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SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Vietnam’s economy grew by
5.33% year on year in the third quarter, aided
in part by improved exports in September,
preliminary official data showed on Friday.
The reading was higher than the annualized
4.05% expansion in the previous quarter but
represented a sharp deceleration from the 13.7%
pace recorded in the same period last year, the
General Statistics Office (GSO) said in a
statement.
For the month of September, Vietnam’s
merchandise exports rose by 1.4% year on year,
reversing the 6.7% decline in August.
For the first nine months of 2023, Vietnam’s
average GDP growth stood at 4.24%.
The Vietnamese government expects this year’s
economic growth to be 6.5%, down from 8% in
2022. The growth last year was the fastest
recorded since 1997.
29-Sep-2023
HOUSTON (ICIS)–US Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)
and Syngenta Group announced they have signed a
memorandum of understanding (MoU) to
collaborate in scaling research and
commercialization of low carbon oilseeds to
help meet rising demand for biofuels and other
sustainably sourced products.
The agribusiness titan said the MoU envisions a
situation by which ADM and Syngenta would
leverage their existing capabilities to
accelerate the research, processing and
commercialization of new low carbon-intensity
oilseeds, such as camelina, that are typically
grown in the fallow period of a crop rotation.
The companies noted that they bring broad
capabilities to this effort with Syngenta have
research and development strengths, which offer
biotechnology support, seed treatments and
biologicals that further reduce the carbon
intensity of crops.
It also has agronomic knowledge from a network
of local, field experts combined with excellent
farmer relationships.
For its part ADM has a global scale and
logistical expertise including unparalleled
production and storage capabilities along with
relationships with growers and customers
spanning food, feed, fuel, industrial and
consumer products.
ADM and Syngenta said they envision fostering
partnerships with additional companies to
support the creation, commercialization and
processing of these next generation oilseeds.
“This exciting MoU with Syngenta demonstrates
how we are working with partners to bring the
full value chain together to support new seed
technologies,” Greg Morris, ADM Agricultural
Services and Oilseeds business president said.
“It builds on our unique capabilities by
creating a path to scale the processing of
cover crops, a process we’ve already
successfully piloted. We look forward to
working with Syngenta to advance this work and
continue to meet demand for sustainably sourced
fuels and other products.”
The companies said global demand for biofuels
is expected to grow by 35bn liters per year
over the 2022-2027 period, which represents an
increase of 22%.
“Syngenta is excited to join forces with ADM to
bring more sustainable and profitable solutions
to farmers,” Justin Wolfe, Syngenta Global
Seeds president said.
“Sustainability is a core enabler of our
business strategy. We believe collaborations,
such as this one, are important ways to drive
quicker innovation that delivers higher yield
potential while carrying a lower impact to our
environment.”
The companies expect to sign definitive
agreements by the end of the year and said that
they are already advancing important work
together around growing and processing
varieties.
28-Sep-2023
HOUSTON (ICIS)–An integrated polyester plant
being built by Alpek, Indorama and Far Eastern
New Century (FENC) is the fourth chemical
project to be hit by cost overruns.
The three companies are partners in the Corpus
Christi Polymers (CCP), which is building a
project in Corpus Christi, Texas, that will
produce purified terephthalic acid (PTA) and
polyethylene terephthalate (PET).
Earlier this week, the three joint venture
partners
decided to temporarily halt the project
because of inflation as well as high
construction and labour costs.
The joint venture did not disclose the
magnitude of the costs.
CORPUS CHRISTI JOINS GROWING LIST OF
COST OVERRUNSThe project in
Corpus Christi is the fourth chemical project
that reported significant cost overruns this
year. The following lists the other three.
