Energy

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News from the week ended 26 April. LyondellBasell sees continued PE momentum in North America, Europe – CEO Polyethylene (PE) demand in North America and Europe should continue to improve in Q2 and through H2 with consistently healthy demand in packaging, the CEO of LyondellBasell said on Friday. Eastman eyes 2027 startup for second US methanolysis plant, French project timing uncertain Eastman expects to reach a final investment decision (FID) on its second US methanolysis (chemical recycling) plant in Q3, CEO Mark Costa and CFO Willie McLain told analysts during the company’s Q1 earnings call on Friday. Dow sees ‘meaningful’ H2 recovery on PE margins, steady demand improvement – CFO Dow continues to expect a strong second half, mainly driven by higher integrated polyethylene (PE) margins, with Q2 sales also expected to trend higher versus the first half in all three of its segments, its chief financial officer said on Thursday. INSIGHT: Latin America’s nascent EV market increasingly a Chinese affair Latin America’s take-up of electric vehicles (EVs) has started to gain momentum, said the International Energy Agency (IEA) this week, with Chinese producers drawing customers with sharply lower prices than western, established brands. Canada moves ahead with plastics registry as UN plastics pollution session starts in Ottawa Following the conclusion of a consultation period, Canada’s federal government has published a formal notice in the Canada Gazette for its planned Federal Plastics Registry. Styrolution Sarnia closure further tightens North America styrene market INEOS Styrolution’s decision this past weekend to temporarily close its Sarnia, Ontario, styrene unit will further tighten a market already dealing with several outages. Prices are under upward pressure with contract prices the highest since Q3 2023.

29-Apr-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–The founder of Unigel, aged 87, is actively fighting the Brazilian chemicals and fertilizers producer’s most decisive battle, one for its survival, as it tries to restructure its debts, one step away from bankruptcy. Henri Armand Szlezynger, who founded Unigel in 1966, has fought several financial battles before, and overcame them. But the current struggle is the most decisive yet because it could see him and his family losing their controlling stake at the producer if investment funds were to take over. Last week, Brazilian financial daily Valor reported the country’s fund IG4 was seeking to acquire a controlling stake in Unigel, citing several unnamed sources. IG4 and Unigel had not responded to a request for comment at the time of writing. Unigel producers styrenics and is one of Brazil’s few fertilizers producers, a sector it entered just a few years ago and which could prove to have been the reason for the company’s threatened demise. BELGIUM-BORN, BRAZIL-MADEIf ICIS had a profile section portraying chemicals industry people, Szlezynger would have featured in it several times. Szlezynger was born to a Belgian Jewish family in 1936 which moved to Brazil when he was just three years old as Europe was entering the abyss of war. The family had a good position and sent Szlezynger to the best schools in Brazil. After that, he went to the US to study chemical engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). Aged only 30, he founded Unigel. From there, on he went to become one of Brazil’s richest citizens, with Forbes estimating his net worth at Brazilian reais (R) 17.2 billion ($3.3 billion) in 2022. From its foundation 58 years, Szlezynger still controls the company, and his presence cannot go unnoticed: he still goes to Unigel’s headquarters in Sao Paulo every weekday, according to previous profiles of him published in the press. A remarkable fate for an 87-year-old. Unigel’s frantic 2023 was marked by high natural gas costs which made its fertilizer plants – and the company as a whole – a loss-making enterprise, a situation it tried to fix by knocking on the door of Brazil’s state-owned energy major Petrobras. With a government-appointee CEO, to say Petrobras is to say Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, a President who has repeatedly said that Brazil must reduce its dependence on fertilizer imports. In Brazil’s economy, entrepreneurs and politicians tend to have close relationships, and Szlezynger has recurrently ticked the right boxes to get the support his company may have needed as the years and crises went by. In the north, stronghold of Lula’s Workers’ Party (PT), he has not shied away from showing sympathy with PT politicians. In southern and generally conservative-governed states, Szlezynger has had good relationships with politicians from the right. However, the business-politics link did not work for Unigel’s current downturn. Conversations with Petrobras were going nowhere while the company continued to lose