Epoxy resins

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Following a better-than-expected 2024 first quarter, US compounder and formulator Avient raised its full-year guidance for adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) by $5 million at the low end. Sales into the defense market, along with raw material deflation, were the key earnings drivers in Q1 and Avent expects both to support earnings through 2024, CEO Ashish Khandpur and CFO Jamie Beggs told analysts during the company’s Q1 earnings call on Tuesday. New 2024 guidance Previous 2024 guidance Pro forma 2023 adjusted EBITDA $505 to $535 million $510 to $535 million $501.8 million SALES IMPROVING IN MOST END MARKETSAvient sees demand conditions “generally improving across all regions”, with improved momentum in consumer, packaging, healthcare, defense and industrial end markets, the executives said. After a 35% year-on-year increase in Q1, defense sales amid the ongoing geopolitical tensions, Avient expects those sales to continue growing through 2024, albeit not at the first quarter’s hot pace, they said. Avient’s Dyneema-brand fiber technology is used in the personal protection of soldiers and law enforcement and border control officers. While Avient’s utilization rates in defense are high, the company is able to meet forecast demand growth and expects no capacity limitations this year. However, it may add capacities in the future, depending on demand, which can be “lumpy” in that market, they said. Defense accounted for 7% of Avient’s total 2023 sales of $3.14 billion, with more than half of those sales in the US. Avient acquired the Dyneema business from DSM in 2022. Telecommunications and energy, however, are among the weaker end markets, with first-quarter sales down double-digit and weakness continuing into the second quarter. Destocking in the capital-intensive telecommunications market continued in Q1, with no meaningful rebound in that market expected until 2025, the executives said. Telecommunications accounted for 4% of Avient’s 2023 sales. BY REGION Regionally, Avient sees good momentum in the US in markets such as consumer packaging, defense, building and construction, industrial and infrastructure. “Destocking in those markets is over”, Khandpur said. With the exception of telecommunications and energy, overall demand in North America is “coming back quite well”, he said. However, persistent inflation is delaying the timing of interest rate cuts, which could weigh on sales in end markets such as building and construction, transportation and industrial, the executives said. In China, about 70% of Avient’s sales go into the local market, putting the company into a good position as that country’s economic policies transition to focus on the domestic market, the executives said. In Europe, demand in packaging and healthcare is improving, but Avient expects the region’s overall year-on-year sales growth to be soft. Consumer confidence in Europe is weak and eurozone manufacturing continues to signal contraction, they noted. Meanwhile, the stronger US dollar has become a headwind, they added. Sales by region in 2023: RAW MATERIAL DEFLATION Raw material deflation will continue to support margin expansion in the second quarter, albeit to a lesser extent than in the first quarter, the executives said. In the first quarter, Avient saw better-than-expected pricing for non hydrocarbon-based raw materials such as pigments and certain performance additives. Primary raw materials used in Avient’s manufacturing operations include polyolefin and other thermoplastic resins, titanium oxide (TiO2), inorganic and organic pigments, specialty additives and ethylene. Pricing, net of raw materials, should help drive year-on-year earnings growth in 2024, the executives said. Also, the company expects additional margin expansion due synergies and plant closures related to its acquisition of Clariant’s masterbatch business back in 2020, Beggs noted. M&A NOT A PRIORITY In the near-term, Avient will focus on organic growth and margin expansion whereas growth through mergers and acquisitions (M&A) is not a priority. While Avient is not ruling out M&A, any deals would be “small and bolt-on in nature”, in areas like healthcare, sustainable solutions or composites, with focus on Asia and Latin America, Khandpur said. “Premiums are pretty high” in M&A, he added. Thumbnail photo of Ashish Khandpur, who took over as Avient's CEO and president on 1 December 2023; photo source: Avient

