Propylene oxide (PO)

LONDON (ICIS)–Ahead of the approaching European Petrochemical Conference (EPCA) in Berlin 7-10 October, ICIS editors discuss market conditions in a variety of solvent markets. Market updates on methyl ethyl ketone (MEK), methyl isobutyl ketone (MIBK), isopropanol (IPA), phenol, acetone, toluene, mixed xylenes, glycol ethers and propylene glycol ethers, butyl acetate and ethyl acetate Trade flows and impact of freight rate movements Overcapacity versus low demand levels Upcoming maintenance programs In this episode, Jane Massingham talks to editors Nick Cleeve, Jane Gibson, Zubair Adam, Cameron Birch and Marion Boakye.

27-Sep-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–The Mexican government has amended for the third time the decree regulating import and export permit requirements for several chemicals as well as fuel products and re-opened the door for 20-year permits. Among others, there were amendments published for permits to import key building blocks within the petrochemical industry, such as naphtha; products within the aromatics chain such as benzene and toluene; or within olefins such as ethylene, propylene and butadiene (BD). Within fuels, import permits for jet kerosene or biodiesel were amended, as well as those for feedstocks such as methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE). Read the list of products in the decree’s annexes (see here, in Spanish). The government said it was aiming to simplify the procedures by providing greater legal certainty and clarity to interested parties, seeking to facilitate compliance with obligations by considering the type of merchandise, its use, and the quantities requested. These import and export permits apply when the product is related to the energy industry or derives or is produced from hydrocarbons. For lubricants and additives, recent regulatory amendments have made it necessary to obtain a Permit for the import of such products, when classified under certain specific tariff codes. Some of the updates referred to the term of the permits for import and export, an aspect in which the government is backtracking its earlier decision from 2020 to withdraw 20-year permits existent at the time, according to a note to customers by the Mexican office of law firm Holland & Knight. “Permits are granted for different validity periods that vary based on the nature of the merchandise and its intended use. For merchandise intended for sporting events and research trials, both for import and export, the validity is sixty days. Standard permits for one year and five years may also be requested,” said Gabriel Ruiz, partner at the law firm. “Furthermore, permits for export may be granted for periods exceeding five to twenty years, provided the need for such permits is justified in the interest of social and economic benefit, subject to approval by the Ministry of Energy (SENER).” The decree also establishes specific requirements for obtaining prior import and export permits, differentiating the requirements based on the validity of each type of permit. Regarding renewals, permits granted for one year may be renewed up to two times for the same validity, while five-year permits may be renewed once for the same duration. For permits exceeding five years intended for export, the renewal will be singular and may extend up to half of the original validity; in the case of twenty-year permits, the renewal will be limited to the same proportion. The new rules published on 18 September came to amend a decree originally issued in December 2020, later amended in November 2022 and November 2023. These amendments were part of wider changes included in the Energy Reform passed in 2013, which sought to liberalize Mexico’s energy sector. The current Administration’s approach, however, has been keeping the state-owned energy companies – crude major Pemex or utility CFE are two of them – at the center of the country’s energy landscape. Front page picture source: Shutterstock

24-Sep-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–The Brazilian government’s committee on foreign trade Gecex-Camex approved late on Wednesday an increase in import taxes on more than 80 chemical and fertilizers products, with the new rate up to 20% for most materials. Among some of the products affected are widely used chemicals such polypropylene (PP), polyethylene, (PE), polyvinyl chloride (PVC), polystyrene (PS), and polyethylene terephthalate (PET). See bottom list for details. Previous rates stood between 7.6% and 12.6%. The new rates will apply from October and are valid for one year. The decision is yet to be approved by Mercosur, the trading common area formed by Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay, as well as Brazil, which is the