The capital budget for the
second commercial-scale plant of Origin
Materials rose to $1.60bn from
$1.07bn. Origin also is splitting the project
into two phases, delaying the startup and
reducing the scale of the plant. The project
will produce renewable oils that can be
processed into biofuels and feedstock that can
be converted into a component used to make
polyethylene terephthalate (PET) or
polyethylene furanoate (PEF)
Phillips 66 expects to spend
$1.25bn to convert its San Francisco
refinery in Rodeo, California, to produce
renewable fuels, up 47% from an earlier
estimate of $850m made in May 2022
The costs for an
ultrapure sulphuric acid plant being
built in Casa Grande, Arizona, have increased
to $300m-380m, up 50%. The project, currently
on hold, is being developed by Chemtrade
Logistics and joint-venture partner Kanto Group
REASONS FOR
OVERRUNSCosts are rising in part
because of a severe shortage of qualified
skilled workers, which has contributed to
higher salaries.
Construction pay is rising at its fastest rate
in two decades, said Ken Simonson, chief
economist for the Associated General
Contractors of America (AGC), a trade group
that represents companies that build
infrastructure, industrial plants and other
nonresidential construction projects.
He made his comments in an interview with ICIS,
which had earlier reported on the cost
overruns hitting chemical projects.
For construction materials, some shortages
persist, such as for transformers, switch gears
and other electrical equipment, Simonson said.
Diesel prices have recently risen by their
largest amount since 1990, contributing to
construction costs.
Recent tariffs that the US imposed on steel and
other materials have set a floor on prices,
Simonson said. As inflation cools, those
tariffs will keep prices for those materials at
an elevated level.
SURGE IN MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTIONAn incredible surge
in US manufacturing projects has increased
demand for construction labour and materials.
The following chart shows the increase in
construction spending for manufacturing
projects. Figures are in millions of dollars.
Source: US Census
Bureau
In July 2023, the most recent month for which
data are available, spending in manufacturing
spending rose by 71% year on year.
Simonson listed some of the reasons behind the
surge in spending.
Semiconductor fabrication plants (fabs),
other electronics projects
Petrochemical plants and liquefied natural
gas (LNG) plants
Electric vehicles (EVs) and associated
battery plants
Projects intended to shorten and simplify
supply chains by bringing manufacturing closer
to customers
Renewable energy and carbon-capture
projects
To qualify for many government incentives,
projects need to contain a certain amount of
materials made in the US. Consequently,
companies are building more plants to produce
those materials in the US
28-Sep-2023
SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Brazil’s chemicals producer
prices rose by 1.02% in August, month on month,
ending an 18-month long downturn, the country’s
statistical office IBGE said on Thursday.
Year on year, however, chemicals producer
prices were 30.75% lower than in August 2022.
Plastic and rubber producer prices fell by
0.56% in August, and by 7.04% compared with
August 2022.
Brazil’s overall industrial producer prices
rose by 0.92% in August, after six months of
falls. Year on year, they stood 10.51% lower
than in August 2022.
Much of the increase, according to IBGE
analysts, could be attributed to the
depreciation of the real during August, making
imports into Brazil more expensive for
industrial players.
As of Thursday, the Brazilian real (R) was
trading at $1:R5.06. In July and preceding
months, the real had been strengthening and
went as high as $1:R4.72.
“This greater spread of positive variations [in
producer prices] is in line with the 2.1%
depreciation of the real against the dollar,
which has not occurred since March, and which
raises the prices of both what we import and
what we export,” said Alexandre Brandao, IBGE’s
head for the Industirial Producer Prices (PPI
in its Portuguese acronym) index.
To compile the PPI, IBGE tracks the average
change in sales prices received by domestic
producers of goods and services at the factory
gate. It surveys around 2,100 companies about
their prices, excluding costs for taxes,
tariffs, and freight.
28-Sep-2023
SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Argentina’s economic output
fell by 1.3% in July, year on year, but posted
an increase of 2.4% compared with June, the
country’s statistics office Indec said this
week.
Agriculture, still reeling from a historic
drought which hit Argentina’s grain exports
hard, and manufacturing posted falls in output
in July, year on year, of 14.0% and 3.7%,
respectively.
Month on month, however, economic activity rose
by 2.4%.
July’s economic indicators come after Indec
confirmed earlier this month the economy
contracted by 4.9% in the second quarter, year
on year.
