Carbon Emissions Europe

Find out more about our European carbon products.

Helping you make better trading decisions in the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS)

How can we help you?

At ICIS we’re focused on providing independent, robust and insightful analysis of the EU ETS. Our clients trust us to explain the market impact of policy news and trading updates, help them understand market participant behaviour and predict how EUA prices will evolve.

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For example, our EU ETS experts use time saving, executable analyst updates to explain the impact of policy news and trading updates. We also use the inputs from our Timing Impact Model (TIM), such as behavioural data, traded positions (behaviour-driven market balances) and other rich datasets, to provide deeper insight. When you need urgent answers or another perspective, we give you a 1 to 1 service by email, phone or Messenger.

Find out more about our EU carbon intelligence products

EU ETS Portal

The EU ETS Portal provides our complete suite of tools designed to help traders, analysts and risk managers interpret the impact of policy and regulatory developments whilst also identifying risks and opportunities in the market. These tools include behaviour-driven analysis, price forecasts and the inputs and outputs from the Timing Impact Model (TIM), which are the perfect starting point for your own analysis.

Find out more on the EU ETS Portal »

EU ETS Insight

The EU ETS Insight provides the highlights of the ICIS EU behaviour-driven analysis. Therefore, it’s ideal for stakeholders who need to keep in touch with key developments in the EU ETS and want to understand the market impact of those developments but require neither detailed datasets nor deeper insight.

Find out more on the EU ETS Insight »

ICIS Carbon Markets Almanac 2017


The ICIS Carbon Markets Almanac provides a top-level view of global efforts to combat climate change with cap-and-trade systems. For each of the different schemes worldwide, it highlights key design characteristics and includes spotlight articles discussing specific system features.

Our overarching breakout articles for 2017 include an analysis of the post-2020 carbon world and how we will get there, a discussion of President Trump’s impact on carbon trading, as well as a study on the Brexit and its effect on EU carbon and power markets.

View the full alamanac

Regional overview

Updated to Q4 2015

During the fourth quarter, carbon prices hit a three-year high on the back of two pieces of reform.

Under an emergency fix known as back-loading, some of the scheduled supply has been removed from daily auctions. At the end of the decade, this volume will be put directly in a market stability reserve, under structural reform agreed this year.

Since back-loading started in 2014, price have gradually risen, which has continued in the fourth quarter. The benchmark December ’15 contract hit the highest since 2012, or €8.67/tCO2e. The consensus among analysts is that there are more gains on the horizon, although short-term volatility and speculative trading could make the upward trajectory non completely linear.

An additional factor behind the gains is a reduction in surplus sale by industrial companies, which are opting to bank spare allowances for future use rather than selling them off, given the bullish price outlook.

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