Tag Archives | Xi Jinping

How Lehman Bros reshaped China and the global PE business

By John Richardson

MOST of the analysis on the tenth anniversary of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) focuses on the effects on Western economies and societies. Economic inequality has risen since 2008 resulting in the rise of populist politics, is …

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The Three Essential Oil Price, Economic Growth Scenarios For Petchems

By John Richardson

ALL the excitement over the positive impact of US tax cuts should be placed very firmly in this context from an early July Reuters article:

US budget analysts generally look at the impact of tax changes over …

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Increasing Risks Of Financial Crisis By End-Year

A sign that the central bank “put option” has come to an end

By John Richardson

EVER since 2008 there has been been a fantastic “put option” which has made the fortunes of many financial and commodity market investors. This …

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China Debt Squeeze, Trade War, Dollar Strength Pose Major Risks

By John Richardson

IT DIDN’T matter if there was any truth behind the stories people used to tell each other about the Chinese economy as it underwent an unprecedented period of growth in 2009-2014. All that mattered was that a …

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China Polyethylene Strong Q1 Growth Doesn’t Reflect Risks Ahead

By John Richardson

CHINA’S Q1 2018 polypropylene (PP) imports were down by 20% year-on-year as apparent demand (net imports plus local production) rose by just 1% on the steep fall in the availability of lending. Meanwhile, overall polyethylene (PE) imports …

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Why China Will Rapidly Become Paraxylene Self-Sufficient

By John Richardson

WOW, what an opportunity. That might be your reaction to the two above charts. On the left, you can see a quite breath taking rise in China’s paraxylene (PX) net imports (imports minus exports). In 2007, China’s …

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China Overlooked Lending Data Down 64% As Economic Slowdown Continues

By John Richardson

FAR too little attention is still being paid to China’s lending data even though this has long been the key measure of whether its economy is accelerating or slowing down.

In January 2014, lending in China started …

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