CRUDE DOLLARWhile
Argentina’s economic woes continue rising the
Argentinian government launched this week the
‘Vaca Muerta dollar’ to let the country’s key
oil sector enjoy more favourable peso exchange
rates for the next two months.
Vaca Muerta is Argentina’s vast oil and gas
field in Patagonia.
With the measure, the state would also increase
its revenue by around $1.2bn, said Massa, as
the country is in dire need of dollar reserves.
The experiment would follow the example of the
‘soy dollar’, which also allowed agricultural
exporters to have more favourable exchange
rates.
With inflation running at nearly 125%,
Argentina has tight control of the official
exchange rates, but it can also favour certain
economic sectors.
For the next two months, oil and gas exporters
will be able to exchange 25% of the value of
their exports using the cryptocurrency CYCLEAN
(CCL) exchange rate to convert their dollars
into pesos.
The CCL rate offers the oil sector about 763
pesos per dollar, or more than double the value
of the official rate, which stands at around
350 pesos per greenback.
“We made the decision to recognise 25% of what
[energy companies] export and bring to
Argentina to invest using the CCL value so that
they increase investment levels over the next
60 days in the oil and gas sector,” said
Argentina’s economy minister, Sergio Massa.
Massa is also the candidate of the governing
party for the general election on 22 October,
but open primaries held in August showed his
chances to renew mandate are slim, with
opposition candidates performing strongly.
The new government-mandated favourable dollar
rate adds up to a long and maddening list of
informal dollar rates currently circulating in
Argentina; financial daily Ambito
Financiero keeps daily track of them
here.
28-Sep-2023
VIENNA (ICIS)–The chemicals sector needs to be
willing to be more transparent despite the risk
of attracting criticism if the sector wants to
attract the next generation of talent, an
academic said on Thursday.
Greater openness and willingness to engage in
the public conversation around issues such as
sustainability, waste, and the green transition
is necessary to alter the perception of the
sector among new graduates considering career
opportunities, according to Andy Mount, dean of
research and strategic partnerships at the
University of Edinburgh’s school of chemistry.
“[If an] area is rife with controversy, the
tendency can then be to take a step back,” he
said, speaking on the closing day of the 57th
annual European Petrochemical Association
(EPCA) meeting, taking place in Vienna,
Austria.
A willingness to engage more in difficult
conversations about perceived environmental
impacts of petrochemical products is
undercutting the impact of messages about gains
in sustainable materials, electric vehicles and
green fuels, he said.
The fact that the chemicals sector has also
attracted controversy around microplastics,
waste pollution, and per- and polyfluoroalkyl
substances (PFAS) can make players reticent to
speak out too said Uta Schulz, head of human
capability future at BASF.
“There is a lot of communication happening, the
question is whether it is reaching the relevant
[spaces], said said Uta Schulz, head of human
capability future at BASF.
“Are we shying away because we know we are part
of the problem? Because if we say things loud
then [it could result in criticism],” she
added.
“We’re very hesitant to tell the world what
we’re working on,” added Janne van Gisbergen, a
static equipment engineer at ExxonMobil, also
speaking at the panel.
The EPCA conference runs between 25-28
September.
28-Sep-2023
SAN ANTONIO (ICIS)–Electric vehicles (EVs) are
creating demand for new applications for
polyurethanes that go beyond acoustics, and
they represent one of the ways the industry is
responding to increased interest for more
sustainable products.
Sustainability was one of the main themes
of the Polyurethanes Technical Conference, the
marquee event of the North American industry
Exhibitors at the conference noted an
increased interest in renewable content
The finalists for the Polyurethanes
Innovation Award all featured sustainability
EVsEVs have requirements
that are distinct from automobiles powered by
internal combustion engines, and those
requirements are opening up new applications
for polyurethanes.
One example is the cover for the EV’s battery,
said Pavneet Mumick, global vice president of
technology and innovation, Huntsman
Polyurethanes. He made his comments on the
sidelines of the Polyurethanes Technical
Conference, hosted by the Center for the
Polyurethanes Industry (CPI).
