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Updated to Q2 2017
In Q2, the US with a challenged planting season marked with weather interruptions, ammonia applications were likely diminished along with corn acreage sowed. This provided a tough backdrop for the benchmark contract continuing its upward trend.
With plenty of supply at hand at the farm gate and with new capacity giving way for spot deals, the Tampa benchmark contract indeed took a backwards step through the period.
Loadings for April settled at $340/tonne CFR, while May saw the market conditions starting to sway with the contract struck at a slight decrease at $330/tonne CFR. But it was in June that the market fell significantly as the loadings were agreed up at $265/tonne CFR.
In Trinidad the quarter saw more stability in the natgas curtailment levels which left plant facilities running near optimum according to a producer with inventory levels viewed as comfortable.
Sentiment is growing that with less use in the key crop regions, particularly the Midwest, that there will be additional pressure to place the new capacity into the market and will therefore weigh on the Tampa settlement through Q3.
While the market is in a typical lull period ahead of refill activity, there is thought that if there is the additional inventory at hand, there could be a significant shift the outlook for refill expectations, with a more pessimistic viewpoint poised to prevail.
The US weekly ammonia report covers spot prices for the US Gulf (USG). A particular interest is the benchmark Tampa price for ammonia, which sets the tone for all US ammonia transactions.
To gather the information for the report, ICIS talks to a lot of people – distributors, producers, dealers and everyone in the ammonia distribution chain. The ammonia report is of interest to producers, distributors, dealers and everyone else along the distribution chain who requires an in-depth analysis of the ammonia market.
Here at ICIS, our team of fertilizer reporters brings you the best and latest information within our reports to help your business make informed decisions.
ICIS collects pricing data on a wide range of chemical, energy and fertilizer products, including Ammonia. Our extensive experience in price reporting means we can offer you access to historical data dating back more than 20 years for certain commodities.
Our time series of pricing data enables you to build and model trends, to get a view of where markets might be heading. The data service includes charting functionality, allowing you to chart and download multiple data series for manipulation in your own internal models. You can also export data to Excel via the ICIS dashboard service.
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