07-May-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Here are some of the stories from ICIS Latin America for the week ended on 3 May. NEWS Besieged by imports, Brazil’s chemicals put hopes on hefty import tariffs hike Brazilian chemicals producers are lobbying hard for an increase in import tariffs for key polymers and petrochemicals from 12.6% to 20%, and higher in cases, hoping the hike could slow down the influx of cheap imports, which have put them against the wall. Mexico’s manufacturing slows on weaker exports, Chinese competition Mexico’s manufacturing sectors slowed down slightly in April on the back of tough competition, particularly from China, and weak demand from abroad, which caused a fall in output, analysts at S&P Global said on Thursday. Brazil’s manufacturing at nearly three-year high on booming demand Brazil's manufacturing sectors continued booming in April on the back of a sharp increase in new business intakes, which led to higher output and job creation, analysts at S&P Global said on Thursday. Mexico increases PET import tariff again in attempt to shield economy In the last week of April, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador introduced an amended version of the Tariff within the General Import and Export Duties Law to enforce import duties, or temporary duties, on products falling under 504 tariff items, including polyethylene terephthalate (PET) resin. These new duties will vary from 5% to 50%. Brazil's Braskem Q1 resin sales fall 5% yearly, on prioritizing sales with higher added value Braskem resin sales in its domestic Brazilian market dropped by 5% in Q1, year on year, on the back of prioritizing sales with higher added value in the period, the Brazilian petrochemicals major said on Friday in its quarterly production and sales report. INSIGHT: Six decades on, Brazil’s Unigel founder fights the ultimate battle The founder of Unigel, aged 87, is actively fighting the Brazilian chemicals and fertilizers producer’s most decisive battle, one for its survival, as it tries to restructure its debts, one step away from bankruptcy. PRICING Lat Am PE domestic prices fall in Argentina, Brazil on cheaper imports, soft demand Domestic polyethylene (PE) prices fell in Argentina and Brazil due to competition with cheaper imports and soft demand. In other Latin American countries, prices were unchanged. LatAm PP domestic prices fall in Argentina, Colombia, Mexico on lower feedstock costs, soft demand Domestic polypropylene (PP) prices fell in Argentina, Colombia and Mexico on the back of lower feedstock costs and soft demand.

06-May-2024

RIO DE JANEIRO (ICIS)–Huntsman’s assets in Europe are not energy intensive and have been spared from the energy crisis, but more broadly, the 27-country EU is still lacking a comprehensive policy to address the issue, the CEO at US chemicals major Huntsman said on Friday. Peter Huntsman, one of the chemical industry’s most outspoken CEOs, said the company is not planning to divest any asset in Europe but said the region should stop its “nonsense” about reindustrialization and implement policies that create actual economic growth. The CEO added he is feeling “bullish” about the coming quarters regarding demand, arguing the chemical industry had gone to “hell” and was just coming back from the steep low prices of 2023. In North America, Huntsman said the construction industry should post a marked recovery in the coming quarters after two years in the doldrums because of high interest rates because, he argued, even with current interest rates, the industry will adapt. Huntsman’s sales and earnings in the first quarter fell again, year on year, as higher sales volumes could not offset low selling prices; the company said, however, that a notable improvement in sales volumes quarter on quarter should be a signal that the recovery is underway. Among others, Huntsman produces polyurethanes (PUs), which are widely used in the construction and automotive sectors. EUROPE NONSENSEPeter Huntsman on Friday first referred to the EU’s need to stop its “nonsense” about reindustrialisation, without elaborating further, but he was more measured when asked about the company’s assets in that region. He nonetheless made clear that he thinks European governments have yet to formulate, two years into the region’s biggest energy crisis in decades, appropriate policies to address the issue. “What I am most concerned about Europe is high energy costs. Most of our businesses there are not energy intensive assets, so they are competitive; in fact we have some strong businesses there, and our margins in Advanced Materials [the division] are stronger there than in other parts of the world,” said Huntsman, speaking to reporters and chemical equity analysts on Friday. “There are businesses in Europe in which you will do OK, such as aerospace, lightweighting. But if you are energy intensive, if you produce fertilizers, glass, cement… you have some portfolio concerns there. Energy prices are too high, and this is not being addressed by governments, they still have to come up with realistic policies to address that.” Europe’s construction has also taken a hit from the crisis after interest rates shot up to bring down inflation, with projects put on hold and many building companies in financial distress. Huntsman’s CEO said he is not hoping for a strong recovery anymore in that sector in Europe, but simply for stability, which could come with governments taking more