Tag Archives | global economy

Next Polyethylene Downcycle: Risk That History Will Repeat Itself

By John Richardson

WE can break the history of the global polyethylene (PE) business so far this century into four major phases, thanks to the above chart, which was compiled with the help of our excellent Supply & Demand Database:…

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China Continues Deleveraging With Reforms Set To Accelerate….

...global risks remain elevated and so beware of complacency

By John Richardson

THE conventional view is that China has stimulated its economy to perfection ahead of the important 19th National Party Congress which begins in Beijing on 18 October.

The …

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China Lending Bubble Adds 4.7m Tonnes To Polyethylene Consumption

By John Richardson

THE IMF produced a very interesting study earlier this month, in which it estimated that if it had not been for China’s giant economic stimulus programme the country’s real GDP growth would have averaged only 5.3% per …

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China PP Market Outlook for H2 And 2018

By John Richardson

AS IS the case with polyethylene (PE), China’s polypropylene (PP) market continues to catch up with the underlying realities of demand growth.

If you recall, in Q1 of this year PP net imports (imports minus exports) grew …

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Oil Prices: Did You Heed All The Warnings?

By John Richardson

THE $30 a barrel price of crude at or below which some Asian naphtha cracker operators could be forced to exit the business is an increasing possibility.

Here is why:

This January’s stockpile of crude in the…

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September 2008: How History Is Repeating Itself

By John Richardson

WE know that weak growth in China, Europe and the US will have a major negative impact on the global economy in 2015.

But does this really mean a new global financial crisis? Won’t the world’s economy …

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China’s About Turn: The Seven Global Implications

By John Richardson

HISTORIANS will end up concluding that falling emerging market currencies and stock markets – the prelude to what could be a full-blown crisis –  is really about China and not about the US Federal Reserve. The Fed …

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Listen To The Iconoclasts

By John Richardson

Does your company employ an independent economist who forms her or his own view of where China is heading, or does it instead just accept the conventional wisdom dished up by the big institutions, such as the …

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APIC And Demand

 

Just an anomaly?

 

Source: American Chemistry Council

 

By John Richardson

FEEDSTOCK advantage is, of course, crucially important, but so is demand.

And yet the only subject that most people wanted to talk about in any depth at last …

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US has “23 Years” Of Gas Reserves

By John Richardson

Amidst all the continued excitement about abundant supplies of ethane in the US, some sceptics are still warning that all may not as it seems during petrochemicals company investor presentations.

“The US does not have 100 years …

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