millions every month. In a way, Unigel’s annus horribilis of 2023 ended slightly earlier, in October, when everything changed: the company failed to pay a coupon on one of its bonds, effectively defaulting on its debt obligations. Brazilian financial regulations give breathing space for companies in debt stress to negotiate their obligations with creditors, and Unigel is currently undergoing that process. Earlier in April, it said negotiations were progressing, without disclosing more detail. Jonathan Szwarc, head of Latin America credit research at Debtwire, a data firm specialized on leveraged capital markets, told ICIS that Szlezynger would not easily give up his controlling interest, but added the current crisis would be difficult to circumvent. “Unigel has had financial woes before and overcame them, but this time is quite different: once you fail to pay a coupon, things can go down very quickly. You are not meeting your debt obligations: a default,” said Scwarz. “The company has now an initial agreement with some of its creditors, but it would need to convince 50% plus one of them for it to be effective: we don’t know if that is the case. That’s where they are: seeking adherents to that initial agreement to bring it before a judge, who must approve the Extrajudicial Reorganization Process.” Will Szlezynger, after 58 successful years, be forced by circumstances to call it a day? Not that fast. Szwarc said that, in Unigel’s case, sentimental issues could be as strong as economic issues. “If they are up against it, Szlezynger may decide to reluctantly sell the company, but I really think that is the last option he contemplates," he said. "If Unigel was to be sold to a fund, I imagine he would prefer a Brazilian fund, with whom he would speak the same language business-wise, than a foreign fund." As an example, the analyst mentioned negotiations to raise $150m just in January, in the midst of the debt restructuring negotiations, through a group led by US investment fund Pimco, which is also the largest bondholder, according to reports at Brazilian financially daily Valor at the time. That deal, which could have given Unigel breathing space amid its restructuring, fell through because it would have brought closer what Szlezynger has fiercely opposed: the funds taking away from the founding family a controlling interest. “The company’s assets are good. But Unigel was very unlucky in terms of the petrochemicals and fertilizers downcycles combined. You must keep in mind that just in 2022 Unigel’s bonds were trading well over 100% [generating returns],” said Szwarc. “The assets will continue operating in any case: either under a new ownership structure, in which the Szlezynger may still have a stake even if it’s not the controlling stake, or under a potential bankruptcy, when the assets could be sold separately.” The analyst concluded saying he did fail to understand how Petrobras – the Lula-led government, effectively – had not paid more attention to Unigel, whose production of styrenics as well as fertilizers Brazil badly needs if the country is to reduce its dependence on imports. BRAZILIAN SAGAAmid all Unigel things that occurred in 2023, one of the most fascinating was its very public charge against Petrobras in November, when the company announced it would be shutting down one fertilizer plant in Camacari, state of Bahia, due to Petrobras’ “unbearable” pricing policy for natural gas. It was part of Unigel’s strategy, however, as it became clear later in December when the two firms signed a tolling agreement for the fertilizers assets, in what seemed to be Petrobras finally giving in on natural gas pricing. A Brazilian economic-political saga could not just end there. In March, Unigel announced it was halting its fertilizers production, still mentioning high natural gas prices, while Brazil’s Federal Audit (TCU in its Portuguese acronym) raised concerns about the tolling deal, which would have meant losses for Petrobras. As a state-owned company, Petrobras is audited by TCU civil servants. And as a company, the purpose of it is to make a profit: a sweet deal for Unigel on gas would not be following that logic, the auditors said. Adding to it all, Petrobras said earlier in April it was re-entering the fertilizers sector by re-starting a large fertilizer plant in Araucaria, state of Parana, idled since 2020. The energy major said fertilizers were now part of its strategic plan to 2028, adding it would therefore focus on “assets that already belong” to it. Unigel’s fertilizers plants at the centre of the story, Camacari and Laranjeiras, state of Sergipe, were a lease from Petrobras signed in 2019, when the prior Brazilian Administration wanted Petrobras’ to focus on crude oil. It was then when Unigel decided to go big on fertilizers. What does seasoned Szlezynger think about that move now? He would not be too hard on himself if he thinks it was a bad move indeed, which is putting at