decisive action to prop up GDP growth. “If we look at the past two years… We are looking for stability: it is the volatility that concerns us the most. We need to see Europe stop its the nonsense policies around reindustrialization and get the economy growing once again,” he said. See Huntsman assets in Europe at bottom table. NORTH AMERICA CONSTRUCTIONPeter Huntsman was feeling more optimistic about North America’s construction sector, where even if high interest rates stay for longer, builders will adapt to the situation, easing the way towards a recovery. “US builders are doing two things: if interest rates were to stay where they are, they are going to adapt, perhaps building smaller units, and if rates do come down, that will open up demand quite a bit higher than it has been in the last couple of years. There are big gaps [in housing stock] which need to filled,” said Huntsman. “I am increasingly feeling better and better [about an improvement in demand]. In Q1 we saw a lot of inventory drawdown, now we are seeing a slow, steady recovery as we try to get back to average inventory levels. By and large inventory levels feel pretty thin in MDI [methylene diphenyl diisocyanate] and we look forward to moderate growth in coming quarters.” MDI is consumed mainly in PU foams, used in construction, refrigeration, packaging, and insulation. MDI is also used to make binders, elastomers, adhesives, sealants, coatings and fibers. Huntsman’s CFO, Philip Lister, also at the press conference, added that in a normal year the company’s growth in volumes from the first quarter to the second would be around 5%, as construction and other seasonal activities enter their annual peak. “This year, we are expecting more [than 5% growth],” said Lister. CHINA ELECTRIC VEHICLESHuntsman’s CEO said China’s electric vehicle (EV) sector continues to boom, although potential trade restrictions in the EU, after those imposed by the US, could start denting China’s dominance in that sector. However, the company also knows what China’s dominance in the sector, thanks to the country’s strong public support for it, can mean for western producers: in 2023, Huntsman suspended an EV battery materials project in the US because of aggressive imports from China. But the CEO added that even if China’s EV sector slowed down, the company would still be able to tap into other growing markets such as lightweighting or insulation, among others. “The automotive sector continues to be one of the strongest areas of growth in China. How long that continues [remains to be seen], but probably for some time still,” said Huntsman. “There is a broader question about [trade in the EV chain] with the US, which has been extremely limited, or Europe, where there is a lot of talk about limitations to China’s EVs.” He added that despite sluggish activity in the residential construction sector because of financial woes in building companies, exemplified by the demise of major company Evergrande, subsectors such as energy conservation, insulation, building materials and infrastructure are still doing well. “By and large we are seeing in China a slow but steady recovery in volumes and pricing. Elsewhere, I am getting more bullish. A year ago, we were in a nightmare, and we expected a recovery in the second half [of 2023] which didn’t happen and got worse and worse, until we found ourselves in hell,” said Huntsman. “At the beginning of this year we have seen good, reliable, consistent growth. What we need to see is that growth continues in the second half of this year.” HUNTSMAN ASSETS IN EUROPE Product Location Capacity (in tonnes) Aniline Wilton, UK 340,000 Epoxy resins Bergkamen, Germany 18,000 Monthey, Switzerland 120,000 Duxford, UK 10,000 Isocyanates Runcorn, UK 70,000 Maleic anhydride (MA) Moers, Germany 105,000 MDI Rozenburg, The Netherlands 470,000 Nitrobenzenes Wilton, UK 455,000 Polyalolef Grimsby, UK 15,000 Polyester polyols Huddersfield, UK 20,000 Rozenburg, The Netherlands 86,000 Unsaturated polyester resins (UPRs) Ternate, Italy 8,000 Source: ICIS Supply & Demand Database Front page picture: Huntsman’s headquarters in The Woodlands, Texas  Source: Huntsman Additional reporting by Miguel Rodriguez-Fernandez

03-May-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Brazilian chemicals producers are lobbying hard for an increase in import tariffs for key polymers and petrochemicals from 12.6% to 20%, and higher in cases, hoping the hike could slow down the influx of cheap imports, which have put them against the wall. For some products, Brazil’s chemicals trade group Abiquim, which represents producers, has made official requests for the import tariffs to go up to a hefty 35%, from 9% in some cases. On Tuesday, Abiquim said several of its member companies “are already talking about hibernating plants” due to unprofitable economics. It did so after it published another set of somber statistics for the first quarter, when imports continued entering Brazil em masse. Brazil’s