dominant economy in Mercosur. The cabinet, thus, gave in partly to the pressure by chemical producers in Brazil. Earlier this year, individual companies as well as the trade group representing producers, Abiquim, had proposed to increase tariffs in more than 100 chemicals. The decision was widely anticipated by analysts, and it is expected to immediately prop up earnings for some of Brazil’s largest producers such polymers major Braskem or chlor-alkali major Unipar. Brazil has been the recipient of large amounts of imports from Asia and, to a lesser extent, the US which have greatly dented domestic producers’ market share. Sectors that opposed increasing tariffs, including plastic transformers represented by Abiplast, expressed their disappointment after Wednesday’s measure by Gecex-Camex. “[The decision was taken even though] Abiplast and other trade groups have exhaustively demonstrated to the government the harmful impacts of increases in import tariffs on raw materials,” said Jose Ricardo Roriz Coelho, president of Abiplast, in a letter to the trade group’s members seen by ICIS. “We will continue to fight to ensure that these unreasonable measures are reversed.” Product Current Tax Rate Proposed Tax Rate Plaintiff Phosphoric acid with iron content less than 750 ppm 9% 17.5% Abiquim Sodium hydrogen carbonate (bicarbonate) 9% 20%* Abiquim Isobutyl alcohol (2-methyl-1-propanol) 10.80% 20% Abiquim Isobutyl alcohol (2-methyl-1-propanol) 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Phenol (hydroxybenzene) and its salts 7.20% 12.6%* Abiquim Phenol (hydroxybenzene) and its salts 7.20% 12.6%* Rhodia Brasil SA Butanone (methyl ethyl ketone) 10.80% 20% Abiquim Ethyl acetate 10.80% 20% Abiquim n-butyl acetate 10.80% 20% Abiquim n-butyl acetate 10.80% 20% Rhodia Brasil SA Other saturated acyclic monoalcohol acetates, c atom <= 8 10.80% 20% Abiquim Methacrylic acid methyl esters 10.80% 20% Abiquim Methacrylic acid methyl esters 10.80% 20% Unigel Holdings Inc. Adipic acid 9% 20% Abiquim Adipic acid 9% 20% Rhodia Brasil SA Maleic anhydride 10.80% 20% Abiquim Maleic anhydride 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Fumaric acid, its salts and esters 10.80% 20% Abiquim Dioctyl orthophthalates 10.80% 20% Abiquim Dioctyl orthophthalates 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Dinonyl or didecyl orthophthalates 10.80% 20% Abiquim Hexamethylenediamine and its salts 10.80% 20% Abiquim Monoethanolamine and its salts 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other anionic organic surface-active agents, whether or not put up for retail sale, not classified under previous codes 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polyethylene with a density of less than 0.94, with filler 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polyethylene with a density of less than 0.94, without filler 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other unfilled polyethylenes, density >= 0.94, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other copolymers of ethylene and vinyl acetate, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Copolymers of ethylene and alpha-olefin, with a specific gravity of less than 0.94 12.60% 20% Abiquim Unfilled polypropylene in primary form 12.60% 20% Abiquim Propylene copolymers, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Expandable polystyrene, unfilled, in primary form 12.60% 18% Abiquim Other styrene polymers, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other styrene polymers, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Unigel Holdings Inc. Polyvinyl chloride, unmixed with other substances, obtained by suspension process 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polyethylene terephthalate of a viscosity index of 78 ml/g or more 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polyethylene terephthalate of a viscosity index of 78 ml/g or more 12.60% 20% Alpek Polyester Pernambuco SA Other unsaturated polyethers, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Ex – Surfactant polymer class preparation, silicone free 12.60% 12.60% Abiquim Ex – Solvent-free modified polyester class preparation 12.60% 12.60% Abiquim White mineral oils (vaseline or paraffin oils) 3.60% 35% Abiquim Silicon dioxide obtained by chemical precipitation 9% 18% Abiquim Silicon dioxide obtained by chemical precipitation 9% 17% Rhodia Brasil SA Other silicon dioxides 0% 18% Abiquim Commercial ammonium carbonates and other ammonium carbonates 9% 18% Abiquim Styrene 9% 18% Abiquim Styrene 9% 18% Unigel Holdings Inc. Butan-1-ol (n-butyl alcohol) 10.80% 20% Abiquim Butan-1-ol (n-butyl alcohol) 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Propylene glycol (propane-1, 2-diol) 10.80% 20% Abiquim Dipropylene glycol 12.60% 