Price and market trends: Europe benzene weighed down by global bearishness

22 March 2013 09:23  [Source: ICB]

Global bearishness and softening derivative demand has pulled the European benzene market down to its lowest point since May 2012, sources said.

While the US market posted a slight recovery towards the end of the week ended 8 March, one North American source described the gains as "trivial".

EU Benzene

The source cited caution among some players following a sell-off in the Asian benzene market, where values dropped by as much as $40/tonne (€31/tonne) on 8 March.

"The US benzene market is still weak," said a European trader, adding that lower derivative demand was a key factor in the recent fall in domestic pricing.

"Styrene demand is lower with the turnarounds. We are also seeing reduced nominations from the phenol sector, so there is plenty of [benzene] around."

European styrene numbers also saw some erosion towards the end of the week ended 8 March, with players looking to move material amid slower than expected construction demand and the arrival of imports into the ARA (Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp) region.

However, the market was bouncing back on 11 March, with talk of one major player looking to secure material.

Additionally, there is a growing sense that the feedstock restrictions that have plagued the benzene market since early 2012 are starting to ease, at least in the short term.

"It looks like there is more pygas [pyrolysis gasoline] being produced," said a source, but it added it was also hearing contradictory reports of more propane being used in the steam cracking process.

PRICE ACTION

After deals for March delivery as high as $1,380/tonne CIF (cost, insurance and freight) ARA early in the week ended 8 March, the market gradually lost ground ahead of the European Petrochemical Luncheon on 7 March.

Several sources noted that sentiment among benzene players at the event was markedly bearish.

"It has been a funny three months since Christmas," said one. "There has been lots of liquidity and volatility, but nobody has been really making any money."

By 8 March, current month values had dropped to $1,265-1,290/tonne CIF ARA, before deals were done at $1,265/tonne and $1,275/tonne.

The March contract price was settled at $1,380/tonne FOB (free on board) NWE (northwest Europe) in US dollar terms, and converted to €1,054/tonne.

Despite the current weakness, several players believe European pricing will not fall much further.

One trader said it sees $1,230/tonne as the current floor, and that prices are still historically high.

"I don't see it moving much lower than where it is now, unless naphtha tanks," the trader said.


By: Truong Mellor
+44 208 652 3214



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