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Polyolefins market outlook 2017

Polyolefins market outlook 2017

The exceptional situation in 2015 for polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) markets plus a series of planned maintenance closures this year are affecting decision making for buyers. 

As we begin the new year, ICIS analyses the key topics and what to expect in 2017.

US-based Dow Chemical has been named the ICIS Company of the Year

US-based Dow Chemical has been named the ICIS Company of the Year

US-based Dow Chemical has been named the ICIS Company of the Year, based on financial metrics, by weekly global publication ICIS Chemical Business.  The selection takes into account year-on-year growth in profits at the operating and net levels, as well as margins in 2015.

Free World Olefins Outlook 2015-2030

World Olefins Outlook

As competing market forces send mixed signals about the global olefins situation and outlook, uncertainty and volatility present challenges to industry players. How will the Olefins market fare?

  • Will supply outstrip demand growth in the next 10 years?
  • Is coal-to-olefins (CTO) and methanol-to-olefins (MTO) production sustainable?
  • How will shifting feedstock trends impact olefins production?

 



 

Latest Chemical Information

FREE webinar: Asia Oleochemicals Market Review and Outlook

Asia Oleochemicals Market Review and Outlook

Given recent developments such as El Nino, chronic overcapacity and global economic slowdown, palm oil prices have surged to record highs in the last five years.

Join this free webinar session as we delve into the impact of surging oil prices on the Asian oleochemicals market and what to expect in the short-term.

Special publication: An insight on Asian petrochemicals

Special publication: An insight on Asian petrochemicals

ICIS and Japan’s Chemical Daily focus on Asian petrochemical markets in this year’s special publication, produced for the APIC meeting in Sapporo, Japan, in mid-May. In-depth features in the 76-page publication analyse commodity markets, company strategies, capital investment and M&A activity. Key developments in China are reviewed

Special supplement: NACD Q2 Magazine: Ready for a new regulatory world

Special supplement: NACD Q2 Magazine: Ready for a new regulatory world

The latest edition of NACD’s Chemical Distributor, produced by ICIS, looks at regulation and the possible effects of President Trump’s policies, hiring tips and the benefits of community outreach.

 



 

Market insight and infographic: Global MMA players look to ME for relief to supply shortage

Market insight and infographic: Global MMA players look to ME for relief to supply shortage

Global methyl methacrylate (MMA) players are looking to the Middle East, in the hope of finding some relief to the current shortness in supply. Supply started to tighten in the second-half of 2016, with a series of planned and unplanned plant outages in Asia as the catalyst. Since that point, the global supply situation has gone from bad to worse, with prices soaring in Asia, Europe and the Americas.

This ICIS market insight and infographic, by senior editor manager Katherine Sale, examines the key events that led to the global shortage of product, the drivers for the year to come and, most importantly, evaluates whether there will be any easing to the supply constraints in 2017.

VIDEO: Europe Special Report: the changing market balance for polyolefins

Europe Special Report video

ICIS senior editor Linda Naylor, talks to ICIS markets editor  Pavle Popovic about the 6th annual ICIS World Polyolefins Conference,  the implications of new global capacity for polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) and other future issues facing the market.

Butadiene: chemical profile and value chain package

Butadiene: chemical profile and value chain package

The global butadiene (BD) market can be the most volatile among major petrochemicals. View the key dynamics of the European BD market including uses, supply/demand, pricing, technology and outlook from ICIS Chemical Business’ (ICB) latest chemical profile. Plus, see how the BD chain works on a global basis with analysis and forecasts on supply/demand factors across the entire value chain.

 



 

ICIS news insight: Higher cracker margins help lift petrochemical players in the first quarter

ICIS news insight

The ICIS Petrochemical Index and cracker margin data have charted the spectacular uptick for some intermediates this year. Rising prices, largely driven by specific regional supply and demand issues, have not been matched by raw material cost increases, and price deltas have improved.

ICIS Insights editor Nigel Davis analyses European margins against competitors in other regions, and who the big winners are from the current price trends.

Free whitepaper: A look into the Malaysia’s stagnant market condition for oleochemicals

Malaysia's Oleochemicals Market Whitepaper

Chronic overcapacity, slowing demand and surging feedstock prices are just some of the pressing issues plaguing the consumption demand for oleochemicals in Malaysia.

