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Updated to Q1 2017
Ethylene dichloride (EDC) prices were on an uptrend in Asia throughout the first quarter. Higher upstream feedstock ethylene prices contributed to the EDC price increases. Overall availability of cargoes in Asia were tight which also pushed up the prices of the spot cargoes. Producers of EDC also firmed up their offers on the back of better downstream polyvinyl chloride (PVC) demand.
However there was a wide buy-sell gap in the region. Buyers in northeast Asia, particularly Chinese buyers, were not willing to increase their bids. Only limited deals were heard concluded throughout the period. Buyers in the region argued that with the current offers of EDC , itwould make more economic sense for them to buy ethylene and produce EDC by themselves. Sellers however are unlikely to lower prices on the back of overall tight availability of spot cargoes and better downstream PVC demand in the spring season.
Updated to Q1 2017
European ethylene dichloride (EDC) spot prices have risen significantly in Q1 2017 due to higher upstream prices and the tight polyvinyl chloride (PVC) market. Prices have increased by 24% compared to early January.
EDC liquidity has been higher in early 2017 compared to 2016, with more spot deals agreed in Europe and higher downstream demand. Prices in 2016 were almost entirely flat due to the low number of spot deals taking place.
Ethylene prices have also trended upwards this year, rising by nearly 12% compared to the end of December last year. EDC is made of 25-28% ethylene by volume.
Going forward, feedstock price movements will continue to affect EDC, with a great deal depending on the direction of crude prices. Sources expect that liquidity will continue to be higher than in 2016 with some new deals being considered in late March and April at higher prices than in February.
Updated to Q1 2017
US ethylene dichloride (EDC) prices moved up $50/tonne FOB US Gulf during the first quarter.
Even so, US producers fought tightening margins as feedstock ethylene costs moved up sharply in January to peak in early February.
The EDC price increase roughly followed its raw material cost factor derivative polyvinyl chloride (PVC). EDC accounts for about 45% of PVC raw material costs. PVC rose about $100/tonne during the quarter and contract prices rose 4 cents/lb, or $88/tonne.
US EDC exports fell during the last four months of 2016 compared with the same period in 2015, but started 2017 with the highest January export volumes of the past four years. Still, US exports were up 10% for 2016 compared with 2015.
US EDC prices are expected to continue to follow the values for PVC during the second quarter.
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