risk his nearly six decades business legacy. Petrobras returning to the fertilizers sector is, on the other hand, an expected move by Lula’s cabinet, who in general wants to expand the role of the state in the economy, or at least in those sectors where the country's trade deficit is large, such as fertilizers. The two plants leased to Unigel may end up, therefore, being run by Petrobras again at some point. Unigel and its relentless founder will need to fend for themselves amid the largest financial crisis ever hitting the company. At the end of the day, Lula's key constituency and the PT party's cadres would have had a hard time to digest the state was going to give strong and direct support to a private company owned by one of the richest citizens in the land. The Unigel saga continues and, whatever the next act is, Szlezynger is still likely to have a role in it. Insight by Jonathan Lopez

29-Apr-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Here are some of the stories from ICIS Latin America for the week ended on 26 April. NEWS Mexico's potential ADDs on China plastics no panacea amid wider stiff competition – Alpek CEO Mexico’s potential antidumping duties (ADDs) on several China-produced plastics will not by itself bring the Mexican market back to balance as “stiff competition” is coming from many other fronts as well, the CEO at chemicals producer Alpek said on Wednesday. INSIGHT: Latin America’s nascent EV market increasingly a Chinese affair Latin America’s take-up of electric vehicles (EVs) has started to gain momentum, said the International Energy Agency (IEA) this week, with Chinese producers drawing customers with sharply lower prices than western, established brands. Mexico’s Alpek Q1 earnings fall but volumes up on shy demand recovery Alpek’s first-quarter earnings and sales fell year on year but improved quarterly on a slight demand recovery, particularly for polyesters, the Mexican chemicals producer said on Tuesday. PRICING LatAm PP domestic prices drop in Argentina on poor demand Domestic polypropylene (PP) prices dropped in Argentina this week. Despite producer prices being unchanged, local distributors have lowered prices due to poor demand. Market participants have reported a 40-60% drop in sales in the past few weeks. LatAm PE domestic prices down in Argentina on sluggish demand After more than a year, domestic polyethylene (PE) prices in Argentina were assessed lower due to sluggish demand. Argentina January PE imports down 32% month on month Argentina polyethylene (PE) imports decreased by 32% month on month in January, totaling 19,106 tonnes, according to the latest figures from the ICIS Supply & Demand database.

29-Apr-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for the week ended 26 April 2024. Thailand's SCG Q1 net profit slumps 85%; eyes better H2 conditions By Nurluqman Suratman 26-Apr-24 12:45 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Siam Cement Group (SCG) posted an 85% year-on-year decline in Q1 net profit on losses from chemicals operations, but the Thai conglomerate expects the segment’s earnings to recover in H2 on improved olefins demand and expected restart of its Vietnam petrochemical complex. China VAM exports jump; shipments to India surge in Q2 By Hwee Hwee Tan 25-Apr-24 13:42 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China's vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) spot offers have tumbled, boosting buying interest in its outbound cargoes, and lifting its exports to India to a multi-month high into the second quarter. SE Asia PE May offers mostly rangebound; demand still weak By Izham Ahmad 24-Apr-24 14:09 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Initial spot import offers for May shipments of polyethylene (PE) in southeast Asia were announced mostly rangebound so far in the week, while buying interest remained under pressure near recent lows. Saudi Aramco eyes stake in Hengli Petrochemical; prowls for more China investments By Fanny Zhang 23-Apr-24 14:13 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Saudi Aramco continues its quest for downstream petrochemical investments in the world’s second-biggest economy, adding Hengli Petrochemical in a list of target companies in which the global energy giant intends to acquire a strategic stake. PODCAST: Production constraints keep Asian BD spot trades buoyant in Q1, demand outlook mixed By Damini Dabholkar 22-Apr-24 17:35 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Persistent production constraints have driven Asia’s spot prices for butadiene (BD) to near two-year-high levels, but how the rally goes from here may hinge on downstream demand conditions. CHINAPLAS ’24: PODCAST: China PP exports strong, imports weak in Q1 By Sijia Li 22-Apr-24 16:23 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–ICIS analyst Sijia Li and senior industry analyst Joanne Wang discuss developments in China's polyolefins market.