Download this free whitepaper as we delve into the implications of the major market developments on the Malaysian oleochemicals sector and discuss what to expect in the near term.

ICIS Market Outlook: Contrasting Fortunes For Polyolefins

ICIS Market Outlook: Contrasting Fortunes For Polyolefins

Polyolefins demand in Europe is continuing to grow in 2017, underpinned by economic improvements. Supply is expected to remain tight in the first half of the year but market conditions could change significantly from mid-2017.

ICIS senior consultant Fabrizio Galiè discusses the factors that are expected to affect European supply dynamics. Download the article, which includes insights on Asia from John Richardson and on North America from James Ray and Stephanie Kirby, to better understand the global polyolefins market outlook.

 



 

ICIS Interactive: ASC - Adhesives and Sealant Council

ICIS Interactive: ASC - Adhesives and Sealant Council

News and views from the US Adhesive and Sealant Council’s conference in Atlanta in April are covered in the latest ICIS interactive online publication, containing video interviews with keynote speakers and ASC executives 

PU/isocyanates market insight by Izham Ahmad

PU/isocyanates market insight by Izham AhmadPU/isocyanates market insight by Izham Ahmad

The supply of isocyanates, key ingredients in the polyurethanes (PU) industry, to the Middle East is currently dominated by producers in northeast Asia. However, the entry of Saudi Arabia’s Sadara has the potential to change those dynamics. That could have an impact on prices, from as early as this year, as material from the Dow-Aramco joint venture starts to trickle into a crowded market.

Free ICIS seminars at Chinaplas 2017

Free ICIS seminars at Chinaplas 2017

ICIS invites you to attend our free market seminar, offering a deeper look into current prices, recent developments and the market outlook for Asian and Chinese PP/PE markets. This will be held on 18 May during Chinaplas 2017 in Guangzhou.

 



 

Infographics: Trade flows between China and Northeast Asia for fibre intermediates

Is China’s new trading dynamics changing the face of the fibre intermediates market in Northeast Asia?

With China having the largest polyester capacity globally, the country has emerged as the primary consumer of raw materials such as paraxylene (PX), purified terephthalic acid (PTA) and monoethylene glycol (MEG). The country’s increasing focus on being self-sufficient for raw materials has led to expansion plans for MEG and PX capacities within China over the next five to six years. This now poses new challenges for the Northeast Asian markets, who are key producers of fibre intermediates.

Download the free infographics to track the trade flows for the fibre intermediates market between China and Northeast Asia, particularly for Japan, Korea and Taiwan.

Polyolefins insight: emerging threats to the global polyolefin industry

Polyolefins insight: emerging threats to the global polyolefin industry

The petrochemical industry is going through a period of extreme price volatility which impacts on margins and competitiveness. Albeit growing, polyolefin demand remains exposed to various unpredictable factors, while recent investments will bring new capacity online this year.

ICIS senior consultant Fabrizio Galiè explores emerging threats to the global polyolefin industry including the economic slowdown in China, new plant start-ups and implications on international markets.

Market Insight: Styrene Price Rollercoaster Unlikely To Impact Margins

Market Insight: Styrene Price Rollercoaster Unlikely To Impact Margins

2017 has been marked by dramatic movements in global styrene prices, driven largely by supply-side developments as well as underlying feedstock movement. Through it all, however, margins have remained at high levels and ICIS believes they are likely to continue strong.

Download the latest insight from ICIS senior editor Rhian O'Connor to better understand the recent developments and the outlook for styrene markets.

 



 

Special supplement: AFPM interactive - US petchems to reach new heights

Special supplement: AFPM interative - US petchems to reach new heights

The latest ICIS interactive online publication contains video interviews with key executives at the recent AFPM International Petrochemical Conference in San Antonio, Texas. Hear the latest views from INEOS, Huntsman, NOVA Chemicals and AFPM senior staff.

ICIS Special supplement: ASC - Customer insights drive growth

ICIS Special supplement: ASC - Customer insights drive growth

Adhesives and sealants are the focus of the latest special publication from ICIS, prepared in association with the US Adhesive and Sealant Council (ASC) for its spring convention in Atlanta. The Trump administration, chemical safety regulations, cyber security, customer engagement and innovation and biobased materials are all featured in indepth articles.