Another is battery cell potting, also known as
battery cell encapsulation, he said.
Each battery in an electric vehicle is made up
of hundreds of cells, according to Huntsman. In
potting, the battery enclosure is filled with
polyurethane foam to protect the cells from
vibration and shock. The foam also forms a
seal, which protects the cells from moisture,
corrosive agents and solvents.
Acoustic foam is another growing application
for polyurethanes in EVs.
Electric vehicles generate different sound
frequencies because they lack internal
combustion engines, said Jan Buberl, Huntsman
vice president polyurethanes Americas and
global propylene oxide (PO)/methyl tertiary
butyl ether (MTBE).
Dampening different frequencies require
different foams, he said.
SUSTAINABILE
STRATEGIESThe use of
polyurethanes in EVs reflects a larger trend of
customers’ increasing interest in
sustainability. In some cases, that interest
lies in end markets such as EVs or energy
efficient buildings and appliances. In other
cases, it is reducing the carbon footprints of
their products by using materials made from
renewable or recycled feedstock.
To respond to these trends, polyurethane
companies need to work with their customers as
well as their suppliers, who can supply them
with renewable and recycled raw materials.
“The whole value chain has to work together,”
Mumick said. “It is becoming more front and
centre.”
Companies are taking a three-pronged approach,
said Bradford Beauchamp, CEO of Carpenter.
The first involves the raw materials that
polyurethane companies use to make their
products, he said.
The second prong is designing materials to make
them easier to re-use.
The third prong addresses the fate of products
after they are used to make sure they are
recovered.
SUSTAINABILITY AT POLYURETHANES
CONFERENCEThis increased
interest in sustainability is being reflected
in the Polyurethanes Technical Conference.
The event has seen a surge in papers about
sustainability, said Lee Salamone, senior
director of the Center for the Polyurethanes
Industry.
Debbie Mielewski, a retired technical fellow of
sustainability at Ford Motor, made an encore
appearance as the conference’s keynote speaker.
Her debut, in 2019, was one of the first times
that the conference’s keynote speaker focused
on sustainability.
SUSTAINABILITY AND INNOVATION
AWARDThe conference’s
Polyurethanes Innovation Award often highlights
trends in the industry. In previous years,
winners were connected to hydrofluoroolefins
(HFOs). This year,
the trend is sustainability.
Sikaforce-840 L07, developed by Sika, addresses
many of the challenges of electric vehicles,
said Rifat Tabakovic, Sika research and
development lab manager. The product is a
two-component polyurethane adhesive that can
bond composite or coated metal components.
The winner of the award, Wanhua’s WANNATE
131FC, is a binder based on polymeric methylene
diphenyl diisocyanate (MDI). It is used to make
moulded wooden pallets.
These pallets are made with wood waste,
agriculture residues and other wastes, and they
can be recycled to make new moulded pallets,
said Timothy Chaffee, business director at
Wanhua.
The Wanhua binder does away with the need to
use urea formaldehyde resins.
EXHIBITORSIn the
exhibition hall, a large number of booths
showcased renewable products.
Palmer, a US producer of derivatives based on
cashew nutshell liquid (CNSL), has seen
heightened urgency among companies trying to
increase the renewable content of their
products, said Mike Magee, sales manager –
polyols.
About three or four years ago, Palmer would
typically talk to companies’ sustainability
officers, he said. Now they talk to their
technical directors, who are searching for ways
to lower their products’ carbon footprint.
That increased interest in renewable content
does not allow producers to skimp on the
performance of their renewable materials.
“No one buys renewable products because they’re
renewable,” Magee said. “They buy them because
they work and because they’re cost effective.”
The renewable content is included free of
charge, he said.
Acme-Hardesty, a distributor of palm-oil and
castor-oil based derivatives, has seen more
interest in renewable products from companies
and from government.
