Europe benzene spot prices continue to firm on tight supply
Julia Meehan
11-Sep-2012
By Julia Meehan
LONDON (ICIS)–European benzene spot prices continue to
firm as trade and industry try to cover short positions,
markets sources said on Tuesday.
Spot benzene for September delivery was
bid at $1,430/tonne CIF (cost, insurance, freight) ARA
(Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Antwerp), up by $140/tonne since the
month’s contract price settled at
$1,287/tonne FOB (free on board) NWE (northwest
Europe).
Since the September contract and the
return of many market participants following the summer
holidays, spot benzene prices, and in particular spot styrene prices, have moved up on
a daily basis.
Typically it is feedstock benzene price
developments that can drive the value of styrene up or down,
but acute tightness in styrene and a “surprising” level of
demand from traders and consumers, has resulted in benzene
price gains being partly derivative driven.
But the higher spot prices so far this
week have been blamed on traders and consumers covering short
positions, as well as talk of up and coming outages and
production problems in Botlek, the Netherlands.
When asked about possible outages for
Total, Shell and Petrogal, and problems at ExxonMobil, an
active benzene trader said it thought this was contributing
to the upward price trend but felt that much of it was due to
buyers covering short positions.
“I think there is 70% truth [to the
production story], the rest is cream on top. However, the
move is led by short covering now,” said the trader.
As with the styrene market, benzene
production rates were severely reduced during the summer
months. One source said aromatics producers must have been
running on fumes during August.
Demand, particularly for styrene, has come
back at a strong level. The market is tight and traders and
consumers are all in the market looking to buy.
Spot styrene is now offered at
$1,700/tonne for September and October delivery. With no
backwardation seen between the current and forward month,
this suggests that the tightness looks set to remain in place
until October.
Indeed, styrene producers and consumers
believe this.
“Demand is good for major derivatives
compared to the first half of the year and with reduced
imports and production cuts, people are looking to secure
[styrene],” said one buyer.
A major producer of styrene said the lack
of imports coming into Europe from the US and
the Middle East was clearly having an impact on the
market.
“Nothing has arrived yet. I am told the
first parcels for October are already committed. In July, 20
kt (kilotonnes) came out of the Middle East,
six-to-seven kt in August and nothing in September. The
imports have incrementally dried off,” the producer
said.
“Local [styrene] production has been at a
lower level; PO [propylene oxide] is also at a low
level. These prices do ring alarm bells,” he added.
The producer also spoke about the “feast
or famine” mentality of the US and European markets
in terms of supply and demand.
This hand-to-mouth approach in not only
exclusive to aromatics – just about every feedstock and
derivative market has been running as low as possible in
terms of production and inventory levels.
Meanwhile, downstream markets, other than
styrene, continue to eye benzene price developments with
great concern.
Demand has clearly returned for many
markets in the phenol chain for example, but it is
unclear just how much of this is restocking
or genuine fresh demand.
While downstream markets are concerned
about prices firming because of
difficulties trying to pass increases on to end-user markets
and improve margins, traders are concerned about benzene
prices falling.
“Lots of people are buying benzene well
over the contract price. Phenol demand is much better and not
everybody bought what they need. August was stronger than
expected and pipelines were empty because benzene was so
expensive in July,” commented one trader.
A second trader said: “Although of this
does not sit right. You’ve got an economy built on weak
demand. There are reasons for us all to be concerned because
when it [the cost of benzene] goes down, it will go down
fast.”
In relation to its styrene business, the trader said:
“I’m not complaining, but for physical tanks we’re paying
storage for empty tanks and we will want to load in
October.
“I can’t see this situation being resolved
any time soon…it’s a matter of sitting it out,” he
concluded.
($1 = €0.78)
Global News + ICIS Chemical Business (ICB)
See the full picture, with unlimited access to ICIS chemicals news across all markets and regions, plus ICB, the industry-leading magazine for the chemicals industry.
Contact us
Partnering with ICIS unlocks a vision of a future you can trust and achieve. We leverage our unrivalled network of industry experts to deliver a comprehensive market view based on independent and reliable data, insight and analytics.
Contact us to learn how we can support you as you transact today and plan for tomorrow.