government Chamber of Foreign Commerce (Camex) is concluding on Tuesday a public consultation about this, with its decision expected in coming weeks. Abiquim has been busy with the public consultation: it has made as many as 66 proposals for import tariffs to be hiked for several petrochemicals and fertilizers, including widely used polymers such polypropylene (PP), polyethylene (PE), polyethylene terephthalate (PET), polystyrene (PS), or expandable PS (EPS), to mention just a few. Other chemicals trade groups, as well as companies, have also filed requests for import tariffs to be increased. In total, 110 import tariffs. HARD TO FIGHT OFFBrazil has always depended on imports to cover its internal chemicals demand, but the extraordinary low prices coming from competitors abroad has made Brazil’s chemicals plant to run with operating rates of 65% or lower. More and more, the country’s chemicals facilities are becoming white elephants which are far from their potential, as customers find in imported product more competitive pricing. Considering this dire situation and taking into account that the current government in Brasilia led by Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva may be more receptive to their demands, Abiquim has put a good fight in publica and private for measure which could shore up chemical producers’ competitiveness. This could come after the government already hiked import tariffs on several products in 2023 and re-introduced a tax break, called REIQ, for some chemicals which had been withdrawn by the previous Administration. While Brazil’s chemicals production competitiveness is mostly affected by higher input costs, with natural gas costs on average five times higher than in the US, the industry is hopeful a helping hand from the government in the form of higher import tariffs could slow down the flow of imports into Brazil. As a ‘price taker region’ given its dependence on imports, Latin American domestic producers have taken a hit in the past two years. In Brazil, polymers major Braskem is Abiquim’s commanding voice. Abiquim, obviously, has always been very outspoken – even apocalyptic – about the fate of its members as they try to compete with overseas countries, namely China who has been sending abroad product at below cost of production. The priorities in China’s dictatorial system are not related to the balance of markets, but to keep employment levels stable so its citizens find fewer excuses to protest against the regime which keeps them oppressed. Capitalist market dynamics are for the rest of the world to balance; in China’s dictatorial, controlled-economy regime the priority is to make people feel the regime’s legitimacy can come from never-ending economic growth. The results of such a policy for the rest of the world – not just in chemicals but in all industrial goods – is becoming clear: unprofitable industries which cannot really compete with heavily subsidized Chinese players. The results of such a policy in China are yet to be seen, but subsiding at all costs any industry which creates employment may have debt-related lasting consequences: as they mantra goes, “there is no such thing as a free lunch.” Abiquim’s executive president urged Lula’s cabinet to look north, to the US, where the government has imposed hefty tariffs on almost all China-produced industrial goods or raw materials for manufacturing production. “[The hikes in import tariffs] have improved the US’ scenario: despite the aggressive advance in exports by Asian countries, the drop in US [chemicals] production in 2023 was of 1%, while in Brazil the index for production fell nearly by 10%,” said Andre Passos. “The country adopted an increase in import taxes of over 30% to defend its market from unfair competition. The taxation for some inputs, such as phenol, resins and adipic [acid], for example, exceeds three digits. “Here, we are suggesting an increase in rates to 20% in most claims … We need to have this breathing space for the industry to recover,” he concluded. As such, the figures for the first quarter showed no sign of imports into Brazil slowing down. The country posted a trade deficit $9.9 billion during the January-March period; the 12-month accumulated (April 2023 to March 2024) deficit stood at $44.7 billion. A record high of 61.2 million tonnes of chemicals products entered Brazil in Q1; in turn, the country’s industry exported 14.6 million tonnes. Abiquim proposals for higher import tariffs Product Current import tariff Proposed tariff Expandable polystyrene, unfilled, in primary form 12.6% 20% Other polystyrenes in primary forms 12.6% 20% Carboxymethylcellulose with content > =75%, in primary forms 12.6% 20% Other polyurethanes in liquids and pastes 12.6% 20% Phthalic anhydride 10.8% 20%  Sodium hydrogen carbonate (bicarbonate) 9% 35% Copolymers of ethylene and alpha-olefin, with a density of less than 0.94 12.6% 20% Other orthophthalic acid esters 11% 20% Other styrene polymers, in primary forms 