“There is no question about it. Everyone is
thinking about sustainability and bio-based
content,” said Bryan Huston, vice president of
polyurethane coatings, adhesives, sealants and
elastomers (CASE) and distributor solutions for
Acme-Hardesty.
Automobile companies are interested in
increasing renewable content for top coats,
insulation and acoustical foam, he said. Other
inquiries are coming from producers of
furniture and mattresses.
More federal agencies of the US government are
trying to incorporate sustainability into their
purchasing decisions, Huston said.
Cardolite, which produces CNSL-based polyols
and diols, has not noticed an increase in
interest at its booth during this year’s
conference, said Yun Mi Kim, senior technical
marketing director. But the conference has
attracted more exhibitors featuring bio-based
products.
Cardolite did experience a surge in interest
during the coronavirus pandemic, when companies
could not obtain their usual raw materials
because of supply disruptions.
In years past, these companies were reluctant
to use Cardolite’s chemicals because it would
require additional testing involved with
adopting a product based on a different
chemistry. Even though Cardolite’s materials
offered similar performance, that was not
enough to win over those companies.
That changed with the coronavirus pandemic,
which disrupted supply chains and left those
companies without access to their typical
feedstock, she said. The companies ran the
tests and adopted the material. Many of
them continue to use Cardolite’s products.
Polyurethanes are made with isocyanates and
polyols.
The Polyurethanes Technical Conference ran from
Monday through Wednesday.
Thumbnail shows electric vehicles. Image by
ADI WEDA/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock
Insight article by Al
Greenwood
28-Sep-2023
LONDON (ICIS)–Wilting consumer confidence
weighed on economic sentiment in Europe in
September, according to the latest data from
the EU Commission on Thursday.
The Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) fell by
0.4 points in the EU to 92.8 points, and by 0.3
points to 93.3 points in the eurozone, as
deteriorating expectations from consumers
offset minor gains in industry confidence.
September marked the second month in a row that
consumer confidence deteriorated, dropping 1.6
points on
the previous month as respondents assessed
their household’s past and future financial
situation as worse. Intentions to commit to
major purchases also declined.
While current levels of order books appeared
worse, industry confidence rose 0.3 points on
the previous month as production expectations
improved for the second consecutive month.
Stocks of finished goods were viewed more in
line with normal levels.
Export orders were assessed as broadly stable,
and past production levels improved on the
previous month, although this data was not
included in the overall reading for industry
confidence.
A decline in the construction sector supported
the general dwindling confidence in Europe,
dropping 0.8 points on August’s level.
Both levels in order books and employment
expectations contributed to the pessimistic
sentiment, with 28.6% of managers citing labour
shortages after tracing marginal gains (up 0.3
points), keeping the reading at a high
level.
Poor demand also diminished confidence, rising
0.7 points to settle at 28.8% – the highest
reading since July 2020.
Although shortages of materials and equipment
rose 0.7 points, the figure remained
significantly lower than averages over the past
two years, settling at 9.9%. In contrast, while
financial constraints for the construction
sector fell by 0.7 points, that remained above
the long-term average at 9.9%.
Retail registered a 0.4 point decline in
confidence on the previous month on worse
expectations of the past business situation,
but were more optimistic about the expected
business situation, while stocks remained
stable.
Confidence in the services sector remained
relatively stable, dropping by 0.1 points as
poor views of past demand were almost negated
by more optimistic expectations.
In contrast to the wider economic sentiment
indicators, the employment expectations
indicator (EEI) gained 0.6 points in the first
lift since February, as gains are expected in
the services sector.
Selling price expectations tracked a further
decrease but remained elevated in the services
and trade sectors.
For industry and construction, selling prices
stayed at their long-term average levels, while
consumer price expectations for the coming 12
months increased, and perceptions of the past
year remained stable at high levels.
The Economic Uncertainty Indicator (EUI) rose
by 1.6 points to 21.1 points, spurred on by
consumer doubts over their future financial
situation and uncertainty in the services,
industry and trade sectors. Uncertainty in the
construction sector decreased.
