Going Long on Coal Front-Year/Year+2 Spread Tends to Pay Off

Over the course of six out of the past eight years – including all of the past five – the Rotterdam coal front year has gained more (or lost less) than the year+2 contract.

In the average year so far this decade, the front year gained $2.54/tonne on year+2. In the median year, it gained $3.48/tonne.

In this infographic, ICIS market reporter, William Peck, shows movements in the spreads between the two contracts over this period, and looks ahead to determine whether the pattern will repeat this year.

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