Animated map: global cost-cutting/restructuring measures in TiO2 market

Animated map: global cost-cutting/restructuring measures in TiO2 market

Download and view the latest titanium dioxide (TiO2) animated map, by ICIS senior editor Heidi Finch, which shows global restructuring and cost-cutting measures from 2015-2018.

 



 

Infographic: Structurally short US benzene market faces supply challenges

Infographic: Structurally short US benzene market faces supply challenges

Imports into the structurally short US benzene market fell about 18% year-on-year in 2016 compared with 2015, as downstream issues in derivatives such as styrene weighed on demand. Meanwhile, benzene prices rose late in 2016 on a rally in upstream crude oil as well as several issues at refineries on the Gulf Coast.

On the demand side, China's appetite for benzene ahead of its Lunar New Year holiday spurred price increases and US exports to China in December. The US benzene market is structurally short and relies on imports to meet about 20% of consumption. South Korea, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia and Brazil continue to be key suppliers to the US market. Explore these trends in our benzene infographic.

Infographic: US shale gas boom continues to spur ethylene export growth

Infographic: US shale gas boom continues to spur ethylene export growth

The shale boom continues to fuel the boom in ethylene production in the US and has spurred growth in ethylene exports while virtually pushing out all ethylene imports. Exports to key destinations such as China and India grew in 2016 from 2015 amid a more than 13% increase in overall US ethylene exports in 2016 from the year before. Explore these trends in our ethylene infographic.

AFPM Special publication

AFPM Special publication

North American petrochemicals expansion and the Trump effect are analysed in the latest ICIS special publication, produced with AFPM for its International Petrochemical Conference in San Antonio. Topics such as capacity start-ups and ethane supply, logistics, talent and TCSA implantation are all covered in depth.

 



 

US Natural Soda Ash Industry Seeks to Maintain Global Competitiveness

US Natural Soda Ash

The growing capacity of soda ash from China over the past few decades is a major challenge which has threatened the profitability of US soda ash miners, most of whom are located in the state of Wyoming.

Another challenge for the US soda ash market is new production from Turkey, which is expected to come online in August of 2017.

Learn how the US is facing these obstacles in the whitepaper below.

ICIS Whitepaper: Trump Uncertainties Cloud Chem M&A Outlook

Trump uncertainties cloud chem M&A outlook

For years, persistently slow growth has been the driving force behind chemical mergers and acquisitions. With growth at such a sluggish pace, chemical companies have relied on deal-making to achieve growth through synergies. The administration of Donald Trump could change that, given his proposals to lower taxes, reform regulations and spend more on infrastructure. In this whitepaper, Al Greenwood looks at how some of Trump's policies could affect the outlook for growth.

US Glycerine Market, Sticker Shock Amid Uncertain Times

US glycerine market

Talks for Q2 refined glycerine contracts are happening and the market seems to be seeing a unique mix of factors that could push prices higher. Uncertainty in the biodiesel sector in the first quarter of every year has been a constant for many years now, but this year the uncertainty level is even more pronounced.

Meanwhile, imported product from southeast Asia has pulled back as sharply higher palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel oil (PKO) prices eroded margins for fatty acids production since December. Large producers in southeast Asia have increased kosher vegetable glycerine prices at US ports, but still see current prices as too low to cover refining and logistics costs.

 



 

Market Insight: Iran re-enters base oils and petrochemical markets

Market Insight: Iran re-enters base oils and petrochemical markets

ICIS editors Veena Pathare, Jasmine Khoo and Muhamad Fadhil look at recent developments in sanctions against Iran and its implications for the petrochemicals markets and analyse the Iranian base oils industry

ICIS Market Insight: European MEG - An Atypical Start To 2017

ICIS Market Insight: European MEG - An Atypical Start To 2017

In the first two months of 2017, the European monoethylene glycol (MEG) market saw two consecutive triple-digit increases in the monthly contract price, and spot prices reached their highest level since June 2015.

Traditionally a quiet period for Europe MEG, early 2017 saw tight conditions and soaring price trends, despite typical lacklustre demand.

