Recycled PET (R-PET)

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Global shipping container rates are starting to moderate, the Panama Canal expects to increase transits in May, and liquid chemical tanker spot rates are mixed, highlighting this week’s logistics roundup. CONTAINER RATES Global shipping container rates are plateauing as shipowners have implemented blank sailings to control capacity and as some carriers have announced general rate increases (GRIs). Freight forwarder Flexport said in an update on 25 April that GRIs announced for ex-Asia westbound routes are expected to stick amid high utilization from carriers. Flexport noted three factors that supported the increases – a slight increase in demand because of the May labor holiday in China; reduced capacity from the increase in blank sailings; and increased congestion at ports and equipment challenges from certain carriers. Participants in the US polyethylene terephthalate (PET) told ICIS they are seeing higher freight costs as shipping in the Red Sea and now the Strait of Hormuz continues to be disrupted. Rate increases have also been announced for cargo heading to the Middle East region. Global container shipping major Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) announced $200/TEU (20-foot equivalent unit) effective 17 May for all cargo leaving the US and Puerto Rico going to the Middle East. Global container rates from supply chain advisors Drewry were flat this week, as shown in the following chart. Rates from North China to the US Gulf also held steady, although at levels higher than were seen in December before the attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea, as shown in this chart from ocean and freight rate analytics firm Xeneta. Container ships and costs for shipping containers are relevant to the chemical industry because while most chemicals are liquids and are shipped in tankers, container ships transport polymers, such as polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), which are shipped in pellets. They also transport liquid chemicals in isotanks. LIQUID CHEM TANKERS US chemical tanker freight rates assessed by ICIS were mixed this week with rates rising for parcels from the US Gulf (USG) to Brazil and India. However, rates from the USG to ARA decreased and all other trade lanes held steady. From the USG to Brazil, this trade lane has had limited availability for H1 May loading. However, mid and H2 May have showed a few more options with an outsider on berth currently to South America. This could place downward pressure on this route. Although COA nominations are still up in the air, a few regular owners hope to have more space and a broker says that time will tell when this space fills up. From the USG to Asia, regular players have said they are full on most of their positions through this time, which has placed some upward pressure on smaller parcels as it has become harder to find space for them. Currently, the USG to Asia market appears to be in a fragile balance between the interest in larger slugs, and the growing number of players looking for stainless steel vessels in the USG for May, according to a broker. BALTIMORE BRIDGE The Unified Command (UC) announced the opening of a new channel at the Port of Baltimore that has allowed ships trapped inside the port to leave. The Fort McHenry Limited Access Channel, which runs the length of the northeast side of the federal channel, provides additional access to commercially essential traffic. The limited access deep draft channel has a controlling depth of a minimum of 35 feet, a 300-foot horizontal clearance, and a vertical clearance of 214 feet. Starting Monday, April 29, operations to remove the Dali will require suspension of transits through the Fort McHenry Limited Access Channel. Once deemed safe, the channel will reopen for commercial traffic. PANAMA CANAL The Panama Canal Authority (PCA) will increase the number of slots available for Panamax vessels to transit the waterway beginning 16 May and will add another slot for Neopanamax vessels on 1 June based on the present and projected water levels in Gatun Lake. The PCA began limiting the number of transits in August 2023 because of low water levels in Gatun Lake brought on by a severe drought that made 2023 the second driest year on record for the Panama Canal watershed catchment area. Wait times for non-booked vessels ready for transit edged lower for northbound vessels and rose for southbound vessels this week, according to the Panama Canal Authority (PCA) vessel tracker and as shown in the following image. Wait times a week ago were 3.0 days for northbound traffic and 2.9 for southbound traffic. The Panama Canal Authority (PCA) said current forecasts indicate that steady rainfall will arrive later this month and continue during the rainy season, which would allow the PCA to gradually ease transit restrictions and traffic could return to normal by 2025. Please see the Logistics: Impact on chemicals and energy topic page With additional reporting by Melissa Wheeler and Kevin Callahan