12.6% 20% Other silicon dioxides 0% 18% Other polyesters in liquids and pastes  12.6% 20% Commercial ammonium carbonates and other ammonium carbonates 9% 18% Other unsaturated polyethers, in primary forms 12.6% 20% Polyethylene terephthalate, with a viscosity index of 78 ml/g or more 12.6% 20% Phosphoric acid with an iron content of less than 750 ppm 9% 18% Dinonyl or didecyl orthophthalates 11% 20% Poly(vinyl chloride), not mixed with other substances, obtained by suspension process 12.6% 20% Poly(vinyl chloride), not mixed with other substances, obtained by emulsion process 12.6% 20% Methyl polymethacrylate, in primary form  12.6% 20% White mineral oils (vaseline or paraffin oils) 4% 35% Other polyetherpolyols, in primary forms 12.6% 20% Other unfilled epoxy resins in primary forms 12.6% 20% Silicon dioxide obtained by chemical precipitation 9% 18% Acrylonitrile-butadiene rubber in plates, sheets, etc 11% 35% Other organic anionic surface agents, whether or not put up for retail sale, not classified under previous codes 12.6% 23% Phenol (hydroxybenzene) and its salts 7% 20% Fumaric acid, its salts and esters 10 ,8% 20% Plasticizers and plastics 10 ,8% 20% Maleic anhydride 10 ,8% 20% Adipic acid salts and esters 10 ,8% 20% Propylene copolymers, in primary forms 12.6% 20% Adipic acid 9% 20% Unfilled polypropylene, in primary form 12.6% 20% Filled polypropylene, in primary form 12.6% 20% Methacrylic acid methyl esters 10 ,8% 20% Other ethylene polymers, in primary forms 12.6% 20% Acrylic acid 2-ethylhexyl esters 0% 20% 2-Ethylexanoic acid (2-ethylexoic acid) 10. 8% 20% Other copolymers of ethylene and vinyl acetate, in primary forms 12.6% 20% Other unfilled polyethylenes, density >= 0.94, in primary forms 12.6% 20% Polyethylene with a density of less than 0.94, unfilled 12.6% 20% Other saturated acyclic monoalcohol acetates, c atom <= 8 10. 8% 20% Polyethylene with a density of less than 0.94, with filler 12.6% 20% Triacetin 10. 8% 20% Sodium methylate in methanol 12.6% 20% Stearic alcohol (industrial fatty alcohol) 12.6% 20% N-butyl acetate                              11% 20% Stearic acid (industrial monocarboxylic fatty acid) 5% 35% Alkylbenzene mixtures 11% 20% Organic, non-ionic surface agents 12.6% 23% Ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution 0.0% 15% Monoethanolamine and its salts 12.6% 20% Isobutyl alcohol (2-methyl-1-propanol) 10.8% 20% Butan-1-ol (n-butyl alcohol) 10.8% 20% Styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR), food grade as established by the Food Chemical Codex, in primary forms 10.8% 22% Styrene                                9% 18% Hexamethylenediamine and its salts 10.8% 20% Latex from other synthetic or artificial rubbers 10.8% 35% Propylene glycol (propane-1, 2-diol) 10.8% 20% Preparations 12.6% 20% Linear alkylbenzene sulfonic acids and their salts 12.6% 23% 4,4'-Isopropylidenediphenol (bisphenol A, diphenylolpropane) and its salts 10.8% 20% Dipropylene glycol 12.6% 20% Butanone (methyl ethyl ketone) 10.8% 20% Ethyl acetate                                 10.8% 20% Methyl-, ethyl- and propylcellulose, hydroxylated 0.0% 20% Front page picture: Chemical production facilities outside Sao Paulo  Source: Union of Chemical and Petrochemical industries in the state of Sao Paulo (Sinproquim) Focus article by Jonathan Lopez Additional information by Thais Matsuda and Bruno Menini

30-Apr-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–The European and US epoxy resins markets are in a tug of war between margin and cost struggles versus still fragile underlying demand and competition from China and elsewhere in Asia. The US anti-dumping case for epoxy resins against several Asian countries and the EU anti subsidy probe against Chinese wind turbines are also talking points as the West looks to protect its industry against unfair competition. Senior editor Heidi Finch who covers the Europe epoxy market  discusses current and near term expectations with fellow senior editor Tarun Raizada, who covers the US epoxy market. Margin woes, tepid demand and Asia competition weigh on Europe, US epoxy Regulatory cases aim to tackle unfair competition from China, rest of Asia Near-term outlook cautious on demand, macroeconomics; seasonality likely to be diluted Edited by Will Beacham

29-Apr-2024