29-Apr-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Global shipping container rates are starting to moderate, the Panama Canal expects to increase transits in May, and liquid chemical tanker spot rates are mixed, highlighting this week’s logistics roundup. CONTAINER RATES Global shipping container rates are plateauing as shipowners have implemented blank sailings to control capacity and as some carriers have announced general rate increases (GRIs). Freight forwarder Flexport said in an update on 25 April that GRIs announced for ex-Asia westbound routes are expected to stick amid high utilization from carriers. Flexport noted three factors that supported the increases – a slight increase in demand because of the May labor holiday in China; reduced capacity from the increase in blank sailings; and increased congestion at ports and equipment challenges from certain carriers. Participants in the US polyethylene terephthalate (PET) told ICIS they are seeing higher freight costs as shipping in the Red Sea and now the Strait of Hormuz continues to be disrupted. Rate increases have also been announced for cargo heading to the Middle East region. Global container shipping major Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) announced $200/TEU (20-foot equivalent unit) effective 17 May for all cargo leaving the US and Puerto Rico going to the Middle East. Global container rates from supply chain advisors Drewry were flat this week, as shown in the following chart. Rates from North China to the US Gulf also held steady, although at levels higher than were seen in December before the attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea, as shown in this chart from ocean and freight rate analytics firm Xeneta. Container ships and costs for shipping containers are relevant to the chemical industry because while most chemicals are liquids and are shipped in tankers, container ships transport polymers, such as polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), which are shipped in pellets. They also transport liquid chemicals in isotanks. LIQUID CHEM TANKERS US chemical tanker freight rates assessed by ICIS were mixed this week with rates rising for parcels from the US Gulf (USG) to Brazil and India. However, rates from the USG to ARA decreased and all other trade lanes held steady. From the USG to Brazil, this trade lane has had limited availability for H1 May loading. However, mid and H2 May have showed a few more options with an outsider on berth currently to South America. This could place downward pressure on this route. Although COA nominations are still up in the air, a few regular owners hope to have more space and a broker says that time will tell when this space fills up. From the USG to Asia, regular players have said they are full on most of their positions through this time, which has placed some upward pressure on smaller parcels as it has become harder to find space for them. Currently, the USG to Asia market appears to be in a fragile balance between the interest in larger slugs, and the growing number of players looking for stainless steel vessels in the USG for May, according to a broker. BALTIMORE BRIDGE The Unified Command (UC) announced the opening of a new channel at the Port of Baltimore that has allowed ships trapped inside the port to leave. The Fort McHenry Limited Access Channel, which runs the length of the northeast side of the federal channel, provides additional access to commercially essential traffic. The limited access deep draft channel has a controlling depth of a minimum of 35 feet, a 300-foot horizontal clearance, and a vertical clearance of 214 feet. Starting Monday, April 29, operations to remove the Dali will require suspension of transits through the Fort McHenry Limited Access Channel. Once deemed safe, the channel will reopen for commercial traffic. PANAMA CANAL The Panama Canal Authority (PCA) will increase the number of slots available for Panamax vessels to transit the waterway beginning 16 May and will add another slot for Neopanamax vessels on 1 June based on the present and projected water levels in Gatun Lake. The PCA began limiting the number of transits in August 2023 because of low water levels in Gatun Lake brought on by a severe drought that made 2023 the second driest year on record for the Panama Canal watershed catchment area. Wait times for non-booked vessels ready for transit edged lower for northbound vessels and rose for southbound vessels this week, according to the Panama Canal Authority (PCA) vessel tracker and as shown in the following image. Wait times a week ago were 3.0 days for northbound traffic and 2.9 for southbound traffic. The Panama Canal Authority (PCA) said current forecasts indicate that steady rainfall will arrive later this month and continue during the rainy season, which would allow the PCA to gradually ease transit restrictions and traffic could return to normal by 2025. Please see the Logistics: Impact on chemicals and energy topic page With additional reporting by Melissa Wheeler and Kevin Callahan

