …

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China Scrap Plastic Restrictions Create 111 Million Tonne Problem, Opportunity

By John Richardson

FOR so many years, developed countries were able to limit the extent to which they had to incinerate, landfill and properly recycle plastic waste by shipping the waste to developing countries, mainly to China.

A Science Advances …

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Six More Years Of America First: Implications For Global Petchems

By John Richardson

DESPITE all the criticism surrounding President Trump’s handling of the Helsinki summit, 79% of Republican voters said that they approved of how he handled his meeting with President Putin, according to Axios/SurveyMonkey.

The Wall Street Journal also …

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China Debt Squeeze, Trade War, Dollar Strength Pose Major Risks

By John Richardson

IT DIDN’T matter if there was any truth behind the stories people used to tell each other about the Chinese economy as it underwent an unprecedented period of growth in 2009-2014. All that mattered was that a …

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Prepare For A More Regionalised, Fragmented Polymers World

By John Richardson

THE above map global shows our base-case forecasts for global trade flows of HDPE, LLDPE and PP in 2025. It is the result of lots of hard work and smart thinking around feedstock costs, logistics costs and …

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China Tariffs On US Petchem Feedstocks To Reshape Global Trade And Investment

By John Richardson

CHINA’S planned tariffs against US petrochemical feedstock exports threaten a major upheaval of global trade flows in the feedstocks.

The tariffs could also strengthen petrochemicals feedstock trading relationships between China and its fellow Belt and Road Initiative …

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