TORONTO (ICIS)–Following the conclusion of a consultation period, Canada’s federal government has published a formal notice in the Canada Gazette for its planned Federal Plastics Registry. The registry will require plastic resin manufacturers, producers of plastic products and service providers to annually report on the amounts and types of plastic they put out in the market, and where the plastic ends up. Environment minister Steven Guilbeault said at a webcast press event on Monday that the registry would create an inventory of plastics data, with the objective of providing transparency about the production, distribution, sale, use and disposal of plastics in Canada. Industry knew what kind of plastics is being produced, to whom it is sold, and how it is used, the minister said. The registry, in turn, would put this information into one place and make it accessible to the public, researchers and non-governmental organizations, enabling them to track plastics production and plastics use, he said. The registry would have a similar role in fighting plastic pollution as the annual greenhouse gas (GHG) inventory reports the government uses in combatting emissions, he said, adding that without this information it was hard to tackle these challenges. The first phase of reporting to the plastics registry’s IT system is due to begin on 29 September 2025. UN PLASTICS POLLUTION TREATYIn related news, delegates from more than 170 countries on Tuesday gathered in Ottawa for the fourth session of the UN’s Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee on Plastic Pollution (INC-4) to develop an international legally binding treaty on containing plastic pollution. The event runs from 23-29 April. German chemical producers’ trade group VCI and Chemistry Industry Association of Canada (CIAC) said they are supporting the fight against plastics pollution. VCI is looking to INC-4 and a subsequent final INC-5 to be held in South Korea in November for a global commitment to a circular economy, in which plastic products are reused or recycled, rather than ending up as waste in the environment, it said. At the same time, VCI stressed the benefits of plastics. An across-the-board "demonization" of plastics would end up harming the climate and the environment, rather than helping it, said VCI director general Wolfgang Grosse Entrup. “A sustainable future requires plastics," he said and pointed, as examples, to plastics used in wind turbines, electric vehicles (EV) and packaging – applications in which plastics help avoid carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, he said. Likewise, CIAC vice president of policy Isabelle Des Chenes told media in a webcast event that plastics, for example, help preserve food. "There's a lot of plastic and there's a lot of plastic for a reason," she added. Additional reporting by Tom Brown Thumbnail photo of environment minister Steven Guilbeault; photo source: government of Canada

23-Apr-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–INEOS Styrolution is temporarily shutting its styrene plant in Sarnia, Ontario, after nearby residents complained they became ill from the plant’s emissions. “At INEOS Styrolution, ensuring the health and safety of our employees and community is paramount,” the company said in a statement. “We are temporarily shutting down our facility located in Sarnia, Ontario, Canada, to perform maintenance and address a mechanical issue. We will resume operations once addressed.” The plant has capacity to produce 445,000 tonnes/year of styrene and 490,000 tonnes/year of ethylbenzene (EB), according to the ICIS Supply and Demand Database. The shutdown came after the Aamjiwnaang First Nation community asked the government to close the plant when members complained of becoming sick and said that data indicated high levels of benzene in the air. Members reported having headaches, nausea and dizziness due to poor air quality. Aamjiwnaang First Nation describes itself as a community of about 2,500 Chippewa Aboriginal peoples located on the St Clair River in the city limits of Sarnia. Last week, Ontario Environment Minister Andrea Khanjin said that she expected the company to “quickly identify and reduce” emissions at the site, according to news reports. In 2020, the Ministry of Environment, Conservation and Parks created the Sarnia Area Environmental Health Project to look into concerns that residents expressed about air pollutants and other quality-of-life impacts from living close to industrial operations in the area. The project includes regularly measuring air quality for potential health risks. The shutdown will further tighten the North American styrene market, which has experienced a number of outages that have put upward pressure on contract and spot prices. Styrolution’s Texas City, Texas, plant has been shut since mid-2023. In addition, Total remains on force majeure from its joint-venture CosMar unit in Carville, Louisiana, and LyondellBasell’s propylene oxide/styrene monomer (POSM) plant in Channelview, Texas, is undergoing maintenance. Shell recently restarted its Scotford, Alberta, styrene unit but it is not operating at full capacity, according to market sources. US styrene contract prices in April were assessed at their highest level since Q3 2023 due to the rise in spot prices, which are up approximately 50% since the beginning of the year. Styrene is a chemical used to make latex and polystyrene resins, which in turn are used to make plastic packaging, disposable cups and insulation. Major North American styrene producers include AmSty, INEOS Styrolution, LyondellBasell Chemical, Shell Chemicals Canada, Total Petrochemicals and Westlake Styrene.