20% Abiquim Triacetin 10.80% 20% Abiquim Triacetin 10.80% 20% Denver Specialty Chemicals 2-Ethylexanoic acid (2-ethylexoic acid) 10.80% 20% Abiquim 2-Ethylexanoic acid (2-ethylexoic acid) 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Salts and esters of adipic acid 10.80% 20% Abiquim Other esters of orthophthalic acid 10.80% 20% Abiquim Other esters of orthophthalic acid 10.80% 20% Elekeiroz Inc. Phthalic anhydride 10.80% 20% Abiquim Phthalic anhydride 10.80% 20% Petrom Petrochemicals Mogi das Cruzes S/A Ammonium nitrate, even in aqueous solution 0% 15% Abiquim Pigments and preparations based on these pigments 12.60% 20% Abiquim Linear alkylbenzene sulfonic acids and their salts 12.60% 23% Abiquim Organic surface-active agents, non-ionic 12.60% 23% Abiquim Alkylbenzene mixtures 10.80% 20% Abiquim Stearic acid (industrial monocarboxylic fatty acid) 5.40% 35% Abiquim Stearic alcohol (industrial fatty alcohol) 12.60% 20% Abiquim Sodium methylate in methanol 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other ethylene polymers, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Filled polypropylene, in primary form 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other polystyrenes in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other polystyrenes in primary forms 12.60% 20% Unigel Holdings Inc. Polyvinyl chloride, unmixed with other substances, obtained by emulsion process 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polymethyl methacrylate, in primary form 12.60% 20% Abiquim Polymethyl methacrylate, in primary form 12.60% 20% Unigel Holdings Inc. Other polyether polyols, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other polyesters in liquids and pastes 12.60% 20% Abiquim Other polyurethanes in liquids and pastes 12.60% 20% Abiquim Carboxymethyl cellulose with content >=75%, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Abiquim Carboxymethyl cellulose with content >=75%, in primary forms 12.60% 20% Denver Specialty Chemicals Styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR), food grade according to the Food Chemical Codex, in primary forms 10.80% 22% Abiquim Acrylonitrile-butadiene rubber in sheets, plates, etc. 10.80% 35% Abiquim Latex of other synthetic or artificial rubbers 10.80% 35% Abiquim  

19-Sep-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Thai conglomerate Siam Cement Group (SCG) plans to use ethane imported from the US as feedstock for its Long Son Petrochemical (LSP) complex in Vietnam to boost the project’s long-term competitiveness. Storage, supporting facilities for ethane to be built on site Ethane targeted as major feedstock for LSP cracker; C2 market “turbulence” expected LSP commercial operations start October SCG is in talks with a contractor for the new ethane storage project, with construction of the facilities expected to take about three years to complete, the company said in roadshow presentation on 16 September. “The site is equipped with a central utility system, ready for the installation of ethane gas storage tanks and pipelines,” the company said in a separate statement on 16 September. SCG has yet to finalize the capital expenditure for the project, and the prospective US ethane supplier for LSP was not disclosed. The $5.4bn LSP project in Ba Ria-Vung Tao province is Vietnam’s first integrated petrochemical complex and is 100%-owned by Thai conglomerate SCG. The mixed-feed cracker at the site currently uses propane and naphtha feedstocks imported from Qatar under a long-term supply deal. The cracker can produce 950,000 tonnes/year of ethylene; 400,000 tonnes/year of propylene; and 100,000 tonnes/year of butadiene (BD). SCG said that LSP is already operating flexible gas cracker which can use a variety of feedstocks, including ethane, propane, and naphtha. Ethane imported from the US is currently cheaper by $200-400/tonne than existing feedstock, SCG said, noting that the average price of ethane has been around 40% lower than that of naphtha and propane over the past three years. The feedstock derived from shale gas also provides greater price stability as it is linked to US natural gas prices, unlike naphtha, which is influenced by oil price fluctuations. FEEDSTOCK DIVERSIFICATION The enhancement to LSP's feedstock flexibility is part of SCG's efforts to bolster its chemicals business in the face of global oversupply, low demand and oil price volatility, SCG said. For ethylene (C2), the company expects "future turbulence" in the market, especially in 2027-2028 amid a wave of new global cracker additions, especially in China. Global ethylene supply is projected by SCG to grow at a slower average rate of around 3-4% in 2025-2030, compared with 5% in 2019-2024. China will comprise around 53% of new ethylene supply additions