26-Apr-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–Senior Editor for Recycling, Matt Tudball, discusses the latest developments in the European recycled polyethylene terephthalate (R-PET) market, including: Flake, food-grade pellet sellers looking at higher May offers Buyers considering more PET volumes, looking at non-EU R-PET imports Mixed coloured flake price views vary for May

26-Apr-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Siam Cement Group (SCG) posted an 85% year-on-year decline in Q1 net profit on losses from chemicals operations, but the Thai conglomerate expects the segment’s earnings to recover in H2 on improved olefins demand and expected restart of its Vietnam petrochemical complex. H2 conditions to improve on chemicals recovery Long Son Petrochemicals complex restart targeted in July Olefins prices to stabilize in Q2, recover later in 2024 In Thai baht (Bt) million Q1 2024 Q1 2023 % Change Revenue from sales 124,266 128,748 -3.5 EBITDA 12,623 12,170 3.7 Net profit 2,425 16,526 -85.3 *Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization First-quarter EBITDA increased on higher contribution of businesses related to cement and construction. The company's listed SCG Packaging (SCGP) subsidiary, meanwhile, posted a 15% year-on-year increase in EBITDA to Bt5.2 billion as sales rose by 1% to Bt34.0 billion. Chemicals results in Bt million Q1 2024 Q1 2023 % Change Revenue from sales 45,376 46,805 -3.1 EBITDA 1,289 2,445 -47.3 Net profit -1,866 1,356  – Petrochemicals demand remained weak in the first quarter due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and weak global economic conditions, the company said in a filing to the Stock Exchange of Thailand on 24 April. The first-quarter loss in the chemicals business, however, was mainly due to lower equity income from associates and start-up expenses of the company's Long Son Petrochemicals Complex (LSP) in Vietnam. Its 100%-owned integrated petrochemical complex completed initial test-runs early this year but was shut in March due to equipment issues and will remain down up to June. SCG expects to restart the facility in July for the final test run, followed by commercial operations beginning August 2024. In the first quarter, the company sold around 306,000 tonnes of both polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) products, down 22% year on year following the shutdown at Rayong Olefins' (ROC) cracker. SCG now expects olefins demand to improve gradually in the second half of 2024 as supply in the region is expected to be limited due to a series of planned maintenance, particularly in China and southeast Asia. It expects stable olefins prices in the second quarter and a recovery in the latter half of 2024 as demand growth is expected to exceed capacity additions. Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) demand in Asia continues to face challenges due to the persistent real estate crisis in China, while supply is impacted by high inventory in China resulting in more exports to Asia. Focus article by Nurluqman Suratman ($1 = Bt37.05)

26-Apr-2024

TORONTO (ICIS)–Following the conclusion of a consultation period, Canada’s federal government has published a formal notice in the Canada Gazette for its planned Federal Plastics Registry. The registry will require plastic resin manufacturers, producers of plastic products and service providers to annually report on the amounts and types of plastic they put out in the market, and where the plastic ends up. Environment minister Steven Guilbeault said at a webcast press event on Monday that the registry would create an inventory of plastics data, with the objective of providing transparency about the production, distribution, sale, use and disposal of plastics in Canada. Industry knew what kind of plastics is being produced, to whom it is sold, and how it is used, the minister said. The registry, in turn, would put this information into one place and make it accessible to the public, researchers and non-governmental organizations, enabling them to track plastics production and plastics use, he said. The registry would have a similar role in fighting plastic pollution as the annual greenhouse gas (GHG) inventory reports the government uses in combatting emissions, he said, adding that without this information it was hard to tackle these challenges. The first phase of reporting to the plastics registry’s IT system is due to begin on 29 September 2025. UN PLASTICS POLLUTION TREATYIn related news, delegates from more than 170 countries on Tuesday gathered in Ottawa for the fourth session of the UN’s Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee on Plastic Pollution (INC-4) to develop an international legally binding treaty on containing plastic pollution. The event runs from 23-29 April. German chemical producers’ trade group VCI and Chemistry Industry Association of Canada (CIAC) said they are supporting the fight against plastics pollution. VCI is looking to INC-4 and a subsequent final INC-5 to be held in South Korea in November for a global commitment to a circular economy, in which plastic products are reused or recycled, rather than ending up as waste in the environment, it said. At the same time, VCI stressed the benefits of plastics. An across-the-board "demonization" of plastics would end up harming the climate and the environment, rather than helping it, said VCI director general Wolfgang Grosse Entrup. “A sustainable future requires plastics," he said and pointed, as examples, to plastics used in wind turbines, electric vehicles (EV) and packaging – applications in which plastics help avoid carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, he said. Likewise, CIAC vice president of policy Isabelle Des Chenes told media in a webcast event that plastics, for example, help preserve food. "There's a lot of plastic and there's a lot of plastic for a reason," she added. Additional reporting by Tom Brown Thumbnail photo of environment minister Steven Guilbeault; photo source: government of Canada