22-Apr-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–An EU probe into China wind turbines and a US anti-dumping investigation against epoxy from China and other Asian countries are some of the latest examples of the growing use by policymakers of regulatory measures to support local industry against allegations of unfair competition. Producers in western regions, particularly the EU, are increasingly pushing back against the impact of lower-priced imports from China on local markets, with regulators looking to tariffs and policy measures to ease industry struggles and diversify supplies. The EU’s probe into Chinese wind turbines under the Foreign Subsidy Regulation and the US anti-dumping case for epoxy against China, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and India are fresh examples of this. Asia Pacific suppliers have gained ground in the European epoxy market since the pandemic, and the downstream wind sector has also become increasingly pressured. As reliance in those spaces increasingly shifts to external markets for supply, questions emerge about the viability of local players in the face of these dynamics, as well as the implications for the energy transition and whether domestic supply is structurally adequate to meet future demand. STRING OF ADD CASES In the wake of these pressures, there has been a wave of Anti-dumping investigations in the chemicals sector in the west, mainly aimed at China. Olin and Westlake have submitted anti-dumping duty (ADD) petitions for epoxy in the US against China and other Asian countries, based on allegations that producers in these countries have sold large volumes of product at “unfairly low prices” in the US market, which is claimed to have caused injury to US producers/industry. On the face of it, the trade data does not support claims of substantial dumping of volume, with pretty low imports from three of the five key Asia-based manufacturers. However, there is growing speculation that a similar ADD claim is afoot in Europe, but there has been nothing official on this so far. Run rates have been reduced in Europe for a prolonged period to manage high costs, low demand and increased import flow from China/Asia. CHINA EPOXY, EUROPE CAPACITY Chinese epoxy is exported to Europe at around €1,900/tonne DDP in April and in some cases below. This is around €500-600/tonne below European levels and at least a few hundred euros cheaper than other Asian sources. If an anti-dumping investigation were to come in Europe and duties were to be implemented, could the EU structural capacity meet its demand needs between now and 2030? Structural nameplate capacity for epoxy in Europe is forecast to be slightly over 700,000 tonnes/per year, potentially with an additional 20,000-30,000 tonnes/year if a new Chimcomplex epoxy project is finalised. This stands against an actual consumption estimate of 466,000 tonnes/year by 2030, according to ICIS S&D data, although total actual production is expected to remain closely aligned to demand. “If an ADD were to go ahead in the EU, the region could be self-sufficient from an epoxy perspective,” said ICIS Aromatics and Derivatives Consultant Michele Bossi. CHINA EPOXY GAINS SHARE IN EU As we have seen with the ramp up in Chinese/Asian epoxy imports into Europe since the pandemic, there is potential that China could eat into the key EU downstream wind sector, with Chinese wind turbines being offered up to 50% lower than European-made wind turbines and with deferred payments of up to three years. European manufacturers are not allowed to offer deferred payments due to OECD rules. These favourable conditions for Chinese wind turbines are likely to sway wind park developers in the EU and the wider west. China is benefitting from subsidised materials up and down the chain, access to cheap land, financing and energy, according to a wind energy player, who said “something needs to be done to protect the Western OEMs and the supply base”, adding that some western OEMS claim to be victims of Chinese competition but are moving their production to China in order to be competitive. However, it stressed that “it is a very short-term strategy and will only result in losing to China.” Excess capacity of subsidised Chinese wind turbines “is not only dangerous for our competitiveness. It also jeopardises our economic security,” said Commission Executive Vice-President for Competition Margarethe Vestager and new inquiry Commissioner. “The EU probe into potentially unfairly subsidised Chinese wind turbine manufacturers is to ensure a fair competition and level the playing field between European and Chinese manufacturers eager to enter the European market,” said the official WindEurope spokesperson. EU WIND PROBE UNLIKELY TO AFFECT THE ENERGY TRANSITION “The number of new wind projects expected to come online before 2030 – and therefore to meet the EU’s 2030 targets – is largely independent of the origin of the wind turbine manufacturers,” highlighted the official spokesperson at WindEurope. It added that bottlenecks for additional projects coming online before 2030 are linked to other factors such as grid build out and grid connection queues, permits for new wind farms; (maritime) spatial planning and the availability of sufficient space for new wind energy projects. Although the EU Wind Energy package has provided action points to address these areas and support the sector. EU ENERGY TARGETS WITHIN REACH FOR 2030 WindEurope forecasts that the EU will come close to reaching its energy targets for 2030, irrespective of the EU probe into Chinese wind turbines, with the EU expected to install 29 