Front page image shows residential
construction in Korb, Germany (image credit:
Lilly/imageBROKER/Shutterstock)
28-Sep-2023
LONDON (ICIS)–UK car production fell by 9.7%
in August year on year, partly impacted by
plant maintenance and upgrades as manufacturers
prepare for the next generation of electric
vehicles (EVs), the country’s industry trade
group said on Thursday.
August is also typically the smallest volume
month of the year with variable summer
shutdowns, according to the Society of
Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).
Mike Hawes, the group’s chief executive, said
the fall in output was not a cause for concern.
“With car manufacturers taking advantage of the
summer holiday season to upgrade their plants,
this is part of an ongoing commitment to
deliver the next generation of electric
vehicles, with a record number of these models
already being made.”
Of the 45,052 units produced overall in August
37% were electrified vehicles, marking a 14th
consecutive monthly gain for EVs.
“Since January, car makers have turned out
216,922 of these crucial vehicles, an uplift of
84,310 on the previous year, evidence of the
UK’s capability to be a leader in zero emission
production,” the trade group said in a
statement.
The overall decline in August followed six
months of growth, with production lower for
both the home and export markets.
28-Sep-2023
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s petrochemical markets
have slowed down ahead of the long holiday in
the Chinese markets, with concerns over
long-term demand continuing to weigh on
sentiment despite recent gains.
NE Asia ICIS Petrochemical Index falls for
the first time in 12 weeks
Strong oil prices push up production cost
Strong pick-up in China post-holiday demand
unlikely
Pre-holiday restocking waned from
mid-September, stepping on the brakes of strong
crude-led gains in petrochemical prices in
recent months.
China will be on holiday from 29 September to 6
October for the Mid-Autumn Festival and the
week-long National Day celebration.
Upbeat August data out of
China, along with stimulus measures for the
property sector, provided a recent lift to
sentiment, but global macroeconomic
uncertainties abound.
“The recent improvement in several of China’s
economic activity indices has convinced many
market participants that China’s economy has
already bottomed out, thanks to the raft of
policy measures that have been rolled out.
However, we remain cautious,” Japan’s Nomura
Global Markets Research said in note.
In the fourth quarter, rising prices of energy
and the general commodity markets, slowing
momentum from the services sector and fading
summer travel demand in China could weigh on
the Asian chemical markets.
The ongoing property crisis in the world’s
second-biggest economy and the Russia-Ukraine
war remain as major headwinds on petrochemical
trades.
NE ASIA PETCHEM INDEX SNAPS 12-WEEK
GAINSIn the week ending 22
September, the weekly ICIS Petrochemical
Index (IPEX) for northeast Asia slipped by
1.0% year on year, the first contraction in 12
weeks as China export discussions slowed down.
The index tracks price movements of 12 major
petrochemicals and polymers.
In the aromatics market, benzene prices in Asia
trended lower in the week as boost to trade and
consumption from China’s latest stimulus
measures in early September tapered off and as
oil prices cooled off from recent highs of
around $95/bbl.
A series of stimulus measures were announced in
early September for China’s ailing property
sector, including reducing down payment
requirements for first- and second-time home
buyers and lowering interest rates for existing
mortgages.
Oil prices were trading higher on Thursday,
with US crude breaching $95/bbl and Brent
trading at above $97/bbl, as the sharp decline
in US crude stocks heightened concerns about
tightening global supply in the last quarter of
2023 amid prolonged output cuts by Saudi Arabia
and Russia.
In the previous week, Brent crude had crossed $95/bbl on 19
September, pulling up spot prices of selected
petrochemicals, including propylene and
acrylonitrile (ACN).
Concerns that central banks at major economies
will keep interest rates higher for longer,
meanwhile, continue to temper gains across
commodities markets.
In the regional paraxylene (PX)
market, prices were being weighed down by
weak fundamentals in the downstream purified
terephthalic acid (PTA) and polyester markets,
with players doubting a strong demand recovery
is possible up to year-end.
