Tag Archives | US economy

US PE Exports: Impact Of China Tariffs On Smaller Markets

By John Richardson

LET US assume for downside planning purposes that the Chinese 25% tariffs against all US high-density polyethylene (HDPE) exports and 93% of US linear-low density (LLDPE) imports remain in place for the rest of this year and …

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China tariffs: Quantifying The Impact On US Petchems And Energy

By John Richardson

PRESIDENT Trump believes he is winning the trade war with China because of the much greater strength of US stock markets versus their Chinese counterparts. At the start of last week, for example, the two major Chinese …

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China 25% Tariffs On US PE Imports Extended To All HDPE, Nearly All LLDPE

By John Richardson

CHINA has extended its 25% import tariffs on US polyethylene (PE) to include all grades of high-density polyethylene (HDPE) that it imported in 2017 and 93% of the grades of linear-low density PE (LLDPE) that it imported …

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China’s Latest Threat Of US Methanol Tariff Perfectly Targeted

By John Richardson

CHINA crunches exactly the same data as the rest of us, as I warned on Friday when discussing polyethylene (PE). China’s government is very aware of the dominant role China plays in global energy, petrochemicals and polymers …

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Polyethylene: Damage From Trade War Should Not Be Underestimated

By John Richardson

THE argument that the US-China trade war will have a minimal impact on the global polyethylene (PE) business is based on two assumptions, both of which I will argue could easily prove to be wrong.

Firstly, some …

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Increasing Risks Of Financial Crisis By End-Year

A sign that the central bank “put option” has come to an end

By John Richardson

EVER since 2008 there has been been a fantastic “put option” which has made the fortunes of many financial and commodity market investors. This …

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Six More Years Of America First: Implications For Global Petchems

By John Richardson

DESPITE all the criticism surrounding President Trump’s handling of the Helsinki summit, 79% of Republican voters said that they approved of how he handled his meeting with President Putin, according to Axios/SurveyMonkey.

The Wall Street Journal also …

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China Debt Squeeze, Trade War, Dollar Strength Pose Major Risks

By John Richardson

IT DIDN’T matter if there was any truth behind the stories people used to tell each other about the Chinese economy as it underwent an unprecedented period of growth in 2009-2014. All that mattered was that a …

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Prepare For A More Regionalised, Fragmented Polymers World

By John Richardson

THE above map global shows our base-case forecasts for global trade flows of HDPE, LLDPE and PP in 2025. It is the result of lots of hard work and smart thinking around feedstock costs, logistics costs and …

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US-China Trade War To Accelerate As Restrictions On US Petchem Exports Increase

By John Richardson

TAKE a broader view of US-China trading relationship and the picture looks very different from the straightforward, headline big US deficit, as James Kynge points out in this important article in the FT.

It is the presence …

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