23-Apr-2024

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Here are some of the stories from ICIS Latin America for the week ended on 19 April. NEWS Brazil’s Petrobras, China’s CNCEC mull petchems, fertilizers joint projects Petrobras and China’s chemicals major CNCEC have signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to explore petrochemicals and fertilizers joint projects, the Brazilian state-owned energy major said on Thursday. INSIGHT: Argentina’s petchems hit hardest by recession as country holds breath under Milei Argentina’s petrochemicals are taking a severe hit amid the recession, with falls in demand for some materials of up to 50%, but companies and the country are holding firm under the new President’s economic shock therapy. Brazil's Petrobras re-enters fertilizers sector with restart at ANSA plant Petrobras is to restart its large-scale ANSA fertilizers plant in Araucaria, state of Parana, which has been idle since 2020, the Brazilian state-owned energy major said late on Wednesday. Pemex to remain ‘fiscal challenge’ for Mexico's new administration – S&P Beleaguered finances at Pemex, the Mexican state-owned energy major, will require support from the federal budget for years to come, the analysts at S&P said this week. Argentina’s lower rates helping central bank shore up balance sheet at savers’ expense – economist Argentina’s latest cut to interest rates had more to do with shoring up the central bank’s balance sheet, possible thanks to currency controls implemented by the prior Administration, than the actual control of price rises, according to the director at Buenos Aires-based Fundacion Capital. Latin America's fiscal consolidation at risk of slippages as plans postponed – IMF Latin America’s countries high debt levels require fiscal consolidation plans which in some cases are being postponed, increasing risks for the long-term financial stability of the region, the Director of the Western Hemisphere Department at the IMF said on Friday. Chile inflation falls to 3.7% in March Chile’s annual inflation rate fell in March to 3.7%, down from 4.5% in February, according to the country’s statistics office INE. Brazil’s automotive output barely up in Q1, sales rise 9% Brazil’s petrochemicals-intensive automotive output rose by 0.4% in the first quarter, year on year, to just below 550,000 units, the country’s trade group Anfavea said on Monday. LatAm PE domestic price lower in Chile on cheaper US export offers Domestic polyethylene (PE) prices were assessed lower in Chile because of cheaper US export offers. In other Latin American (LatAm) countries, prices remained steady. Latin America’s February lube demand holds steady Lube demand in Latin America was relatively steady in February at a time of year when consumption typically falls in other markets like the US and Europe. The steady consumption coincided with lower base oils output in the region in February. LatAm PP international prices stable to up on higher freights from Asia International polypropylene (PP) prices were assessed as stable to higher because of increased freight rates from Asia to the region. However, Asian offers remain competitive compared to other origins like the Middle East and the US. Plant status: Dow Argentina shuts HDPE and LDPE plants on technical issues – sources US chemicals major Dow’s subsidiary in Argentina shut on 16 April a high density polyethylene (HDPE) plant due to a mechanical pump failure and a low density polyethylene (LDPE) plant due to technical failure, several sources said. Weather conditions starts to slightly shift PET demand in Latin America Polyethylene terephthalate (PET) prices remained stable in Brazil, with a slight softening in consumption coinciding with stabilized temperatures. However, demand continues to exceed expectations when compared with the corresponding period last year. Weather conditions starts to slightly shift PET demand in Latin America Polyethylene terephthalate (PET) prices remained stable in Brazil, with a slight softening in consumption coinciding with stabilized temperatures. However, demand continues to exceed expectations when compared with the corresponding period last year.