26-Apr-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–Lower pricing across most business divisions drove a 12.4% drop in BASF’s first-quarter net income year on year, with the chemicals major maintaining full-year guidance as sector demand shows early signs of recovery. in € million Q1 2024 Q1 2023 % Change Sales 17,553 19,991 -12.2 Income from operations before depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) 2,655 2,811 -5.6 Income from operations (EBIT) 1,689 1,867 -9.5 Net income 1,368 1,562 -12.4 The decline in sales was mainly driven by "considerably reduced prices" as a result of lower raw materials and energy prices in almost all segments as well as lower precious metal prices in the Surface Technologies segment, the company said in a statement. Despite across the board sales drops, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) firmed for most units other than surface technologies, which posted an 11.5% decline year on year to €327 million. The company saw strongest profitability increases for the materials and nutrition and care divisions, which saw EBITDA increase 21.8% and 37% respectively during the quarter, to €549 million and €261 million. Negative currency effects contributed to the sales decrease in all segments. Q1 EBITDA, adjusted for one-off items, fell by 5.3% year on year to €2.7 billion. Despite the decline in sales, the Germany-based producer projects that EBITDA before special items for 2024 will be between €8.0 billion and €8.6 billion this year, up from €7.67 billion in 2023 and in line with earlier forecasts. Chemicals demand growth in the first three months of 2024 was stronger than levels for the wider industrial sector due to customer restocking, after an extended period of low reserves. “The global chemical industry recovered slightly in the first quarter of 2024. It grew considerably faster than overall industrial production because the customer industries somewhat restocked their very low inventories,” BASF said. The announcement comes as Martin Kamieth steps into the role of BASF CEO, succeeding Martin Brudermuller. A 36-year veteran of the company, Kamieth steps into the CEO role at a point where the company is preparing to cut costs by €1 billion at its Ludwigshafen headquarters, with the form of those cuts and any closures to ensue yet to be announced. Speaking at today’s shareholders’ meeting outgoing CEO Brudemuller acknowledged the challenges facing BASF and Europe’s chemical sector. He spoke about the difficult choices which will have to be taken at the company’s flagship Ludwigshafen Verbund site, adding: “Ludwigshafen will remain BASF’s largest site and should be the leading chemical site in Europe.” The company expects global GDP growth of 2.3%, substantially below IMF forecasts this month of 3.2%. The trend of chemicals demand slightly outpacing general industrial output growth is also expected to continue, according to the company, which forecasts industrial production increases of 2.2% compared to 2.7% for the sector. Despite recent volatility in crude oil pricing on the back of escalated tensions between Israel and Iran, which pushed Brent costs above $90/barrel, the company continues to project average values of $80/barrel for the year. Additional reporting by Nurluqman Suratman and Will BeachamThumbnail photo: BASF's Ludwigshafen, Germany headquarters (Source: BASF) (Update releads, adds detail throughout)

25-Apr-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Latin America’s take-up of electric vehicles (EVs) has started to gain momentum, said the International Energy Agency (IEA) this week, with Chinese producers drawing customers with sharply lower prices than western, established brands. Globally, electric car sales stood at 14 million in 2023. The IEA predicts this could reach around 17 million in 2024, more than one in five cars sold worldwide. In the IEA words, these figures are already showing the update in EVs is “shifting from early adopters to the mass market.” Comparatively, Latin America’s numbers are still very low, however, with EV sales in 2023 at 90,000 units, according to the IEA’s Global EV Outlook 2024, its annual report on the industry. In Brazil, Latin America’s largest economy with 215 million people, sales stood at 50,000 units in 2023, which tripled 2022 sales but still represented just 3% of the market. In Mexico, a 130-million-strong country, EV sales in 2023 stood at 15,000, up 80% year on year but still only a market share of just over 1%. Elon Musk’s Tesla reported on Wednesday that Q1 sales and earnings had fallen fell due to increased competition from hybrid models. Meanwhile, China’s EV market has grown exponentially in just a decade as the state helped to ensure firms could compete in favourable conditions. The government took the decision to strongly develop its EV sector, with billions of dollars spent in subsidies over the last decade and a half, and now western players are playing catch up. BRAZIL ETHANOL EXCEPTIONAs well as Europe and the US, another key automotive market for EVs was Brazil. There, however, producers at least had a green fuel to justify their inaction: ethanol, which since the 1970s started to transform Brazil’s transport emissions landscape, although at the time the decision was mostly taken to avoid oil shocks the world had just witnessed. By the 2010s, when the key Paris Accord and successive upgrades to it were agreed, Brazil had already achieved some of the targets for transport emissions reductions. The country’s growing