in 2025-2030, it noted. SCG expects an "extended chemicals trough with low margin" in 2025-2030 amid continued naphtha price volatility. “The current global situation and the future outlook over the next 2-5 years will be marked by increased volatility,” SCG CEO and president Thammasak Sethaudom said on 16 September. “All SCG businesses are moving forward with strategies that align with these dynamics while also reducing carbon dioxide emissions…to ensure long-term competitiveness.” LSP COMMERCIAL OPERATIONS START OCTOBER The LSP complex has completed performance test runs in September and is on track to start commercial operations next month, according to SCG. Its utilization rate following start-up will be "determined by global demand dynamics", it said. LSP’s downstream plants include a 500,000 tonne/year high density polyethylene (HDPE) unit; a linear low density PE (LLDPE) unit of the same capacity; and a 400,000 tonne/year polypropylene (PP) unit. The cracker had an outage in February due to a technical issue and resumed normal operations in August. It had declared a force majeure in February due to issues at the cracker that also shut its downstream PE and PP units. Credit ratings agency Fitch Ratings in a note on 17 September said that it expects LSP to ramp up its utilization rate to 70-80% in 2025, “supported by its cost competitiveness versus imports and the flexibility to use both propane and naphtha as feedstock”. Imports currently fulfil nearly all of Vietnam's petrochemical requirements. Focus article by Nurluqman Suratman Thumbnail photo: Aerial view of SCG's Long Son Petrochemical Complex in Vietnam (Source: SCG)

19-Sep-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by a half point to 4.75-5.00% on Wednesday, and the central bank could lower it by an additional half point by the end of the year. The following table summarizes the current and past forecasts for rates, inflation and GDP by members of the Federal Reserve. 2024 2025 2026 Fed funds 4.4% 3.4% 2.9% June forecast 5.1% 4.1% 3.1% GDP 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% June forecast 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% Core PCE Inflation 2.6% 2.2% 2.0% June forecast 2.8% 2.3% 2.0% Source: Fed If the forecasts hold true, the US economy will achieve a soft landing, with inflation falling to the Fed's long-term goal of 2% without triggering a recession. FED NOTES WEAKER JOB MARKET, INFLATIONThe Fed said that the job market had slowed since the last time it voted on rates at the end of July. Inflation has moved closer to the Fed's goal but remains somewhat elevated. Unlike its previous statement in July, the Fed said it "has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%". In addition, the Fed stressed its commitment to support maximum employment. Its last statement in July lacked such a statement. CHEMS WILL WAIT BEFORE RATES TRIGGER RECOVERY IN DURABLESChemical producers will have to wait before lower rates cause a recovery for demand in durable goods and housing. Both are key end markets for polymers such as polypropylene (PP), nylon, acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) as well as chemicals used to make polyurethanes, such as isocyanates, polyols and propylene oxide (PO). Huntsman said the lag is typically about two quarters. Ultimately, mortgage rates will need to approach 5% before markets for homes and durable goods can recover, according to Dow. Higher rates had made housing and durable goods like furniture and appliances less affordable. Because fewer consumers are buying homes and moving, they are purchasing fewer durable goods. LOWER RATES TEND TO BOOST OIL, CHEM PRICESTypically, prices for oil and other dollar-denominated commodities tend to rise as US interest rates fall. A rise in oil prices typically causes those for petrochemicals to increase. Margins for US-based producers benefit from higher oil prices because their plants predominantly rely on gas-based feedstock. By contrast, much of the world relies on oil-based naphtha, giving US producers a cost advantage. FIRST CUT IN MORE THAN FOUR YEARSThe last time the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates was in March 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic. Lockdowns, government stimulus and recovery caused a surge in inflation, which led the Federal Reserve to begin raising the benchmark rate two years later in what became the most aggressive tightening campaign in more than 40 years. The Fed stopped raising the rate in July 2023. A year later, inflation started showing signs of approaching the Fed's target of 2%. At the same time, the labor market began cooling off and returning to more normal levels. Focus article by Al Greenwood Thumbnail shows money. Image by ICIS.