22-Apr-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for the week ended 19 April 2024. Asia petrochemical shares tumble on Mideast concerns; oil pares gains By Nurluqman Suratman 19-Apr-24 15:43 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Shares of petrochemical companies in Asia slumped on Friday, while oil prices surged amid escalating tensions in the Middle East following reported explosions in Iran, Syria and Iraq. Oil gains on fresh Venezuela sanctions, Iran concerns By Nurluqman Suratman 18-Apr-24 12:48 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Oil prices rose on Thursday, reversing sharp losses in the previous session, after the US re-instated oil sanctions on Venezuela, and amid discussions by the EU about implementing new restrictions on Iran. INSIGHT: Bullish and bearish sentiment intertwines in April Asia chemical prices outlook – ICIS analysts By Joey Zhou 17-Apr-24 18:29 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–There is a mixed outlook for petrochemical prices in Asia in April. Upward support comes from stronger crude oil price forecasts. The supply of some chemicals is relatively tight on plant turnarounds and operating rate cuts. PODCAST: Asia recycled polymers slow in 2023; legislation, waste management to shape future By Damini Dabholkar 17-Apr-24 18:18 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia recycled polymers markets were sluggish for the most part in 2023. In early 2024 too, challenges that dim the short-term outlook persist. Singapore March petrochemical exports fall 3.6%; NODX slumps 20.7% By Nurluqman Suratman 17-Apr-24 13:22 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Singapore's petrochemical shipments in March fell by 3.6% year on year to Singapore dollar (S$) 1.16 billion ($853 million), extending the 2% contraction in the previous month and weighing on overall non-oil domestic exports (NODX), official data showed on Wednesday. China's recovery gains pace after Q1 GDP growth; property, trade headwinds remain major hurdles By Nurluqman Suratman 16-Apr-24 13:54 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China's economy grew stronger-than-expected in the first quarter of this year, expanding by 5.3%, but ongoing challenges in the real estate sector, slowing exports and persistent deflationary pressures remain as major risks to its recovery. Oil eases despite Iran attacks on Israel; Asian bourses rattled By Nurluqman Suratman 15-Apr-24 12:46 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Oil prices eased on Monday as Iran’s attacks on Israel over the weekend were largely priced in by the market, according to analysts, but Asian equities tumbled amid concerns over recent escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

