Tag Archives | global economy

Asian Petchems Profits Could Test Historic Lows In 2018

By John Richardson

THE ASIAN steam cracker business has struggled to pass on higher oil prices as the above chart further underlines. As you can see, high-density polyethylene (LLDPE) injection grade spreads including selected co-products have slipped over the last …

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Petrochemicals Destocking Phase Likely As Crude Volatility Increases

By John Richardson

WE COULD now be in a destocking phase in petrochemicals markets as oil prices are falling on a surge in US production.

This would obviously mean lower petrochemicals pricing, leaving companies that have overbuilt raw material inventories …

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Petchems Face Major Inventory Risk As Economic Confidence Builds

By John Richardson

NOBODY knows how many tonnes of un-cracked naphtha are sitting in steam cracker storage tanks around the world compared with H1 of last year.

Or how much plastic resin and rolls of plastic film are being held …

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In One Simple Chart: The Risk For Petchems From Crude

By John Richardson

Sometimes a simple chart is worth hundreds of words. A lot less than hundreds of words today, therefore, as you consider the above chart and these two key questions:

If the global economy was that strong, and/or…

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China Environment Campaign Creates Global Inflation Threat

By John Richardson

THE ABOVE chart shows the major role that China has played in driving global inflation, deflation – and now inflation again – since 2008. There is a close link between the movements in China’s Producer Price Index …

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Crude Drives Asian Polyethylene Spreads To Three-Year Low As 2018 Risks Build

By John Richardson

IN MARCH 2016 we gave three scenarios for crude-oil prices:

Collapsing Demand where we saw crude falling to $25/bbl on weak global demand that would make it impossible to repay much of the huge debts that had…

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Next Polyethylene Downcycle: Risk That History Will Repeat Itself

By John Richardson

WE can break the history of the global polyethylene (PE) business so far this century into four major phases, thanks to the above chart, which was compiled with the help of our excellent Supply & Demand Database:…

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China Continues Deleveraging With Reforms Set To Accelerate….

...global risks remain elevated and so beware of complacency

By John Richardson

THE conventional view is that China has stimulated its economy to perfection ahead of the important 19th National Party Congress which begins in Beijing on 18 October.

The …

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China Lending Bubble Adds 4.7m Tonnes To Polyethylene Consumption

By John Richardson

THE IMF produced a very interesting study earlier this month, in which it estimated that if it had not been for China’s giant economic stimulus programme the country’s real GDP growth would have averaged only 5.3% per …

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