role as one of the world’s breadbaskets and ethanol-powered cars are, of course, related. Transport is going electric, however, and there are some attempts from western established players to start closing Brazil's gap with the rest of the world – as well as the Chinese producers’ presence. “Growth in Brazil was underpinned by the entry of Chinese carmakers, such as BYD, Great Wall, and Chery, [whose models] immediately ranked among the best-selling models in 2023. Road transport electrification in Brazil could bring significant climate benefits given the largely low-emissions power mix, as well as reducing local air pollution,” said the IEA. “Today, biofuels are important alternative fuels available at competitive cost and aligned with the existing refuelling infrastructure. Brazil remains the world’s largest producer of sugar cane, and its agribusiness represents about one-fourth of GDP.” The Brazilian government approved at the end of 2023 the so-called Green Mobility and Innovation Programme, which provides tax incentives for companies to develop and manufacture low-emissions road transport technology, with nearly Brazilian reais (R) 19.0 billion ($4.0 billion) to be deployed up to 2028. Several major automotive producers do commercialise hybrid ethanol-electric models, but all-electric models have been more elusive. In comes China, again. BYD said earlier this year it plans to invest $600 million in a new plant in Brazil, its first outside Asia, aiming to produce 150,000 units per year. General Motors, long established in Brazil, also said around the same time it was to invest $1.4 billion up to 2028 at its Brazil facilities to implement a “complete renewal” of its vehicle portfolio, focusing on EVs. Stellantis – the company resulting from the merger of Italian-American conglomerate Fiat Chrysler Automobiles and France’s PSA Group – said recently it would invest €5.6 billion up to 2030 in South America, with most of the funds channelled to its Brazilian operations. These investments, overall, have given the beleaguered Brazilian automotive sector the impetus to potentially recover part of its old glory. Just a decade ago, Brazil produced well over 3 million cars per year. In 2023, it produced 2.3 million. But Chinese producers’ strong entry into Brazil’s market – as well as Mexico’s – could have lasting consequences for consumption patterns. Earlier in April, a source at a chemicals producer in Brazil, for whom the established producers are a key customer, conceded with some apprehension it had just purchased a China-made car. “Chinese brands are newcomers and as such they are disrupting the market with lower prices. I paid for my electric car around R150,000 [$29,200], but some of the established brands are selling their EV models for well over R200,000,” the source said. While inaccessible for most Brazilians, where the minimum monthly wage stands at R1412 ($275), those who can afford SUVs are increasingly turning their eyes to Chinese brands. “They are good cars, and the prices are just so competitive – the choice for me was clear,” the source concluded. According to automotive publications, the cheapest EV car sold in Brazil, at R120,000, is manufactured by Chery Automobile, a state-owned Chinese manufacturer which is the third largest in its home market. CHINA MOVES INTO MEXICOChina’s approach to subsidising its EV industry is causing concern, especially in the US, now also in a race to prop up its own EV sector. Twenty Chinese EV companies have set up operations in Mexico, which is part of the tariff-free North American trade deal USCMA between Mexico, the US, and Canada. Washington fears Mexico could act as the gate of entry into the USMCA free trade zone after the US imposed hefty tariffs in most EV-related Chinese goods, precisely because of the generous state support they enjoy at home. Last week, Mexican media reported how the US had put pressure on Mexico to withdraw subsidies or any other Federal or state support for Chinese EV manufacturers; Mexican states are in a race to attract foreign direct investment (FID) in manufacturing, tapping into the nearshoring trend. Also last week, the Mexican Association of Automotive Distributors (AMDA) showed its concerns about Chinese firms “invading” the country’s automotive sector, according to a report in ABC Noticias. Since 2020, Chinese-manufactured products and brands have gained traction among Mexican consumers, capturing 8.2% of sales during the first quarter of 2024. Guillermo Rosales Zarate, AMDA’s president, said this influx had played a pivotal role in the industry's recovery following the challenges posed by the Covid-19 pandemic, but the polite words stopped there. AMDA published a report, compiled with official data from Mexico’s statistical office Inegi, which showed the sharp increase in China-made automotive parts and vehicles now present in the market. "In this first quarter, the sale of products imported from China, manufactured in China and imported into the Mexican market, and sold through the various participating brands, already represents 19.2%,” said Cristina Vázquez Ruiz, coordinator of economic studies at AMDA. “If we extract Chinese brands from this percentage, this would represent 8.2% [of car sales in Mexico]." The IEA in its annual report stayed