18-Sep-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Gevo has received a patent for its process that converts ethanol into olefins in a single step, providing another way to make propylene from renewable feedstock, the US-based renewable chemicals producer said on Monday. The patent, No 12,043,587 B2, addresses the company's process that relies on catalyst combinations for the process, which can make propylene and butylenes, which are also known as butenes. Gevo had licensed the technology to LG Chem. Chemical companies have had limited ways to produce propylene or butylenes from renewable feedstock. Technology already exists to dehydrate ethanol to produce ethylene. Companies could then convert the ethylene to propylene through a metathesis unit, but that would require an additional step and another plant, which would increase costs. Another route is to hydrotreat natural oils and used cooking grease to produce renewable naphtha. That naphtha could then be cracked in traditional ethylene plants to produce olefins and aromatics. This process faces possible feedstock constraints if companies wish to use nonfood feedstocks. Already, oleochemical producers that rely on tall oil have had to compete with renewable diesel producers for feedstock. Gevo did not compare the costs of its process to these existing ways to make propylene and butylenes from renewable sources.

16-Sep-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Here are some of the stories from ICIS Latin America for the week ended on 13 September. NEWS Argentina chemicals, industrial July output falls as industry bears brunt of recession Argentina’s chemicals and manufacturing outputs fell in July by 5.4% and 2.6% year on year, respectively, as the industrial sectors remain the most affected by consumers’ squeezed budgets. Argentina’s progress on fiscal consolidation still challenged by inflation – economist The Argentinian’s government attempt to turn the economy around has had certain successes in the fiscal front, but high inflation is still challenging the outlook as it continues to eat up on gains elsewhere, according to an economist at Buenos Aires-based Fundacion Capital. Brazil's Petrobras launches natural gas processing unit in Rio de Janeiro Petrobras has begun start-up procedures for Brazil's largest natural gas processing unit (UPGN) in Itaborai, near Rio de Janeiro, the state-owned energy major said on Wednesday. Brazil’s inflation breaks upward trend in August, but some subsectors keep rising Brazil’s annual rate of inflation fell to 4.24% in August, down from 4.50% in July, but analysts pointed to how some price rises in certain sectors continue unabated. Mexico inflation falls below 5% in August, paves way for more interest rate cuts Mexico's annual rate of inflation fell quite considerably in August to 4.99%, down from July’s 5.57%, a development which is to reinforce the next cut to interest rates later this month, according to analysts. Argentina’s August inflation falls below 240% but monthly price increases remain over 4% Argentina’s annual rate of inflation fell in August to 237%, down from July’s 263%, but monthly price rises stood over the 4% mark, the country’s statistical office Indec said this week. Dutch Nouryon expands sodium chlorate capacity in Brazil, starts up new site Nouryon has expanded its sodium chlorate capacity in Brazil by starting up a new manufacturing site in Ribas do Rio Pardo, state of Mato Grosso do Sul, the Dutch chemicals producer said on Tuesday. Petrobras, Gerdau sign MoU for decarbonization projects Brazil’s Petrobras and steelmaker Gerdau have signed a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to evaluate commercial opportunities in decarbonization initiatives, the Brazilian energy major said this week. PRICING LatAm PP international prices steady to lower on cheaper imports International polypropylene (PP) prices were assessed as steady to lower across Latin American countries due to competitive offers from abroad and lower US propylene spot prices. LatAm international PE prices steady to lower on cheaper offers from abroad International polyethylene (PE) prices were assessed as steady to lower across Latin American countries due to cheaper offers from abroad. Latin America PVC business monitors potential supply tightening due to maintenance in Q3 Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) prices in Latin America remained steady this week, with the market closely watching US Gulf prices for potential changes in pricing strategies.  