GW a year on average over 2024-30. This will bring the EU’s installed wind capacity to 393 GW in 2030, compared to the 425 GW needed to deliver Europe’s climate and energy targets. Improvements in permitting and a rebound in investment has enabled the “EU wind energy targets of 2030 to be within reach”, according to WindEurope. OTHER SUPPORTThe bloc’s Net-Zero Industry Act – intended as a response to the US Inflation Reduction Act will introduce non-price criteria in renewable energy auctions and public procurement, which means that countries will need to apply this to at least 30% of volumes auctioned each year. This criteria is intended to help the EU’s clean-tech industries compete by prioritising elements such as environmental sustainability, resilience, cybersecurity, business conduct, innovation and ability to deliver on time, alongside the overall project price. The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) from 2026 should help level out the playing field of complying with EU emissions rules, requiring non-EU producers importing into the bloc to declare emissions and buy certificates to pay for them. While the EU is providing support to the wind sector to promote domestic demand and take measures to level-out the playing field, the same is not the case in the chemicals/epoxy sector. The inflow of cheap Chinese imports into the west is part of a bigger issue, with structural overcapacity mainly in China against a weak demand backdrop globally and a high-energy and raw material cost environment in Europe  putting the region on the back foot versus other regions. Lack of cost competitiveness in the chemicals sector in Europe continue to weigh heavily on western players, with two chemical giants ExonnMobil and SABIC the most recent casualties, with some cracker and derivative operational closures. "Everyone is welcome to trade with Europe. But they have to play by the rules,” said Vestager, Executive Vice President of the European Commission in her recent speech. But tariffs can only help to some extent, with  regional cost differences and overcapacity mainly in China structural issues that still need to be addressed. Additional reporting by Aura Sabadus, Gretchen Ransow, Michele Bossi, Will Beacham, Tarun Raizada and Nigel Davis Europe Graphics: Yashas Mudumbai

19-Apr-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–Here are some of the top stories from ICIS Europe for the week ended 5 April. India’s urea imports plunge in January as country plans to end imports by 2025 In India, urea imports were at 400,542 tonnes in January, down 69% from 1.3m tonnes in January 2023 as requirement for fresh purchases decreased due to above average stock availability, according to customs data. European Commission implements definitive dumping duties on China PET As of 3 April, certain types of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) originating from the People’s Republic of China (PRC) will be subject to anti-dumping duties imposed by the European Commission. Costs, margins a pressing concern in the Europe epoxy industry, talks firmer for April The continued uptrend in raw material costs is piling on the pressure in the Europe epoxy industry and triggering price rise proposals for April, as profitability issues mount. Eurozone inflation declines further in March as energy costs drop, food inflation slows Inflation in the eurozone continued its slow downturn in March, falling to 2.4%, Eurostat said on Wednesday, as energy price declines continued and upward pressure on food and industrial goods lessened.

08-Apr-2024

MUMBAI (ICIS)–India’s Epigral Ltd has commissioned its 45,000 tonne/year chlorinated polyvinyl chloride (CPVC) resin line at its facility in Dahej in the western Gujarat state. “Epigral now has a total CPVC resin capacity of 75,000 tonnes/year, positioning it as the largest CPVC resin facility in the world at a single location,” it said in a disclosure to the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) on 3 April. Epigral, formerly known as Meghmani Finechem Ltd, is a leading integrated manufacturer of chemicals in India, producing caustic soda, chlorine, caustic potash, chloromethanes, CPVC and hydrogen peroxide at its Dahej facility. “With this [CPVC] expansion, we are advancing towards our goal of becoming a multi-product company, geared up to enhance contribution from the derivatives and specialty chemicals segments,” Epigral chairman & managing director Maulik Patel said. The increased capacity will help the company meet rising global and domestic demand for CPVC resins, it said, adding that the increased capacity will also help reduce India’s reliance on imports of the material. Domestic demand for CPVC currently stands at around 250,000 tonnes/year and is expected to grow at an annual rate of 10-13%, a company source said. Separately, the company expects to commission its 35,000 tonne/year CPVC compound facility before June 2024. India currently imports its CPVC resin and CPVC compound requirements, and the new plant will help Epigral cater to domestic demand for both products. Meanwhile, the company also expects to commission its chlorotoluene and downstream value chain facility in the current calendar year, the company source said. Once operational, the chlorotoluene facility will produce intermediates for manufacturing pharmaceutical and agrochemical active ingredients. “Right now, India imports its chlorotoluene requirement completely from China, Japan, and Europe. We expect to cater to custom manufacturing companies that are currently importing this raw material,” the company source added.

04-Apr-2024