German economy improves in September but banking remains a concern – Zew
Morgan Condon
15-Sep-2020
LONDON (ICIS)–The German economy has continued to improve in September despite some worrying indicators, economic research group Zew said on Tuesday.
The Zew Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany rose 5.9 points in September, month on month, to 77.4 points.
“Stalled Brexit talks and rising coronavirus cases could not dampen the positive mood,” said Zew president Achim Wambach.
“However, the still negative outlook for the banking sector reveals fears of a rising number of loan defaults in the coming six months.”
The 19-country eurozone’s largest economy is also home to the region’s largest chemicals industry; in 2019, Germany’s chemicals employed around 450,000 workers and posted sales at €193bn.
–
Attitudes towards the current economic
situation have also improved although still
remain negative at -66.2 points, 15.1 points
higher than in August.
EUROZONE LAGS BEHIND
The
eurozone’s sentiment also improved in
September, compared with August, although at a
more modest pace than Germany, said Zew.
Sentiment for the eurozone’s economic development also increased by 9.9 points bringing the indicator to 73.9 points for September.
The current economic situation rose 8.9 points to -80.9 points overall.
STILL PRE-PANDEMIC
LEVELS
Increased business confidence suggests that the
German economy is tracking a stronger recovery
than the eurozone.
“While the current conditions index has improved rapidly, its level remains well below pre-crisis … This shows that the recessionary forces caused by the lockdowns are easing but have not disappeared yet,” said analysts at Oxford Economics.
“Following the strong mechanical post-lockdown rebound, the recovery in the eurozone is flattening out.”
Front page picture: Frankfurt’s financial
district; Zew said potential bankruptcies in
coming months are putting a strain on Germany’s
banking sector
Picture source: Michael
Probst/AP/Shutterstock
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