16-Sep-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Energy giant Saudi Aramco has signed new agreements to advance separate expansion plans with Chinese petrochemical producers Rongsheng and Hengli. Signing conducted during China Premier Li’s state visit to Saudi Arabia Deals with the Chinese firms part of Aramco's downstream expansion Aramco moves closer to acquire 10% of Hengli Petrochemical Chinese Premier Li Qiang and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman on 11 September discussed cooperation in energy, investment, and trade, according to state news agency Saudi Press Agency (SPA). In a separate meeting with GCC secretary general Jasem Mohamed Albudaiwi in Riyadh, Li called on China and Gulf Cooperation Countries (GCC) countries to align their development strategies and “speed up free trade agreement negotiations”, according to Chinese state media Xinhua. Li is in the Middle East on 10-13 September for state visits to Saudi Arabia and the UAE, both members of GCC. The four other members of GCC are Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman and Qatar. PLANS WITH RONGSHENG The new agreements follow a previously signed framework agreement with Rongsheng Petrochemical for a potential joint-venture expansion of Saudi Aramco Jubail Refinery Company (SASREF) facilities. SASREF operates a 305,000 barrel/day refinery complex in Al-Jubail, Saudi Arabia with downstream aromatics units that can produce 260,000 tonnes/year of toluene and 275,000 tonnes/year of benzene, according to the ICIS Supply and Demand Database. Aramco now owns 10% of Rongsheng Petrochemical, bought for $3.4 billion, with further plans between the two companies to take stakes in each other’s subsidiaries. Rongsheng Petrochemical manufactures and distributes a range of petrochemical and chemical fiber products, including purified terephthalic acid (PTA), polyester yarns, polyester filaments, and polyethylene terephthalate (PET). The Saudi oil giant intends to acquire 50% of Ningbo Zhongjin Petrochemical (ZJPC), which is fully owned by Rongsheng, with plans to upgrade existing assets and jointly develop a new materials project in Zhoushan. The proposed Chinese yuan (CNY) 67.5 billion Zhoushan new materials project would produce polyethylene (PE), propylene oxide (PO), styrene, ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA), polyolefin elastomer and bisphenol A (BPA). Rongsheng, in turn, would acquire a 50% stake in Aramco’s SASREF, which operates a refinery in Jubail. POTENTIAL DEALS WITH HENGLI With Hengli, talks have advanced relating to Aramco’s potential acquisition of a 10% stake in the Chinese group’s petrochemical arm, subject to due diligence and required regulatory clearances.’ The two companies had signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on the proposed transaction in in April 2024. Hengli Group operates across the entire production chain of oil refining, petrochemicals, polyester film, and textiles. It is one of the biggest PTA producers in China. "China is an important country in our global downstream growth strategy," Aramco downstream president Mohammed Al Qahtani said. "These agreements reflect our collective intention to elevate our relationships in vital sectors to advance our downstream objectives." Aramco is targeting a fourfold increase in its crude oil-to-chemicals conversion capacity to four million barrels/day by 2030. Focus article by Nurluqman Suratman Thumbnail image: Chinese Premier Li Qiang meets with Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud, and co-chairs the Fourth Meeting of the High-Level Chinese-Saudi Joint Committee with him at Riyadh's al-Yamamah Palace in Saudi Arabia on 11 September 2024.

