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Updated to Q4 2014
During the fourth quarter of 2014, northwest European gasoline markets had a mixed performance.
Overall demand from the US has fallen as North American crude gets lighter and more refined products are available globally.
However, demand for European gasoline picked up early in the fourth quarter as a spate of refinery outages boosted demand.
Production cuts in Brazil and Venezuela led to an unprecedented buying spree in the European gasoline market.
The arbitrage to the US was also open in the early part of the fourth quarter, but closed off in late November.
Gasoline refinery margins perked up in the fourth quarter due to the sharp fall in upstream ICE Brent crude oil futures, and production was ramped up accordingly.
However, buying appetite for gasoline from within Europe stayed unexceptional throughout the fourth quarter.
Europe is long on gasoline, so participants in that region export volumes to the US and West Africa to keep stocks in balance.
Nevertheless, gasoline exports to the US are under pressure compared to recent years because of the ongoing shale revolution in the country.
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ICIS price assessments are based on information gathered from a wide cross-section of the market, comprising consumers, producers, traders and distributors from more than 250 reporters world-wide. Confirmed deals, verified by both buyer and seller, provide the foundation of our price assessments.
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