Market insight: European PET vs R-PET for 2017

Market insight: European PET vs R-PET for 2017

European polyethylene terephthalate (PET) prices have been rising in late 2016 and early 2017. Upstream price increases and a lack of competitive imports have caused PET prices to rise and this has led to some buyers reviewing their options.

Do higher PET prices make recycled polyethylene terephthalate (R-PET) an attractive alternative for buyers? Is switching from PET to R-PET a viable alternative? What impact are rising PET prices having on the R-PET market?

 



 

Infographic: European Ethylene Review 2016

Infographic: European Ethylene Review 2016

The ICIS European Ethylene Review of 2016 provides an at-a-glance reference view of the key features of the ethylene market including cracker output, supply and margins, pricing and international trade. The infographic also includes a European map of scheduled cracker turnarounds for 2017.

Special publication: ICIS Interactive 2017 - World Base Oils London

Special publication: ICIS Interactive 2017 - World Base Oils London

In this special interactive magazine from the 21st World Base Oils And Lubricants Conference, ICIS brings you interviews with some of the key players in the market, looking at the main issues affecting the industry and what to expect in the year ahead.

Market Insight: Unexpectedly bullish start for base oils

Market Insight: Unexpectedly bullish start for base oils

The European Group I base oils market has got off to an unexpectedly  bullish start in 2017 amid tight supply of SN150 and SN500 brought about  by production issues at a number of refineries. Despite this,  brightstock supply is surprisingly healthy – but how long will this  continue? Furthermore, what impact will rising Group I prices have on  the Group III market?

Download and read the market insight from ICIS editors Vicky Ellis and Sarah Trinder.

 



 

Special publication: ICIS Base Oils & Lubricants 2017

Special publication: ICIS Base Oils & Lubricants 2017

ICIS’s annual Base Oils & Lubricants publication is now ready to read – bringing insights into industry trends and issues, market developments, and technical and regulatory issues. Infineum looks at auto oils requirements and Chevron’s move into Europe is profiled.

Americas Chemicals Market Outlook 2017

Americas Chemicals Market Outlook 2017

How will the major developments that pose uncertainty to the global petrochemicals market influence price and market movements in 2017?

ICIS answers these questions and more through the Americas chemicals outlook magazine and a series of short videos which provide a detailed market review of 2016 and analysis of the likely market outlook for 2017.

Geopolitical uncertainty increases risks for polyolefins

Populism turning world upside down

No one knows what the next 12 months may hold for global petrochemical markets. Will OPEC stick to their production cuts? How will the Trump presidency impact global trade relations? Polyolefins players need to be ready for uncertainty and build strategies to cope with a variety of scenarios. John Richardson looks at what the year ahead may bring for the Asian polyolefins markets in a world turned upside down.

 



 

What's the outlook for European chemical markets in 2017?

What's the outlook for European chemical markets in 2017?

'Brexit', a Trump presidency, EU policy changes – these are just some of the major developments that pose uncertainty to the global petrochemicals market.

ICIS analyses the key price and market movements in 2016 and what to expect in 2017 in a series of short videos and through the European outlook magazine.

Special feature: Global Chemicals 2017 Outlook Series

Global Chemicals 2017 Outlook Series

Following the success of the annual Global Chemicals Outlook series, ICIS has launched the 2017 version of the global magazines which is now available to download. Get the latest rundown of the key market developments and conditions in 2016, together with a short-term outlook of what to look out for in 2017.

Special feature: Asia Chemicals Outlook 2017 Webinar Series

Asia Chemicals Outlook 2017 Webinar Series

As we begin the New Year, we look back at the key developments and how they shaped the Asian chemical markets in 2016 – and look forward to what to expect in the coming year.  ICIS is hosting a series of free webinars to ensure you are equipped with the knowledge needed to navigate the markets in such volatile times.

 



 

ICIS Top 40 Power Players 2016 chemical executive ranking revealed

ICIS Top 40 Power Players 2016 chemical executive ranking revealed

The ICIS Top 40 Power Players, a global ranking of the leading senior executives making the greatest positive impact on their companies and the industry through investments, shifts in business models, mergers and acquisitions, and innovation, has been published by ICIS Chemical Business magazine.