away from this controversy. The IEA is a lobby group which advocates for greener technologies and decarbonisation, as most of its key member countries – and financiers – lack the traditional energy sources of their own: the green transition for most of them is a simply a strategic must do. “Given its proximity to the US, Mexico’s automotive market is already well integrated with North American partners, and benefits from advantageous trade agreements, large existing manufacturing capacity, and eligibility for subsidies under the IRA [US regulation propping up green investments],” said the IEA. “As a result, local EV supply chains are developing quickly, with expectations that this will spill over into domestic markets. Tesla, Ford, Stellantis, BMW, GM, Volkswagen (VW), and Audi have all either started manufacturing or announced plans to manufacture EVs in Mexico.” Elsewhere in Latin America, EVs update has been rather poor. In Colombia, a country of 50 million, sales in 2023 stood at 6,000 units. In Costa Rica, with a population of five million, sales stood at 5,000 units. The IEA did not have date for other countries in the region. ELECTRIC BUSES STRONGERUptake of electric buses in Latin America, especially in urban areas where much of the investments required come from public or semi-public entities, has been stronger. City buses are easier to electrify than long-distance coaches thanks to their relatively fixed driving patterns and lower daily travel distances. Once again, Chinese manufacturers are exporting “large volumes” of electric buses, accounting for over 85% of electric city bus deployments in Latin America, said the IEA. “Cities across Latin America, such as Bogota and Santiago, have deployed nearly 6,500 electric buses to date. There are also longer-standing programmes, such as the Zero Emission Bus Rapid-deployment Accelerator partnership that was launched in 2019 to accelerate the deployment of zero-emission buses in major Latin American cities,” it added. “Buenos Aires is targeting a 50% zero emission bus fleet by 2030, and a wider study of 32 Latin American cities expects that 25,000 electric buses will be deployed by 2030, and 55,000 by 2050.” Globally, almost 50,000 electric buses were sold in 2023, equating to 3% of total bus sales and bringing the global stock to approximately 635,000, concluded the IEA. Front page picture: EV charging points. Source: Shutterstock Insight by Jonathan Lopez

24-Apr-2024

MUMBAI (ICIS)–India’s Bhansali Engineering Polymers Ltd (BEPL) plans to nearly triple its acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) capacity at Abu Road in the northwestern Rajasthan state to 200,000 tonnes/year by March 2026. The plant’s current capacity is 70,000 tonnes/year. The company has determined that a bigger expansion than initially planned is possible after awarding work on the expansion to Japan’s Toyo Engineering, it said in a filing to the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) on 20 April. In January 2024, BSEL had proposed a capacity expansion to 145,000 tonnes/year. “After [a] detailed analysis [by Toyo Engineering] it was concluded that overall ABS capacity of 200,000 tonnes/year can be achieved and will be a better option compared to the earlier proposal,” BEPL said. The expansion project will be funded through internal accruals, it said, adding that cost of the expansion project will be finalised by June.

24-Apr-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Saudi Aramco continues its quest for downstream petrochemical investments in the world’s second-biggest economy, adding Hengli Petrochemical in a list of target companies in which the global energy giant intends to acquire a strategic stake. The acquisitions in China are in line with Aramco’s Vision 2030 of expanding its downstream business. Aramco is currently in discussion to acquire a 10% stake in Hengli Petrochemical as the companies signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) on 22 April covering supply of crude and raw material, product sales and technology licensing. Hengli Petrochemical owns and operates a refinery and petrochemical complex at Liaoning province with 400,000 bbl/day of refining and 1.5 million tonnes/year ethylene capacities. The Chinese producer also operates several chemical plants in Jiangsu and Guangdong provinces. The deal "aligns with Aramco’s strategy to expand its downstream presence in key high-value markets, advance its liquids-to-chemicals program, and secure long-term crude oil supply agreements", Aramco said in a statement on 22 April. Since 2022, Aramco has embarked on major investments in China, which involved taking strategic stakes in companies with major petrochemical projects under way. Chinese companies Planned investments Date of announcement Remarks Hengli Petrochemical 10% stake 22 Apr 2024 Rongsheng Petrochemical Cross acquisition talks – Rongsheng to acquire 50% stake in Saudi Aramco Jubail Refinery Co (SASREF); Aramco to take a maximum 50% stake in Rongsheng’s Ningbo Zhongjin Petrochemical 2 Jan 2024 To jointly develop Zhongjin’s upgrading/expansion and a new advanced materials project in Zhoushan Shandong Yulong Petrochemical 10% stake 11 Oct 2023 Shandong Energy is currently building a refining and petrochemical complex in Yantai called