No strong increase expected for Russia OX imports to EU despite rouble

Rhian O'connor

16-Dec-2014

Focus article by Rhian O’Connor

LONDON (ICIS)–Imports of orthoxylene (OX) from Russia are not expected to increase materially despite a weaker rouble and lower oil prices, sources said on Tuesday.

Russia has significant capacity including the two biggest plants in Europe at Omsk Refinery and Ufaneftekhim, both with 165,000 tonnes a year.

Company

Country

Location

Capacity

Omsk Refinery

Russia

Omsk

165000

Ufaneftekhim

Russia

Ufa

165000

ExxonMobil Chemical Holland

Netherlands

Botlek

130000

Total Petrochemicals France

France

Gonfreville

110000

Versalis

Italy

Sarroch

100000

BP Refining & Petrochemicals (BPRP)

Germany

Gelsenkirchen

70000

Kirishinefteorsintez – (Kinef)

Russia

Kirishi

65000

Petkim Petrokimya Holding

Turkey

Aliaga

65000

Shell & DEA Oil GmbH – (SDO)

Germany

Wesseling

60000

Galp Chemical

Portugal

Oporto

45000

Compania Espanola de Petroleos – (CEPSA)

Spain

Algeciras

40000

PCK Raffinerie

Germany

Schwedt

40000

Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen  (PKN)

Poland

Wloclawek

40000

Hungarian Oil and Gas  (MOL)

Hungary

Szazhalombatta

35000

Naftan

Belarus

Novopolotsk

25000

Lukoil Neftochim Burgas

Bulgaria

Burgas

20000

Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat

Russia

Salavat

15000

Klesch & Co

Germany

Heide

15000

Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen  (PKN)

Poland

Plock

10000

Slovnaft

Slovakia

Bratislava

9000

Source: ICIS plants and projects

As a result Russia is a structural importer of OX into Western Europe, and has been for a number of years. OX imports EU27 2014

“The option is there to purchase material and they are offering – I can confirm this. They have not invaded the market, but their presence is more and more [noticeable],” said an OX producer.

The Russia rouble has weakened substantially, which should lead to even more product coming into the region.

Russian rouble price movementsSource: xe.com

“On paper they have a better netback,” said an OX buyer.

However, a number of factors are seen as limiting the actual volumes imported. These include availability, which is driven in part by political factors.

“If they want to sell, that’s the question,” said a trader/importer.

“Supply from Russia is limited at the moment. For political reasons they want to limit exports,” said a buyer.

In addition logistical concerns always make transport difficult.

“Logistically they still have difficulties, it’s not so easy for them to reach the European Union,” said the producer.

In addition, the relationship between Russian manufacturers and Western buyers is more distant.

“They don’t sell directly. There is always a trader in between. Contract business is still focused on Western Europe,” said the buyer.

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