ICIS Special publication: GPCA Interactive

ICIS Special publication: GPCA Interactive

In our latest ICIS interactive publication we bring you interviews with leading GCC and global chemical executives from the Annual GPCA forum in Dubai.

Webinar: Recent trends in automotive petrochemical raw materials

Webinar: Recent trends in automotive petrochemical raw materials

In this webinar, Mark Victory, Senior Editor, Manager, ICIS, covers:

  • Recent and future trends in automotive petrochemical raw materials
  • ICIS Basket of Automotive Petrochemicals; its construction, uses and importance, along with recent trends in the basket
  • The difficulties in pricing petrochemical raw material costs for automotives from upstream and feedstock costs
  • Forecasts for supply and demand changes to 2020 and what that will mean for the market,
  • Future trends for the automotive industry itself

 



 

 



 

Outlooks

Special publication: CPI Polyurethanes 2016

Special publication: CPI Polyurethanes 2016

Polyurethanes come into sharp focus in the latest special publication from ICIS, prepared in association with the American Chemistry Council on the occasion of its annual Polyurethanes Technical Conference, in Baltimore, US. Markets, innovation, recycling and sustainability as well as end use markets such as construction and automotive are all featured in a series of indepth articles.

Polyolefins, polystyrene, benzene and styrene market outlook for 2017

Polyolefins, polystyrene, benzene and styrene market outlook for 2017

It’s time to look ahead to next year. Uncertainty over crude oil prices, market volatility and large-scale increases in global supply, all in the context of a hesitant economic recovery in Europe, are just some of the challenges likely to face European petrochemical markets. ICIS consultants give their views on what the future may hold for polyolefins, benzene, styrene and polystyrene markets in Europe next year.

Market Outlook: Egyptian styrenics reboot in progress

Market Outlook: Egyptian styrenics reboot in progress

Egypt is set to re-emerge as a key supplier of polystyrene (PS) to markets in Europe and Africa with the restart of domestic production. The country has had to rely on costly imports of styrene feedstock since late 2014, rendering local PS production uneconomic. However, a new styrene supply deal and the promise of new styrene capacity will allow Egypt to raise its domestic PS output in the years ahead.

 



 

Market outlook: global phenol and acetone markets under pressure from overcapacity

Market outlook: global phenol and acetone markets under pressure from overcapacity

Global phenol and acetone markets are suffering from overcapacity as new projects come on stream and demand growth remains tepid. As a result, phenol and acetone prices are becoming more competitive and global trade flows are changing.

View a preview of the import analysis section of the China PBR Annual Study

View a preview of the import analysis section of the China PBR Annual Study

ICIS has recently launched the latest version of the China PBR Annual Study, an in-depth report of the year’s developments and hot topics with supply/demand outlook for 2015. To give you a glimpse of the type of valuable information provided in the annual study, we have made a section available for you to view.

Phenol: Asia’s rising capacity and changing trade flow

Phenol: Asia’s rising capacity and changing trade flow

Download this free market outlook presentation by ICIS for a better understanding of the latest phenol developments.

Find out what's happened over the last 3 years, insight into the changes and the outlook for the rest of the year.

 



 

North American Polyethylene (PE) Market Outlook

North American Polyethylene (PE) Market Outlook

Read about North American Polyethylene (PE) Market Outlook for 2014 and 2015.

Drawing on expertise from ICIS Consulting and discussions with industry players, we recommend reading this article if you are making short- to mid-term commercial decisions in the US PE market.

Market outlook: No price hikes for North America TiO2

Market outlook: No price hikes for North America TiO2

The TiO2 market in North America saw some failed price increase attempts at the end of 2013. Supply is strong and no problems are currently expected. Buyers are predicting steady growth in 2014 as new home construction is on the increase.

Market outlook: Weak demand flattens European styrene butadiene rubber (SBR) market

Market outlook: Weak demand flattens European SBR market

Tyre sales are expected to stay flat as consumers continue to hold back on new vehicles or replacement tyres. 70% of styrene butadiene rubber (SBR) output is consumed by the tyre industry so the European market is expecting lack-lustre performance in 2014.

Data

The monthly ICIS Latin America Polymers Index

02/04/2015

Latin America Polymers Index

Published each month, the monthly ICIS Latin America Polymers Index provides a measure of the average change in domestic Latin American polymer prices over time. The index dates back to January 2002.