Shandong Yulong Petrochemical – a joint venture project with Chinese conglomerate Nanshan Group Shenghong Petrochemical 10% stake 27 Sept 2023 Rongsheng Petrochemical 10% stake 27 Mar 2023 Deal completed in Jul ’23 Huajin Aramco Petrochemical Co (HAPCO) a $12 billion joint venture, Aramco holds 30% 11 Mar 2022, final investment decision made Project broke ground in Mar ’23; to come on stream in 2026 Aramco CEO Amin Nasser in late March indicated that the company intends to continue making further investments in China’s chemicals sector with local partners, noting that the country has a "vitally important" place in the company’s global investment strategy. The energy giant aims to increase its liquids-to-chemicals throughput to 4 million barrels per day by 2030, which will require a wider footprint in China, the world’s biggest chemical market, analysts said. The investments will fuel further growth in the Chinese economy, they added. Focus article by Fanny Zhang Thumbnail image: The Guoyuan Port Container Terminal in Chongqing, China, on 29 February 2024. (Costfoto/NurPhoto/Shutterstock)

23-Apr-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Here are some of the stories from ICIS Latin America for the week ended on 19 April. NEWS Brazil’s Petrobras, China’s CNCEC mull petchems, fertilizers joint projects Petrobras and China’s chemicals major CNCEC have signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to explore petrochemicals and fertilizers joint projects, the Brazilian state-owned energy major said on Thursday. INSIGHT: Argentina’s petchems hit hardest by recession as country holds breath under Milei Argentina’s petrochemicals are taking a severe hit amid the recession, with falls in demand for some materials of up to 50%, but companies and the country are holding firm under the new President’s economic shock therapy. Brazil's Petrobras re-enters fertilizers sector with restart at ANSA plant Petrobras is to restart its large-scale ANSA fertilizers plant in Araucaria, state of Parana, which has been idle since 2020, the Brazilian state-owned energy major said late on Wednesday. Pemex to remain ‘fiscal challenge’ for Mexico's new administration – S&P Beleaguered finances at Pemex, the Mexican state-owned energy major, will require support from the federal budget for years to come, the analysts at S&P said this week. Argentina’s lower rates helping central bank shore up balance sheet at savers’ expense – economist Argentina’s latest cut to interest rates had more to do with shoring up the central bank’s balance sheet, possible thanks to currency controls implemented by the prior Administration, than the actual control of price rises, according to the director at Buenos Aires-based Fundacion Capital. Latin America's fiscal consolidation at risk of slippages as plans postponed – IMF Latin America’s countries high debt levels require fiscal consolidation plans which in some cases are being postponed, increasing risks for the long-term financial stability of the region, the Director of the Western Hemisphere Department at the IMF said on Friday. Chile inflation falls to 3.7% in March Chile’s annual inflation rate fell in March to 3.7%, down from 4.5% in February, according to the country’s statistics office INE. Brazil’s automotive output barely up in Q1, sales rise 9% Brazil’s petrochemicals-intensive automotive output rose by 0.4% in the first quarter, year on year, to just below 550,000 units, the country’s trade group Anfavea said on Monday. LatAm PE domestic price lower in Chile on cheaper US export offers Domestic polyethylene (PE) prices were assessed lower in Chile because of cheaper US export offers. In other Latin American (LatAm) countries, prices remained steady. Latin America’s February lube demand holds steady Lube demand in Latin America was relatively steady in February at a time of year when consumption typically falls in other markets like the US and Europe. The steady consumption coincided with lower base oils output in the region in February. LatAm PP international prices stable to up on higher freights from Asia International polypropylene (PP) prices were assessed as stable to higher because of increased freight rates from Asia to the region. However, Asian offers remain competitive compared to other origins like the Middle East and the US. Plant status: Dow Argentina shuts HDPE and LDPE plants on technical issues – sources US chemicals major Dow’s subsidiary in Argentina shut on 16 April a high density polyethylene (HDPE) plant due to a mechanical pump failure and a low density polyethylene (LDPE) plant due to technical failure, several sources said. Weather conditions starts to slightly shift PET demand in Latin America Polyethylene terephthalate (PET) prices remained stable in Brazil, with a slight softening in consumption coinciding with stabilized temperatures. However, demand continues to exceed expectations when compared with the corresponding period last year. Weather conditions starts to slightly shift PET demand in Latin America Polyethylene terephthalate (PET) prices remained stable in Brazil, with a slight softening in consumption coinciding with stabilized temperatures. However, demand continues to exceed expectations when compared with the corresponding period last year.

22-Apr-2024