The fourth quarter is typically a lull period
for downstream polyester and polyethylene
terephthalate (PET) markets, which, along with
a weak global macroeconomic environment and
poor consumer spending, will likely keep demand
for PX soft.
Asia’s polyester export
discussions weakened in the week ending 26
September, weighed down by falling feedstock
prices and cautious buying sentiment. Trades
are expected to be subdued during the China
holidays.
For olefins, ethylene prices have been stable
so far in the week as weak downstream markets
offset cost concerns and fewer deep-sea supply.
Northeast Asia’s spot ethylene demand for
November-delivery regional supply is expected
to increase, as exports from the US are
expected to dwindle next month due to a tightly
shut arbitrage window.
In the downstream PE market, demand in
southeast Asia was deemed persistently weak
amid slowing economic growth, sluggish consumer
spending and rising inflation.
Many downstream PE converters across the region
remained cautious, deeming recent price hikes for
October could not be sustained without
demand support and a corresponding increase in
prices of finished plastic goods.
For fatty
alcohols, a widening buy-sell price gap is
hampering spot deals as demand for home
personal care products shrink amid the global
economic downturn, but suppliers are upbeat
about China’s post-holiday demand.
In the ethyl acetate (etac) market, spot
discussions in Asia have tapered off in
pre-holiday trade amid faltering upstream
acetic acid sectors, with a bearish
fourth-quarter outlook. In the related butyl
acetate (butac) market, constrained spot supply
amid plant turnarounds were supporting prices.
CHINA MARKET PLAYERS
CAUTIOUS
Local industry players in China are turning
cautious as more than 3m tonnes/year of new
capacities are expected to come on stream in
the fourth quarter.
Polypropylene (PP) prices have been on an
uptrend since late January, supported by higher
costs and improved demand from China’s
re-opening after the pandemic.
More than 3m
tonnes/year of new PP capacities are
expected to come onstream in Q4 in China
following the end of the traditional peak
demand season earlier in the third quarter.
For methanol, prices in the futures market shed
7.9% in the past week, weighing down on the
import market, as players turned more cautious,
after the market had a bullish run in the
previous week.
Expectations of tight supply in the fourth
quarter and steady end-user consumption,
however, could provide some support to the
market.
In the general purpose (GP) moulding grade
polycarbonate (PC)
market, the gains in import prices were
largely driven by feedstock cost and not by
demand.
For fatty
alcohols, China’s import demand is expected
to pick up after the holidays. Currently, a
widening buy-sell price gap in Asia is
hampering spot deals as demand for home
personal care products has shrunk due to the
global economic downturn.
For ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA), slumping
domestic prices have weakened import demand
ahead of the holidays.
China’s overall exports of goods are likely to
remain depressed amid the global economic
slowdown, while the country’s property sector
is still in shambles.
MIDEAST, S ASIA ALSO GRAPPLE WITH WEAK
DEMAND
Polystyrene (PS) markets in the Middle East and
south Asia saw limited activity in the week
ending 22 September, while uptake of October
polyvinyl chloride (PVC) was dismal.
PS offers from northeast Asia spiked following
a surge in cost of feedstock styrene monomer
(SM), which soared to a one-year high in the
first half of September.
With most regions in Asia seeing fundamentally
weak macroeconomic conditions, PS demand from
buyers was unable to keep pace with these
increases, causing a wide buy-sell gap.
In the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region,
sporadic deals were recorded in the week to 22
September, but most buyers were waiting for
offers from a major regional supplier next
week.
For PVC, rising feedstock
costs were deterring uptake of October cargoes,
with initial higher offers from several Asian
producers being met with lukewarm response from
buyers.
Focus article by Nurluqman
Suratman
Thumbnail image: Yangzhou Port in Jiangsu,
China – 15 September 2023 (Source:
Shutterstock)
Additional reporting by Keven Zhang, Damini
Dabholkar, Samuel Wong, Judith Wang, Seng Li
Peng, Yeow Pei Lin, Izham Ahmad, Helen Yan,
Helen Lee, Lucy Shuai and Melanie Wee
28-Sep-2023
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