22-Apr-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Costs for shipping containers from Asia to South America are soaring while rates are plummeting along the other major trade lanes and Maersk will resume transits through the Panama Canal after administrators said they expect to be back to normal in 2025, highlighting this week’s logistics roundup. ASIA-SOUTH AMERICA CONTAINER RATES Rates for shipping containers from Asia to the US and Europe continue to fall, but rates from Asia to South America are spiking, according to data from ocean and freight rate analytics firm Xeneta and as shown below. Market participants said space along the Asia-South America route has tightened as China is exporting a lot of electric vehicles (EVs) to Brazil. A market participant told ICIS that Chinese automaker BYD has booked more than 10,000 containers to ship EVs to Brazil in April. Autos are typically transported using roll-on, roll-off (RoRo) ships that are designed to carry wheeled cargo. But the surge in EV imports from China has taken up most of the RoRo capacity, forcing China to send autos in containers, which is more expensive. A 20-foot shipping container can hold one or two vehicles, and a 40-foot container can hold up to four standard-sized cars, according to IncoDocs, a shipping solutions provider. ASIA-US CONTAINER RATES FALL Rates from east Asia and China to both US coasts continue to fall, along with rates from Asia to Europe, as shown in the following charts. Asia-US rates from online freight shipping marketplace and platform provider Freightos were largely steady this week, suggesting to the company's head of research that rates might be nearing a floor. Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos, said if diversions continue into the Q3 peak season months, shippers can expect rates to increase relative to this floor. STRAIT OF HORMUZ Global shippers are watching the situation in the Gulf of Hormuz after Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) seized a container ship operated by Mediterranean Shipping Co (MSC) near the Strait. "If attacks like this one continue, broaden, or Iran moves to completely close the strait, Middle East container flows would feel the strongest impact," Levine said. A closure would see ports in Kuwait, Iraq and most of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) become inaccessible. Saudi Arabia, with access to their Red Sea port access already challenged, would see their Gulf port access cut off as well. "These disruptions would also impact container hubs in India some of which are part of services that connect south Asia and the Middle East," Levine said. Container ships and costs for shipping containers are relevant to the chemical industry because while most chemicals are liquids and are shipped in tankers, container ships transport polymers, such as polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), which are shipped in pellets. They also transport liquid chemicals in isotanks. PORT OF BALTIMORE The Unified Command (UC) continues to remove containers from the Dali and clear wreckage from the collapsed bridge at the entrance to the Port of Baltimore. The US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) expects to open a limited access channel 280 feet wide and 35 feet deep by the end of April, and are aiming to reopen the permanent, 700-foot-wide by 50-foot-deep federal navigation channel by the end of May, restoring port access to normal capacity. Source: Key Bridge Response 2024 LIQUID CHEM TANKERS US chemical tanker freight rates assessed by ICIS were stable to lower this week with rates for parcels from the US Gulf (USG) to Rotterdam and the USG to Brazil unchanged. However, rates from the USG to Asia ticked lower and all other trade lanes held steady. On this route, there is no shortage of glycol enquiries. From the USG to Rotterdam, there are bits of part cargo space still available for April. Most of the outsiders’ vessels that were on berth have already sailed, and only the regulars remain at this time as they push tonnage availability. Freight rates are now expected to remain steady for the time being. PANAMA CANAL Wait times for non-booked vessels ready for transit edged higher for northbound vessels and were unchanged for southbound vessels this week, according to the Panama Canal Authority (PCA) vessel tracker and as shown in the following image. Wait times last week were 0.9 days for northbound traffic. The Panama Canal Authority (PCA) said current forecasts indicate that steady rainfall will arrive later this month and continue during the rainy season, which would allow the PCA to gradually ease transit restrictions and traffic could return to normal by 2025. Global container shipping major Maersk said it will resume Panama Canal transits for its OC1 service beginning 10 May, ending its “two-loop” setup it established in January because of transit restrictions brought on by a persistent drought. Please see the Logistics: Impact on chemicals and energy topic page Additional reporting by Bruno Menini and Kevin Callahan

19-Apr-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–Senior editor for recycling Matt Tudball discusses the latest developments in the European recycled polyethylene terephthalate (R-PET) market, including: Food-grade pellet (FGP) prices edge up at low end May demand, price expectations unclear Growing conversations about impact of Single Use Plastics Directive

19-Apr-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Buying activities in the Asia and Middle East polyethylene terephthalate (PET) markets remained relatively need-based, with factors like geopolitical tensions and uncertainties in freight rates clouding sentiment. Asian market sentiment mixed, PET tracks upstream closely Uncertainty around freight rates leads to need-based buying Mideast buyers’ inventories high, but some replenishment expected post-Eid break In this chemical podcast, ICIS editors Damini Dabholkar and Zachary Tia discuss recent market conditions with an outlook ahead in Asia and the Middle East. ICIS will be at the Chinaplas conference in Shanghai from 23-26 April. Please get in touch with our team there for more discussion on the PET market.

18-Apr-2024

BARCELONA (ICIS)–Europe is finalizing the Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation (PPWR), with far-reaching implications for both virgin and recycled polymer producers. Most significant EU packaging legislation in decades Includes binding targets for recycling and recyclability PPWR will have huge impact on virgin and recycled packaging sectors Legislation in final stages but may not be passed before EU elections in June Working groups need to be set up across recycling value chains In this Think Tank podcast, Will Beacham interviews ICIS senior recycling editor Mark Victory, ICIS insight editor Nigel Davis, and Paul Hodges, chairman of New Normal Consulting. Editor’s note: This podcast is an opinion piece. The views expressed are those of the presenter and interviewees, and do not necessarily represent those of ICIS. ICIS is organising regular updates to help the industry understand current market trends. Register here. Read the latest issue of ICIS Chemical Business. Read Paul Hodges and John Richardson's ICIS blogs.

17-Apr-2024