Stock markets break volatility streak, chems shares jump

Al Greenwood

19-Mar-2020

HOUSTON (ICIS)–US stock markets broke a record string of volatility on Thursday, with the major indices rising modestly after a long streak of violent swings.

The table below shows the major indices followed by ICIS.

19-Mar Change %
Dow Jones Industrial Average 20,087.40 188.48 0.95
S&P 500 2,409.39 11.29 0.47
Dow Jones US Chemicals Index 430.36 5.28 1.24
S&P 500 Chemicals Industry Index 437.25 7.35 1.71

Prior to Thursday, the S&P 500 had swung by at least 4% for eight consecutive sessions, breaking a record of six days set in November 1929, reported CNBC, which quoted LPL Financial.

Thursday’s modest rise came amid reports that the US is considering intervening in the oil dispute between Saudi Arabia and Russia. The two plan to raise oil output once their production-cut agreement expires at the end of the month. The threat of unconstrained production caused oil prices to crash.

Crude futures rose sharply on Thursday, as shown in the following table.

Month Low High Open Settle Change
Brent May 24.96 29.42 27.19 28.47 3.59
WTI Apr 21.36 27.71 22.3 25.22 4.85

US chemical producers are vulnerable to low oil prices because they rely overwhelmingly on ethane and other natural gas liquids (NGLs) as feedstocks. As a result, US producers lose their cost advantage when oil prices fall in relation to gas. By contrast, much of the world stands to benefit, because they rely on oil-based naphtha.

Meanwhile, chemical companies continue to contend with the effects of the coronavirus (Covid-19).

The following shows the number of US cases.

US 18-Mar 19-Mar
Cases 7,038 10,442
Death 97 150
States 50 50

Source: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

The following shows global cases.

World 18-Mar Change from Wednesday
Cases 191,127 15,123
Death 7,807 786

Source: World Health Organization (WHO)

The table below shows the major US-listed chemical companies followed by ICIS.

$ Current
Price
$ Change % Change
AdvanSix 13.11 0.71 5.73
Axalta Coating Systems 16.39 2.19 15.42
Braskem 5.01 0.22 4.59
Celanese 63.83 4.71 7.97
Dow 28.12 1.68 6.35
DuPont 31.66 -0.4 -1.25
Eastman 41.25 2.63 6.81
HB Fuller 29.08 0.83 2.94
Huntsman 15 -0.08 -0.53
Ingevity 31.23 3.39 12.18
Kraton 5.66 -0.8 -12.38
Kronos Worldwide 8.7 -0.26 -2.9
LyondellBasell 43.23 2.66 6.56
Methanex 10.56 0.47 4.66
NewMarket 389.83 -20.97 -5.1
Olin 12.68 1.72 15.69
PolyOne 13.37 3.24 31.98
PPG 76.56 3.64 4.99
RPM International 50.86 -2.14 -4.04
Sherwin-Williams 445.12 42.26 10.49
Stepan 98.3 -3.69 -3.62
Chemours 10.18 0.51 5.27
Trinseo 19.84 0.4 2.06
Tronox 5.13 0.34 7.1
Univar 8 0.92 12.99
Venator Materials 2.06 0.14 7.29
Westlake Chemical 37.13 4.18 12.69

Visit the ICIS coronavirus topic page for analysis of the impact on chemical markets and links to latest news.

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