ICIS price reporting for regional Vinyl chloride monomer markets is unparalleled in its ability to keep you on top of the information you need.
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Updated to Q4 2019
With most regional producers returning to normal production amid minimal turnarounds in the fourth quarter this year, supply is subsequently expected to normalise.
Supply is expected thereafter expected to remain constant for the remainder of the year, with Hanwha Chemical’s 170,000 tonne/year VCM expansion only expected to start up in early 2020.
With supply issues largely expected to be sorted out by the fourth quarter this year, VCM demand is largely expected to follow downstream the polyvinyl chloride (PVC) market as much of VCM production is integrated into PVC.
PVC demand is tied to infrastructure and GDP growth, and market sentiments are weighed down by China’s sluggish economic outlook.
European VCM supply is expected to be stable or lower in the fourth quarter. A number of turnarounds are expected in related sectors, with recent utilisation and production figures for upstream chlorine also showing decreases in the third quarter. There is not expected to be a significant change in trade volumes.
European VCM demand is expected to be stable or weaker in the fourth quarter as the weak European economy is likely to impact the downstream PVC market for specialist applications. Spot business in the VCM market makes up a relatively limited part of the market, with the majority of capacity integrated into downstream PVC production systems.
VCM demand through the third quarter firmed and held steady during the peak demand season for derivative polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and for exported material that moves under contract to producers of PVC in other regions. Demand held steady during the third quarter as domestic demand for derivative PVC firmed seasonally, but at below the level of 2018.
Supply of US vinyl chloride during the fourth quarter is expected to decline as the peak construction season draws to a close and production of derivative PVC lowers. Most US VCM is produced and consumed internally and remains in line with PVC supply levels.
We offer the following regional Vinyl chloride monomer coverage to keep you informed of factors and developments affecting prices in the “Asia, Europe & US” Vinyl chloride monomer marketplace.
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VCM production takes place in an integrated balanced process, comprising three units, direct chlorination, oxychlorination and ethylene dichloride (EDC) cracking.
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