The monthly ICIS Middle East Polymers Index

02/04/2015

Middle East Polymers Index

Published each month, the monthly ICIS Middle East Polymers Index provides a measure of the average change in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) polymer prices over time. The index dates back to January 2000. 

What does the oil price crash mean for the petrochemical industry?

What does the oil price crash mean for the petrochemical industry?

ICIS experts further analyse recent developments surrounding the downtrend in oil prices and have produced a white paper, which covers every angle of this market development and its impact on downstream petrochemical markets.

Blogs

Asian Chemical Connections

John Richardson and Malini Hariharan's Asian Chemicals Connections looks at Asian and global commodity chemicals and polymer pricing trends, supply and demand, macroeconomics, energy and environmental issues.

Chemicals and the Economy

Paul Hodges looks behind today's headlines and studies key influencers shaping the chemical industry over the next 12-18 months. He takes a closer look at oil prices, economic growth and the environment among other things, along with some light-hearted commentary along the way.

Energy Connections

ICIS energy editors post their expert opinions on the major topics facing participants in the European gas, electricity, LNG and oil markets. This blog will look behind the headlines and critically analyse the impact of market developments on the industry, with some more light-hearted posts thrown in for good humour.

     
 



 

Listen

 

ICIS Europe Chemical update: Methyl Ethyl Ketone

ICIS Europe Chemical update: Methyl Ethyl Ketone 11 August 2014

Listen to the latest podcast from ICIS and learn about current Methyl Ethyl Ketone (MEK) market conditions, pricing, supply and demand, and news.

Europe PO derivative markets still affected by Moerdijk explosion

Europe PO derivative markets still affected by Moerdijk explosion

Jo Pitches interviews Stefan Naidu about how an explosion that destroyed one of Shell's propylene oxide (PO) production units in Moerdijk, Netherlands on June 3 continues to affect European PO derivative markets such as monopropylene glycol (MPG) and polyols.

ICIS Europe Chemical Update: ABS and SAN

ICIS Europe Chemical Update: ABS and SAN

Rob Miles interviews ABS and SAN editor Matt Tudball on the impact of feedstocks and Asian imports on the European markets.

 



 

View a preview of the demand analysis section of the China Styrene Annual Study

View a preview of the demand analysis section of the China Styrene Annual Study

ICIS has recently launched the latest version of the China Styrene Annual Study, an in-depth report of the year’s developments and hot topics with supply/demand outlook for 2015. To give you a glimpse of the type of valuable information provided in the annual study, we have made a section available for you to view.

ICIS Europe Chemical Update: Polyurethanes - 24 March 2014

ICIS Europe Chemical Update: Polyurethanes - 24 March 2014

Polyurethane editors Heidi Finch and Stefan Naidu discuss market fundamentals and price trends in the European polyurethane market.

 



 

Watch

 

Webinar: Recent trends in automotive petrochemical raw materials

Webinar: Recent trends in automotive petrochemical raw materials

In this webinar, Mark Victory, Senior Editor, Manager, ICIS, covers:

  • Recent and future trends in automotive petrochemical raw materials
  • ICIS Basket of Automotive Petrochemicals; its construction, uses and importance, along with recent trends in the basket
  • The difficulties in pricing petrochemical raw material costs for automotives from upstream and feedstock costs
  • Forecasts for supply and demand changes to 2020 and what that will mean for the market,
  • Future trends for the automotive industry itself

Special report on Asia Methanol and Acetic Acid Markets

Special report on Asia Methanol and Acetic Acid Markets

Join ICIS as we take a closer look into Asian methanol and downstream acetic acid markets. In this special report, ICIS experts give key insights into price drivers, how supply and demand fundamentals have been affecting the marketplace, and most importantly, what the outlook is for the rest of the year.

Special Report: Asian Surfactants

Special Report: Asian Surfactants

ICIS experts closely following natural and synthetic-based surfactants in Asia have produced a video covering key insights into the current market situation and price drivers, with a near-term outlook of key surfactants commodities such as linear alkylbenzene (LAB), linear alkylbenzene sulphonate (LAS) and alcohol ethoxylates.