Power markets are liberalising to varying degrees whilst remaining heavily interconnected. For example, a change in German fossil generation impacts Norway’s power price by several Euros even though Norway is powered by over 99% renewable sources. In comparison, the impact on Poland is marginal. You’re expected to stay on top of each new development and advise on how to react to them. However, it can be difficult to monitor changes and assess the impact of developments in a rapidly changing market.
The unique ICIS long-term power model shows where power prices in 28 European countries are heading, how they are impacted by fuel prices, capacity changes, falling renewable costs and coal phase-outs, so that you are aware of what these changes mean for your business.
Our long-term power analytics solution is fed from 964 million data points and forecasts the power price for 192.720 hours in 29 European countries. We provide:
We assess each change as it happens. Our joined-up, consistent and continually updated view identifies the relevant market developments that will affect your business.
See the potential impact now and look forward as far as 2030.
By integrating our expert viewpoint and forecasts with yours, you see the complete picture as it changes and evolves, not only for individual countries but for the whole European power marketplace. Now you can respond quickly and with confidence to relevant changes, maximising opportunities and protecting your profits, ensuring you do not lose out in the short or long term. The ICIS long term Power Horizon model is the only power price forecast with a market leading carbon model intertwined in it, fully capturing the correlations of these commodities every hour up to 2030.
Our experts understand what has happened, why and what difference it will make in the short and long term. We report the key information – and the impact – within hours.
Using the same methodology and presented in English – all of which means information can be evaluated and decisions made without additional processing.
We build deep understanding of the details behind the policies that determine power market success or failure – so you can focus on the actions required to build profits.
Carbon and other fuels have a strong correlation with power markets. Our solution connects to the market leading TIM agent based model, giving you a more integrated view on the energy sector.
As well as the opportunity to discuss your assumptions and probabilities with our analysts, you also have access to a wealth of pre-defined scenarios which offer alternative viewpoints.
philipp.ruf@icis.com
Director of Global Power & Carbon Analytics
marcus.ferdinand@icis.com
Head of European Carbon & Power Analytics
stefan.feuchtinger@icis.com
Senior analyst – Global Power & Carbon Markets
matthew.jones@icis.com
Senior analyst – EU Carbon & Power Markets
anise.ganbold@icis.com
Senior analyst – EU Power and Carbon Markets
vija.pakalkaite@icis.com
Analyst – EU Power & Carbon Markets
Senior Analyst – EU Power & Carbon Markets
Earlier this year, a German coal commission was formed by the government and tasked to put forward a timeline for exiting coal generation.
This ICIS analysis provides insight into the working principles of the commission and evaluates four coal phase-out scenarios with regards to their impact on capacity development and German power prices up to 2030.
Automated trading is booming on the European intra-day power markets and is about to take off on the intra-day gas markets. Power and gas companies are looking into more automated trade of long-term products too.
Will automation take over energy trade? This insight looks into reasons and ways to automate power and gas trade, the share of automated trade, its regulatory framework and future trends.
Wholesale electricity prices are set to remain on the high side in most European markets this summer, but the risk of price spikes will be mitigated in several countries by better hydropower stocks compared to the previous year.
This Power Summer Outlook Snapshot provides a brief overview of the drivers likely to influence power prices this summer, and an idea of what to expect in the coming months.
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