12-Sep-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Storm Francine continues strengthening into a hurricane as it approaches the southern costs of the US, but its path could veer slightly west and potentially hit key petrochemicals sites in Louisiana which border with Texas. According to a Tuesday morning update from the US’ National Hurricane Center (NHC), the storm is to become a hurricane when it makes landfall later in the day, although it should weaken soon after that as it heads north. On Monday, the NHC already said the storm would develop into a hurricane, but its forecasted trajectory then was to hit central parts of Louisiana – including New Orleans – but not the industrious western part of the state. Louisiana has declared a state of emergency; the state has just commemorated the 19th anniversary of Hurricane Katrina, which brought havoc to New Orleans’ outer and poorer suburbs from which many are still recovering. If the current, Tuesday morning forecast holds, key petrochemicals-heavy municipalities in Louisiana such Plaquemine, Geismar, Baton Rouge, and Taft, among others, could be hit by Francine’s gusts. Companies such as Methanex or CF Industries, with production facilities in the areas, had not responded to a request for comment about their hurricane preparations at the time of writing. “Francine is moving toward the north-northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A turn to the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today or tonight.  On the forecast track, Francine is anticipated to be just offshore of the coasts of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas through this [Tuesday] afternoon, and then move across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, making landfall in Louisiana on Wednesday,” said the NHC. “After landfall, the center is expected to move into Mississippi on Wednesday night or Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected through Wednesday morning, and Francine will likely become a hurricane later today or tonight [Tuesday]. Francine is expected to weaken quickly after landfall.” CHEMICALS, OIL, GASLouisiana is home to many large petrochemical hubs that produce polyolefins, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), caustic soda, ethylene oxide (EO), ethylene glycol (EG), isocyanates, polyols, and ammonia among many others. The state has numerous refineries. Several offshore oil wells are off of the coast of Louisiana. Companies will often evacuate them and shut-in oil wells – majors such as Shell or ExxonMobil have announced so. The Gulf of Mexico accounts for about 14% of total US crude production and 5% of dry gas production, according to the country’s Energy Information Administration (EIA). The state is home to the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port (LOOP), the only deepwater oil port in the US. If the port shuts down, then the US would lose an important outlet for oil exports. That could offset some of the shut-in wells. Louisiana is also home to two large terminals that export liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the western part of the state. Sabine Pass LNG is in Sabine, Louisiana, and Cameron LNG is in Hackberry, Louisiana. Any shutdowns could affect domestic natural gas markets if the terminals spend too much time offline. Domestic gas supplies could build up, causing local prices to fall. Prices for ethane, the predominant feedstock for ethylene production, typically follow those for natural gas. Ethane prices could fall further if Francine disrupts operations at any of the crackers in Louisiana. LOUISIANA VS TEXAS IMPACTResidents of the Gulf Coast, from Mexico's Yucatan peninsula to the US' state of Alabama, are well accustomed to living with extreme weather events. In times of storms and hurricanes, many turn to specialized sites such as Space City Weather, which on Tuesday did not seem too worried for the fate of Texas – more so about Louisiana's. Space City Weather's main analyst, Houston-based Eric Berger, reiterated on Tuesday the hurricane will be "no joke" in Louisiana, even if for many Texans it will have looked like more like “a regular late" summer day. “The tropical system will remain well offshore from Texas, and effects for most of our area will be minimal. In fact, I would go so far as to say that by tomorrow [Wednesday] people in Houston will be going, ‘Hurricane? What hurricane. This was a joke.’ Well, people who didn’t know better will be thinking that at least — but not readers of this site,” said Berger. “Francine will not be a joke for southern Louisiana. The tropical storm has sustained winds of 65 mph and is likely to move inland Wednesday afternoon or evening as a Category 2 hurricane. The state’s most populated area, from Baton Rouge to New Orleans, will be directly impacted with winds, rains and storm surge.” The analyst concluded saying that for the most part Houstonians will not be able to tell a hurricane is passing offshore on Tuesday and Wednesday. “Skies will be mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid-80s [degrees Fahrenheit, around 29°C], which is cooler than normal for this time of year,” said Berger. “Perhaps that’s our greatest takeaway from this storm, some slightly cooler days. I’m not complaining.” Source: US National Hurricane Center

10-Sep-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–Here are some of the top stories from ICIS Europe for the week ended 30 August. Europe OX post-summer restocking intentions unclear as weak demand lingers Restocking operations after the summer were once common practice in the European orthoxylene (OX) market, but this year could be different. BASF to shut down adipic acid production at Ludwigshafen next year BASF is to end production of adipic acid and several downstream units at Ludwigshafen, Germany, as part of structural changes underway at the site, the company said on Thursday. Rising costs, outages fail to rattle sluggish propylene oxide market in Europe Outages at domestic suppliers, a local unit being flagged for a potential sale and rising production costs have failed to rattle a sluggish European propylene oxide (PO) market. Europe August nylon 6,6 contract prices soften in a slow market European nylon 6,6 contract prices for August softened from July levels, posting highly varied monthly deltas. Global spot index slips on lower prices in northeast Asia, US Gulf The global spot ICIS Petrochemical Index (IPEX) slipped by nearly one-percentage point in the week ending 23 August, on the back of price falls in northeast Asia and the US Gulf.

02-Sep-2024